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Last week during a flight between Paris and Baku, Azerbaijan, I had the opportunity for a long conversation with the French sociologist Alain Tourraine. After reminiscing about his time as a student in Paris, his meeting the great thinkers of France, his friendship with former Brazilian President Fernando Henrique Cardoso and speaking of his vision of today's Latin America, Tourraine developed a concept that he called "European Fear."
Fear is spreading across Europe. Fear of the ecological crisis, fear of the impossibility of maintaining the standard of consumption already attained, fear of the future awaiting the young people of today, fear of terrorism, fear of the immigrant invasion, fear of the advance of Islamic fundamentalism. In his vision, Europe is a fearful continent. Luckily. Because fear makes it conscious of the risks that it is running. Brazil seems to be a fearless country. It does not fear the growth of criminality, which already dominates the streets of the large cities. Does not fear the effects of the burning of the Amazon rainforest. Does not fear the inequality that is spreading, in spite of a miniscule reduction in what is referred to as the perversity of the income distribution. It does not fear our growing backwardness due to the lack of investments in science and technology. It also does not fear the risk of inflation returning. And above all, it does not fear the lie of the official publicity, which transmits a false picture that we all want to believe. Despite our many reasons to be afraid, Brazil appears to be a fearless country. But the greatest of the fears resides in the lack of fear. The lack of fear is proof of the lack of awareness. It is proof of the imprudence that dominates the Brazilian mindset. Only the person who is afraid and does not let him or herself be dominated by this fear is capable of avoiding the tragedy lurking in wait for us and of avoiding, above all, three threats. The first threat is the inequality that impedes the country's social unification into one single nation, bringing together the two Brazils that are today so brutally separated. The second threat is the fragility of the monetary and financial systems, which can, because of any carelessness whatsoever, bring back the inflation, thus making the inequality and poverty even worse. With inflation the salary of the poor melts away in their hands without even reaching their pockets, while the patrimony of the rich remains protected in the freezers of speculation. The third threat is that, while promising to confront the first fear, we lower our guard for the second. And once again, while promising to save itself, achieve integration and independence, the country dives into fiscal and, as a consequence, social inequality. Or that, in the name of fiscal equilibrium, Brazil finds itself on the road to worsening its immense social deficit. Europe lives with the fear of exhausting its model: it forced the process of globalization but it cannot globalize its benefits. It will be invaded. It created a network of the privileged with no way of sustaining them in the future. It will break from within. Brazil does not live in fear because it has still not perceived that its model exhausted itself before it even carried its results to the entire population. The country did not perceive that the way out lies in inventing a new model without either remaining the way it is now or returning to its past illusions. The future lies in achieving a social transformation with fiscal responsibility. Not fiscal responsibility without social commitment; not social commitment without fiscal responsibility. The two fears - the fear of social chaos and the fear of financial chaos - must reach equilibrium. In democracy, what is needed is a statesperson capable of combining those two fears someone who must not irresponsibly ignore them, whether through indifference or through incompetence. Cristovam Buarque has a Ph.D. in economics. He is a PDT senator for the Federal District and was Governor of the Federal District (1995-98) and Minister of Education (2003-04). You can visit his homepage - www.cristovam.com.br - and write to him at
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. Translated from the Portuguese by Linda Jerome -
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