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2007 -
February 2007
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Written by Peter Howard Wertheim
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Wednesday, 14 February 2007 15:08 |
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Tests carried out by Petrobras through vertical well 1-RJS-628A drilled at 2,140 meters (7,021 feet) water-depth in BM-S-11 block, opens a new exploratory frontier offshore Santos basin and in Brazil. The tests confirmed the existence of a significant volume of 30° API light oil with the discovery of a highly productive reservoir beneath a 2,000-meters (6,562-feet) thick salt base.
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- And what is the estimates costs per barrel of producing such oil would be interesting to be known.
As a general guideline, Brazil produce mostly deep oil, costing quite a lot to produce.
Contrary to the beliefs and medias, oil is not in shortage, and billions and billions of us$ HAVE BEEN SPENT to find new oil.
These investments will start producing new oil and gas very shortly in in the years ahead, competing with cheaper oil, produced from more shallow wells notably in the Middle East,Russia and Venezuela.
At one point in time, cheaper production oil to keep their advantages will compete with higher production cost oil.
At that point both cheap and high cost oil will offer their production to the world....puting the price down. And the spiralling
effect will push it still lower, even if losses are incurred by the most expensive producers. Because by not producing that high cost oil would provide far larger losses than producing it with some losses !!!!!
Yessss...this planet is full of oil and gas...for everyone ! Prices will come down, even much lower than $ 58.- per barrel which is today price. Not necessarily as low as $ 20 or 25 per barrel but probably in the mid to high $ 30's
Therefore high costs oil producers such as Brazil, and ethanol producers such as Brazil too, be prepared.to not make as much money as you dream even if you produce much oil and ethanol.
Quite well known for the time being that in order to make money in ethanol in Brazil, sugar should be in the 10/12 U.S. cents per pound. It happens the actual price is 10,2 US cents...or near break even....at best !
It will be interesting to read shortly the profits or losses your ethanol mills will announce in the next few months !!!!
Guess who will smile and who will cry ! Especially even more in view of your currency strength !!!!!
Disappointments are right in the corner !!