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2007 -
February 2007
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Written by Cláudia Abreu
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Sunday, 04 February 2007 10:56 |
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Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Supply forecasts show that by 2014 the world will be consuming 144.6 million bags of coffee, against the current 118.9 million. This means that, in the period, global coffee consumption is going to grow on average 2% a year. In Eastern Europe and Russia, consumption has been growing 3% a year, and in Brazil the growth has been 4%.
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Thus assuming you keep your 30 % market share, your overall production should be 43/44 millions bags, not 60 millions as said.
60 miilions bags represent 42 % of the world consumption.
Therefore, unless the article meant that it is 144,6 millions bags EX-Brazil consumption, something is wrong...in the above maths.
Lets face it if the consumption difference will be around 26 millions bags (144,6 - 118,4) and assuming Brazil will be at 30 or 35 % market share, this would need an additional 7,8 to 9,1 millions bags.
Finally on the minimum price. Is Brazil not vehemently against agriculture subsidizes ??????
Ohhhh...I see....you are against the subsidizes only when others do it, but NOT when Brazil does.
Afterall you produce "only" around 30 % of the world production. What about the other producing countries, mostly poorer than Brazil ?????
Dont you do exactly the same with coffee, than your critics against the EU/USA and their grains subsidizes ?????
Strange isnt it ? Without the Brazilian subsidizes, your country would produce less coffee thus allowing poorer countries to produce and export more ! Correct ?
Is this not the Brazilian theory.....concerning the grains ?
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