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Why Brazilians Should Elect Dilma Rousseff the Next President of Brazil PDF Print E-mail
2010 - October 2010
Written by Ricardo C. Amaral   
Tuesday, 26 October 2010 13:09

Presidential hopeful Dilma RousseffA little over four years ago, in September 2006 "Brazzil" published one of my articles where I said: "Never in the history of the world have we had an economic revolution similar to the one that it is under way today. The global reallocation of economic power from the current superpower - the United States - to the new emerging powers of the future such as China, Brazil, India, Russia and the Arab Gulf countries is mind-boggling."

Soon after, in March 2, 2007 "Brazzil" magazine published another of my articles, and I started that article saying: "Here we are at a very exciting time - a turning point in world history - and the global economy is changing as never seen before, at the speed of light; and innovation and major advances in technology are helping in rearranging the entire global economy."

Now 4 years later we can say that the new circumstances and realities of the new global economic system still are changing fast, and are a work in progress, even though we have witnessed the amazing economic rise of countries such as Brazil, and China, at the same time we are watching the fast economic decline of the old guard including countries such as the United States, England, and even Japan.

The future looks great for the Brazilian economy, but the coming years are going to be critical, very challenging, and even more important than the last few years, because of the massive changes that are underway and still are happening in the global economic and financial system.

It will be very important for the Brazilian people to vote for the best candidate who can help lift the Brazilian economy to the next economic level. Brazilians need to make the right choice in the final chapter of the presidential election in Brazil on October 31, 2010.

First of all, I believe Dilma Rousseff is a better candidate to take concrete steps and implement the economic development plan for Brazil that I have described in detail on various articles in "Brazzil" magazine.

Second, I am against the further privatization of Brazilian government assets such as Petrobras, and so on... and Dilma Rousseff is more in tune with that economic position than José Serra. I am sure that, if elected, José Serra probably would give away the store.

Third, in my opinion, Dilma Rousseff would be a better bet as the next president of Brazil in the next eight years (including her re-election in 4 years) to bring the Brazilian economy to the next level - to the level of an economy of first-world, and for the largest portion of the Brazilian population.

A key factor that would help bring the Brazilian economy to the next level in the coming years would be if Dilma Rousseff adopts and implements the plan described below to empower Brazilian women as never happened before in Brazilian history.

In the last eight years the economic policies adopted by President Lula are credited with helping to lift about 30 million people out of poverty in Brazil.

In the next eight years, I want to see a Dilma Rousseff administration helping to lift a further 60 million people out of poverty in Brazil - in turn creating a very large middle-class in Brazil.

If the Chinese were able to lift about 300 million people out of poverty in China in the last 20 years, the new Dilma Rousseff administration economic policies can provide the foundations for a quantum leap in Brazil, and leapfrog the Brazilian economy in many areas into the level of an advanced economy of the 21st century.

Advantages of Having a Woman in Business

Every five years, the advantages of having a woman in business are carefully reviewed by the U.S. Census Bureau. The review of women and other minorities involved in operating a small business are given particular consideration over their male counterparts because this is the way that lawmakers form the various programs that are funded by the Federal, State, and the agencies at the local governmental level.

We should adopt the same policy and do the same thing in Brazil.

On her webpage Carole Nicolaides wrote an article "Advantages of Being a Woman Entrepreneur" - I am going to quote her, because she is an expert in that area and I am not - and she said the following in her article regarding a woman entrepreneur:

"Even though I strongly believe that the entrepreneurial success strategies are not different for women or men, I also believe that women do have traits that help them in starting and running a business. After all, most successful entrepreneurs have a few things in common such as courage, vision, intuition and persistence.

...Girls learn to care, make friends and use their intuition to protect them from danger. They are taught to cook dinner while listening to the details of their partner's workday. In essence, they learn the roles of being a multitasking caregiver. Our families have taught us well!

The most powerful advantage that women have is the development of our "intuition muscle". And this is the most important skill for many successful entrepreneurs - following their gut instinct.
You've got an idea, nobody believes you in you, people try to reason with you and stop you from doing it. Yet, you ignore all the naysayers and move ahead, following your instinct.

Someone who doesn't listen to his inner voice and waits for perfect timing or a logical explanation of why he or she should start a business usually will never start. Again, all these traits that I am going to discuss are important. Often times they are well developed by both men and women. I will just emphasize the traits that women have developed more effectively because of their upbringings.

So what else do women naturally have in their disposition that can help them in starting and running their own businesses? Below are few traits that I identified in being a woman entrepreneur.

1. Multitask oriented - Women are known for juggling many tasks at the same time and still producing excellent results. A woman can talk on the phone, open and read her email and schedule what else she needs to finish for the rest of the day all at the same time. Men have more trouble with this multitasking thing, therefore sometimes they miss many opportunities.

2. Connecting more easily with people - Women love to have a support group at work and in their personal lives. As a result we find it easier to ask for help in our businesses. Actually, we focus a lot on activities that can find the appropriate resources to help us out. Men, in contrast, sometimes wait too long before asking for help and this can often costs them business.

3. Being patient with the process - This is an extremely important attribute for entrepreneurs to have. Too often we hear of visionary entrepreneurs who tried to start their businesses and after a few months gave up. Very often we find these entrepreneurs gave up on their dreams too soon. They became impatient with the process. Women know naturally that you must wait in order to receive positive outcomes.

4. Branding and marketing themselves - Women are natural marketers. They are so passionate and enthusiastic about what they choose to do that they just do not stop talking about it. They don't forget to emphasize the benefits of their services to their potential customers. They understand how to accentuate the positive.

5. Create and use your network - Women are real pros at using their contacts. We also tend to create new contacts and friendships that get us where we want to go. This feature of our personalities certainly plays a vital role in our business success.

6. Being consistent and thorough with daily tasks - If you stay consistent with your actions you are more likely to get clients. You have more chances to be seen by potential customers if they consistently see your name. Likewise, providing a consistently good product or service helps with maintaining repeat customers.

The Grameen Model of Microcredit / Microfinancing

Muhammad Yunus is a Bangladeshi banker, economist and Nobel Peace Prize recipient. He previously was a professor of economics where he developed the concepts of microcredit and microfinance. These loans are given to entrepreneurs too poor to qualify for traditional bank loans. Yunus is also the founder of Grameen Bank. In 2006, Yunus and the bank were jointly awarded the Nobel Peace Prize, "for their efforts to create economic and social development from below." Yunus himself has received several other national and international honors. He is the author of "Banker to the Poor" and a founding board member of Grameen America and Grameen Foundation.

Grameen Bank

In 1976, during visits to the poorest households in the village of Jobra near Chittagong University, Yunus discovered that very small loans could make a disproportionate difference to a poor person. Jobra women who made bamboo furniture had to take out usurious loans for buying bamboo, to pay their profits to the moneylenders. His first loan, consisting of US$ 27.00 from his own pocket, was made to 42 women in the village, who made a net profit of BDT 0.50 (US$ 0.02) each on the loan.

Dr. Akhtar Hameed Khan, founder of the Pakistan Academy for Rural Development (now Bangladesh Academy for Rural Development), is credited alongside Yunus for pioneering the idea. From his experience at Jobra, Yunus, an admirer of Dr. Hameed, realized that the creation of an institution was needed to lend to those who had nothing. While traditional banks were not interested in making tiny loans at reasonable interest rates to the poor due to high repayment risks, Yunus believed that given the chance the poor will repay the borrowed money and hence microcredit could be a viable business model.

Yunus finally succeeded in securing a loan from the government Janata Bank to lend it to the poor in Jobra in December 1976. The institution continued to operate by securing loans from other banks for its projects. By 1982, the bank had 28,000 members. On 1 October 1983 the pilot project began operations as a full-fledged bank and was renamed the Grameen Bank (Village Bank) to make loans to poor Bangladeshis.

Yunus and his colleagues encountered everything from violent radical leftists to the conservative clergy who told women that they would be denied a Muslim burial if they borrowed money from the Grameen Bank. As of July 2007, Grameen Bank had issued US$ 6.38 billion to 7.4 million borrowers. To ensure repayment, the bank uses a system of "solidarity groups". These small informal groups apply together for loans and its members act as co-guarantors of repayment and support one another's efforts at economic self-advancement.

The Grameen Bank started to diversify in the late 1980s when it started attending to unutilized or underutilized fishing ponds, as well as irrigation pumps like deep tube wells. In 1989, these diversified interests started growing into separate organizations, as the fisheries project became Grameen Motsho (Grameen Fisheries Foundation) and the irrigation project became Grameen Krishi (Grameen Agriculture Foundation).

Over time, the Grameen initiative has grown into a multi-faceted group of profitable and non-profit ventures, including major projects like Grameen Trust and Grameen Fund , which runs equity projects like Grameen Software Limited, Grameen CyberNet Limited, and Grameen Knitwear, as well as Grameen Telecom, which has a stake in Grameenphone (GP), biggest private sector phone company in Bangladesh. The Village Phone (Polli Phone) project of GP has brought cell-phone ownership to 260,000 rural poor in over 50,000 villages since the beginning of the project in March 1997.

The success of the Grameen model of microfinancing has inspired similar efforts in a hundred countries throughout the developing world and even in industrialized nations. Many, but not all, microcredit projects also retain their emphasis on lending specifically to women. More than 94% of Grameen loans have gone to women, who suffer disproportionately from poverty and who are more likely than men to devote their earnings to their families.

Microcredit

Microcredit is the extension of very small loans (micro-loans) to those in poverty designed to spur entrepreneurship. These individuals lack collateral, steady employment and a verifiable credit history and therefore cannot meet even the most minimal qualifications to gain access to traditional credit. Microcredit is a part of microfinance, which is the provision of a wider range of financial services to the very poor.

Microcredit is a financial innovation that is generally considered to have originated with the Grameen Bank in Bangladesh. In that country, it has successfully enabled extremely impoverished people to engage in self-employment projects that allow them to generate an income and, in many cases, begin to build wealth and exit poverty.

Due to the success of microcredit, many in the traditional banking industry have begun to realize that these microcredit borrowers should more correctly be categorized as pre-bankable, thus, microcredit is increasingly gaining credibility in the mainstream finance industry, and many traditional large finance organizations are contemplating microcredit projects as a source of future growth, even though almost everyone in larger development organizations discounted the likelihood of success of microcredit when it was begun.

Microcredit is based on a separate set of principles, which are distinguished from general financing or credit.

Microcredit emphasizes building capacity of a micro-entrepreneur, employment generation, trust building, and help to the micro-entrepreneur on initiation and during difficult times. Microcredit is a tool for socioeconomic development.

Microfinance

Microfinance is the provision of financial services to low-income clients, including consumers and the self-employed, who traditionally lack access to banking and related services.

More broadly, it is a movement whose object is "a world in which as many poor and near-poor households as possible have permanent access to an appropriate range of high quality financial services, including not just credit but also savings, insurance, and fund transfers." Those who promote microfinance generally believe that such access will help poor people out of poverty.

Traditionally, banks have not provided financial services, such as loans, to clients with little or no cash income. Banks incur substantial costs to manage a client account, regardless of how small the sums of money involved.

The fixed cost of processing loans of any size is considerable as assessment of potential borrowers, their repayment prospects and security; administration of outstanding loans, collecting from delinquent borrowers, etc., has to be done in all cases. There is a break-even point in providing loans or deposits below which banks lose money on each transaction they make. Poor people usually fall below that breakeven point. A similar equation resists efforts to deliver other financial services to poor people.

Seen from a broader perspective, the development of a healthy national financial system has long been viewed as a catalyst for the broader goal of national economic development in the opinion of prominent economists such as Joseph Schumpeter and others. However, the efforts of national planners and experts to develop financial services for most people have often failed in developing countries.

While the success of the Grameen Bank (which now serves over 7 million poor Bangladeshi women) has inspired the world, it has proved difficult to replicate this success in other places. In nations with lower population densities, meeting the operating costs of a retail branch by serving nearby customers has proven considerably more challenging.

Although much progress has been made, the problem has not been solved yet, and the overwhelming majority of people who earn less than $1 a day, especially in the rural areas, continue to have no practical access to formal sector finance. Microfinance has been growing rapidly with over $25 billion currently at work in microfinance loans. It is estimated that the industry needs $250 billion to get capital to all the poor people who need it.

The source of most of this information about the Grameen Bank and its model of microcredit and microfinance is Wikipedia.

Here is what I propose - that the Dilma Rousseff administration creates in Brazil in the coming years: The Entrepreneurial Bank of Brazil. This would serve as the foundation to help lift millions of women in Brazil out of poverty.

The Entrepreneurial Bank of Brazil

This new Entrepreneurial Bank of Brazil would be a new government funded bank, similar to BNDES the Brazilian Development Bank, but the main purpose of this new government organization would be to create and implement a banking system similar to the Grameen microcredit and microfinance system that has been helping to lift millions of women out of poverty in Bangladesh.

The purpose of this new bank and its microcredit and microfinance projects will be to target a specific group of the population, and its emphasis it will be on lending specifically to women. The basic idea is to try to replicate in Brazil the model of the Grameen bank where more than 94% of Grameen loans have gone to women, who suffer disproportionately from poverty, and who are historically more likely than men to devote their earnings to their families.

This new government bank would have branches in many major cities around Brazil, and these branch offices would have seminars on a regular basis to teach these poor women basic entrepreneurial concepts, and also would educate them about the principles that made it possible for these microcredit and microfinance concepts to be so successful and to be a viable business model in Bangladesh.

These branch offices will try to provide the necessary tools and know-how for these women to get their ventures off the ground and give them the necessary advice to help them create successful businesses and become economically independent. And the loans provided by the Entrepreneurial Bank of Brazil to all these poor women would be loans with government subsidized low interest rates. These centers will serve as learning centers for these women, and also as centers that will become a constant source of economic innovation.

I am sure that this program will be a success in Brazil when we take in consideration the fact that Brazilian women are very intelligent, hard working,  flexible and adapt to change, and are very interested in improving their standard of living and quality of life.

You can read other articles by Ricardo C. Amaral at: Brazzil magazine - Columnist: Ricardo C. Amaral
http://brazzilnews.blogspot.com/

Ricardo C. Amaral is a writer and economist. He can be reached at: brazilamaral@yahoo.com.



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Comments (166)Add Comment
It will be very important for the Brazilian people to vote for the best candidate who can help lift the Brazilian economy to the next economic level.
written by ch.c, October 26, 2010
Laughs...Laughs!!!!!!

To the idiot Elite Trader Ricardo Amaral......

BRAZIL CAN ONLY PRODUCE...... BASIC COMMODITIES !
WHAT ELSE ?????????
BRAZIL CANT PRODUCE VALUE ADDED GOODS ANYWAY. TWO THIRD OF YOUR EXPORTS ARE...BASIC COMMODITIES !

BRAZ-ZEROESSS.....They turn the stats....UPSIDE DOWN.....AND CARESS THEIR NAVEL THAT HAS BEEN INFECTED AFTER HAVING SCRATCHED AND INFECTED THEIR HEAD.....BUT...BUT...THEY DID NOT FIND ANY OTHER SOLUTIONS THAN TO TURN THE STATS UPSIDE DOWN !!!!!

Hip hip Hurrah for Brazil having a LOWER GDP PER CAPITA than their CLOSEST neighbours......VENEZUELA......ARGENTINA.....AND URUGUAY !!!!!!!

Lets face it, Brazil is the only Mega Country that DOESNT & IS UNABLE TO PRODUCE ITS OWN CARS, can only produce generic drugs, unable to produce armaments, submarines, jet fighters, nuclear power plants, etc etc etc !

And as to your infrastructure in paved roads, Brazil is a backward country even within the BRIC's club. Brazil has only 5 % of paved roads, much much much less than the other BRIC countries. Your ports ?
DECREPITATED when compared to the other BRIC members !

Be proud idiot Ricardo Amaral .....more junkie than you there are not. Idiots in Latam are by the hundreds of millions. And you are just one of them. LOSERS WILL REMAIN LOSERS....whatever happens, until proven otherwise !

smilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gif
Thanks for my friend Derek for providing the inspiration for this article.
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 26, 2010

Ricardo: About 3 weeks ago I was talking on the phone with a friend of mine who moved to Brazil about one year ago.

This is a fellow who has traveled all over the world, and he also has traveled all over Brazil.

But anyway, last year he went to Brazil in a number of trips until he found a place to buy in Curitiba, and then he moved his family from the United States.

During our conversation he told me there is something that I like you to know: “I have traveled all over the world, and based on my personal experience traveling around Brazil, and also in all my dealings looking for a place to live in Curitiba, and remodeling the place to be in good shape before I could move with my family – in all my experiences I came to the conclusion that Brazilian women are very intelligent compared when I compared them with women from other countries.”

I knew that Brazilian women were very smart when I look around the women in our family – I knew they were intelligent, creative, hard working, they had initiative, and they are at the center of what happen to our families.

Brazilian women are a very special group of people.

After that conversation, I realized that by electing Dilma Russeff, and if she follows the suggestions that I mentioned on the above article, we have the chance to improve the life of millions of poor people in Brazil in the next 8 years – and we can create a massive middle-class in Brazil and improve the standard of living for everybody.

.
Reply to Ch.c
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 26, 2010

I can see that they let you out of prison again in Switzerland?

How is the money laundering business these days?

.
ch.c
written by João da Silva, October 26, 2010

Idiots in Latam are by the hundreds of millions.


That is the precise reason why we are going to elect a lady of "European stock" as our next President, Komrad. Thank God she is not of Swiss origin, but...but...but.. from Bulgaria. That tiny country has a lot more to teach us than the spoiled brats from "Western Europe".

You yourself have endorsed her candidate a few weeks ago, because of your great admiration for Palocci. Short memory? smilies/wink.gif
Reply to Ch.c
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 26, 2010

Ch.c said: Lets face it, Brazil is the only Mega Country that DOESNT & IS UNABLE TO PRODUCE ITS OWN CARS, can only produce generic drugs, unable to produce armaments, submarines, jet fighters, nuclear power plants, etc etc etc !


*****


Ricardo: What is the bread and butter of Switzerland's economy?

1) Money Laundering

2) Swiss Cheese

3) Swiss chocolate

4) Regarding the armament industry this is the best Switzerland can produce:

Swiss Army knife
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swiss_Army_knife


5) Here is an example of Switzerland's 21st century Military

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swiss_Guard

Hah, hah, hah, hah....


.
Hey got U, Amaral!
written by adrianerik, October 26, 2010
He made you enter his world of ad hominums.

Anyway, I am curious. Will read your article thoroughly. I support Dilma (gringo that I am). But for my own reasons.

I am curious about a person who, in one breath, advocates 'benovolent' dictatorship and, in another breath, supports Dilma.

It's more of an intellectual curiosity. I accept Machiavellian maneuvers...to a point.
What is the bread and butter of Switzerland's economy?
written by ch.c, October 26, 2010

As to the idiot Ricardo Amaral....Brazilian UNCOMMON SENSE...as usual !

BUDGET SURPLUS HERE....Idiot !
39 % Debts to GDP......Idiot !

Why do hundreds of foreign companies set up shop here??????????
They get
- a centrally located country
- top infrastructure, in roads, rails and airports
- skilled workforce
- Low bureaucracy
- pleasant living environment
- acceptable corporate tax rate
- efficient banking system for cash management, trade financing, forex dealings for corporations currencies and commodities hedges, etc
- low employers social charges for their employees (here around 15 % of employees salaries including pensions fund sharing costs - France over 55 %...for example)
- top healthcare
- the lowest workers protection cost of all the EU for laying them off
(the law says 3 months salaries... and then eventually plus...whatever employers give as their own gesture...but not obliged)

Want more IDIOT ELITE TRADER????????????

We have the World Best scientists here, such as those in CERN (European Center for Nuclear Research) funded by the governmentsd around the world for example.
Or those who designed, built the boats that won TWICE the America Cup !
Or those in our drugs industries !
Or the ones who designed and built the solar plane that is going to do an Around the World trip in 2013 on solar PV alone !

Ohhhh and dont forget that for patents we are the Worldwide No 1 when adjusted per 100'000 capita !

The developed country having been the most resilient during the crisis.....ELITE TRADER JUNKIE IDIOT !

you have NOOO technology, NOOOOO know how, NOOOOOO expertise, and NOOOOO will to make corresponding R&D investments.


Ohhh by the way....your car and trucks industry is NOOOO different ! 100 % are foreign companies, nice enough to provide well above average salaries !!!!
but of course these are the onesyou criticize too !

In my view foreign companies should better quit Brazil and redeploy more to Asia.there they appreciate....NEW INVESTMENTS....and welcome foreigners. Just think about your entreprises taxes. A Brazilian medium size company needs 2400 hours per year...to figure out and fill the many tax forms and pay them. You are ranked World Second Worst...after Cameroon !
In developed countries and even in some emerging nations, that same size company would need from 20 to 50 hours ! A far cry from 2400 hours needed in Brazil !

Brazilians are simply obsessed with their....NAVEL !!!!!!!!!!!

Until proven otherwise masochists enjoy and love to be whipped. And the majority of Brazilians are the most masochists on earth....also until proven otherwise !
The harsher you take them in their rear, many will beg for harsher and deeper. So sadly true !

smilies/shocked.gifsmilies/shocked.gifsmilies/shocked.gifsmilies/shocked.gifsmilies/shocked.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gif
"The Smartest Thing China Could Do Right Now: Invest US$ 200 Billion in Brazil"
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 27, 2010

Ricardo: Keep in mind of all other major countries including the United States, Japan, India, Russia and the European Union – right now China has the best political relationship with Brazil.

By 2013 it is estimated that China would have invested in Brazil over $ 220 billion dollars.

I am not surprised – I wrote the plan.

***

Brazzil Magazine – October 2007
"The Smartest Thing China Could Do Right Now: Invest US$ 200 Billion in Brazil" - Written by Ricardo C. Amaral

…The final conclusion is: It's imperative that China move forward in an aggressive fashion and implement with Brazil the plan described in this four-part series of articles. And China should look at it as a matter of national security and future survival.

Monday, 01 October 2007 - Part 1 of 4
http://www.brazzil.com/compone.../9977.html

Friday, 05 October 2007 - Part 2 of 4
http://www.brazzil.com/compone.../9979.html

Thursday, 11 October 2007 - Part 3 of 4
http://www.brazzil.com/compone.../9983.html

Tuesday, 16 October 2007 - Part 4 of 4
http://www.brazzil.com/component/content/article/184-october-2007/9985.html


Note: In the discussion section following the above articles there are about 800 comments.



*****


Chinese investment soars in Brazil, with eye on resources
by Anella Reta Anella Reta
AFP – Mon Oct 25, 2010

SAO PAULO (AFP) – Chinese investment in Brazil is expected to reach 30 billion dollars this year, according to observers -- a sum aimed at securing access to the Latin American nation's oil and other resources.
The inflow has been sudden, and dramatic.

"Up to the end of last year, the amount of Chinese investment in Brazil was tiny, less than 400 million dollars. Over the first half of 2010, it's gone over 20 billion dollars -- and it should hit 30 billion dollars this year," Charles Tang, head of the Brazil-China Chamber of Commerce and Industry in Sao Paulo, told AFP.

Two-thirds of the total coming into Brazil this year will be invested in the oil sector, to which China has privileged access after extending a 10-billion-dollar credit line to Brazil's state-owned Petrobras, and after China's Sinopec bought the Brazilian subsidiary of Spain's Repsol for seven billion dollars.

"China is investing everywhere in the world to ensure it gets the strategic resources it needs. And Brazil, obviously, is important," Tang said.

In return, Brazil gets "capital for its growth and job-creation," he explained.

"China needs the mineral resources, oil and land that Brazil has in abundance," Tang added before predicting that the relationship between the two BRIC economies "has only just begun."

In 2009, China became Brazil's top trading partner, overtaking the United States. Bilateral exchanges topped 36 billion dollars last year.

This year, they will amount to even more, based on Brazilian central bank figures showing trade reached 35 billion dollars in just the first eight months of this year.

Ricardo Anhesini, spokesman for the KPMG consulting firm in Brazil that has helped Chinese companies entering the Latin American nation's market, said there was "a large number of companies interested in selling primary resources, equipment and infrastructure."

The cities of Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro drew most of the companies, while others set up in other southern states which also have good transportation systems.

The approaching 2014 World Cup and 2016 Olympic Games in Brazil also were spurring Chinese investment.

"Several companies are here wanting to address the needs for the Olympics and the World Cup," seeking to profit from Beijing's experience in hosting the Olympic Games in 2008, Tang said.

Anhesini said a Chinese delegation was to visit in December to explore investment opportunities in that area.

"We're recommending they come as early as possible so they can adapt to the Brazilian way of doing business," he said.

KPMG reckons that the interest in supplying the sporting events with equipment will boost Chinese investment in Brazil between 2011 and 2013 to $ 223 billion dollars.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20...1025193548

.
Correction
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 27, 2010

Tuesday, 16 October 2007 - Part 4 of 4
http://www.brazzil.com/compone.../9985.html

.
Reply to Ch.c
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 27, 2010

Ch.c: Why do hundreds of foreign companies set up shop here??????????

They get - a centrally located country...


*****


Ricardo: Big deal!!!!!!

We have Boroughs in the city of Sao Paulo that are bigger than your entire country.

.

Reply to Ch.c
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 27, 2010

Ch.c: - pleasant living environment


****


Ricardo: If you don't mind to be bored to death.


****


Ch.c: - efficient banking system for cash management, trade financing, forex dealings for corporations currencies and commodities hedges, etc


****


Ricardo: Do you mean to say: efficient money laundering system for cash management, trade financing, forex dealings for any corporations that are trying to hide their shenanigans in currencies and commodities hedges, and help all the mafias from around the world with expert money laundering know-how.


****


Ch.c: We have the World Best scientists here, ...Or those who designed, built the boats that won TWICE the America Cup !



****


Ricardo: I bet the Swiss people really enjoy their boats in the ocean and the beautiful beaches that surround Switzerland.


****


Ch.c: Or those in our drugs industries !


****


Ricardo: I know you guys are very good in helping the drug lords with their money laundering schemes.


****


Ch.c: Ohhh by the way....your car and trucks industry is NOOOO different !


****


Ricardo: I know you guys in Switzerland drive cars designed, developed, and they are a real pride of Swiss technology:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carriage


Here you can see the Swiss Army in action with their latest weapons and the best technology available in Switzerland:

http://www.slate.com/id/2167830/


****


Ch.c: The harsher you take them in their rear, many will beg for harsher and deeper. So sadly true !


****


Ricardo: Since you brought up the subject of being a gay men – then you will appreciated and enjoy these pictures, since there are hundreds and hundreds of them on these pictures:

http://connect.in.com/swiss-gu...mages.html

http://connect.in.com/swiss-gu...ges-2.html

.
Question for Ch.c
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 27, 2010

Ricardo: Ch.c you have been posting your comments here in Brazzil magazine for at least 4 or 5 years - and during all this time I can't remember you making a posting to say anything nice about Brazil, Brazilians, and South America in general.

You just bash Brazil all the time with your postings....

What happened to you?

Why do you hate Brazil so much?

Ricardo


...
written by João da Silva, October 27, 2010

I support Dilma (gringo that I am). But for my own reasons.


Never mind that you are a Gringo, Dr.McCray. Please feel free to state your own reasons.smilies/wink.gif
Dilma will Ruin this country
written by svenveer, October 27, 2010
Corruption in the office next door to hers, by family members of someone appointed by her and she didn't know. A political party made up by mensalistas. She'll run the country right down the drain.

But she'll win. Tuesday's federal holiday favors her. Serras voters will all go on holiday and won't vote.

Every people has the government they deserve, and Brazil aperently deserves Dilma and Tiririca.

They vote on what they know, their favorite clown, their favorite novela actor, their favorite soccer player and so on. They vote Dilma because they think she's Lula.
To Amaral
written by Charlie, October 27, 2010
Brazil IS A JOKE!!!

Dilma is a murderer and a terrorist...what a president.. congrats!

Look at your 1st world country here:

http://tvuol.uol.com.br/#view/id=acusado-de-40-estupros-e-liberado-pela-policia-04021B3870D09103E6/mediaId=7024886/date=2010-10-27&&list/type=tags/tags=16324/edFilter=editorial/

http://noticias.bol.uol.com.br/folhaonline/cotidiano/2010/10/27/homem-morre-em-frente-a-ps-e-corpo-fica-na-rua-por-quase-quatro-horas-em-sp.jhtmsmilies/angry.gifsmilies/angry.gif
...
written by João da Silva, October 27, 2010

Dilma will Ruin this country


Our country is too resilient to be ruined by anybody .smilies/shocked.gif
We have Boroughs in the city of Sao Paulo that are bigger than your entire country.
written by ch.c, October 27, 2010

To the IDIOT ELITE TRADER !!!!!!!!!!!!

SAO PAULO HOMELESS UP 60% IN A DECADE....HAIL ROBBING HOOK !!!!!!!!!!

In Brazil to be elected it is quite easy.....MAKE A BUNDLE OF PROMISES....AND REPEAT THEM ENDLESSLY !

Meaning....FEED THER CROWD...WITH PROMISES !

Just tell a lie 10 times and 10 % of the crowd will believe in that lie. Tell a lie 100 or 1000 times that same lie and 98 % of that crowd will believe in that lie.

But so Brazilians are ! They cant even build a car by themselves, while the other 3 BRIC members can. China has well over 30 LOCAL CHINESE car manufacturers. BRAZIL...ZERO...AS USUAL !

THEREFORE....BRAZIL should be expelled from the BRIC club.
And even be expelled from Mercosur ! smiles

In these 2 "clubs" Brazil had by far the lowest economic growth rate
during the last 8 years...since Robbing Hook is at the helm.
Not even the Brazilian new "methodology" to figure out their GDP was good enough !

A government is not supposed to create wealth for its citizens. A good government is supposed to create a good environment so that entrepreneurs can bloom and shine !
Brazil does the exact opposite. They create a massive administration that controls just about everything with their administration forms and rules that create millions of unproductive jobs, instead of letting entrepreneurs bloom and shine.

Enjoy your lending rates at the 30-35 % for cars, 50-60 % for consumers goods, and 170-200 % rates for overdrafts ......IDIOTS !!!!!!!!!!

Feel free to continue following the crowd ! That is the only thing that differentiate losers from winners !

Ohhhh and dont forget the most important : KEEP ME LAUGHING !



smilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif
...
written by João da Silva, October 27, 2010

And even be expelled from Mercosur !


I don't know how MercoSUL would be in the next few months, now that our dear friend Nestor is gone. Cris, Hugh, Lu, Evo, etc; etc;? Sadly it is a different "ball game" henceforth. It is easy to sit on the high pedestal in Geneve and predict the demise of "MERCOSUL", BUT....BUT...BUT... will the Brasilan Peasants Union let it happen? One never knows. Only the time will say.smilies/sad.gif
Reply to Charlie
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 27, 2010

Ricardo:Charlie is one of the losers that I placed on my ignore list on the Elite Trader Economics Forum.

Some of these guys are like herpes they never go away.

By the way, there are a half dozen of these guys on the Elite Trader Economics Forum and many of the intelligent members that used to participate on the discussions at the Elite Trader Forum stopped going to that forum because of these morons.

.
On the other hand Ch.c is our house idiot at Brazzil magazine.
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 27, 2010

Ricardo: On the other hand Ch.c is our house idiot at Brazzil magazine for many years.

And all the regular members of Brazzil magazine knows that.

Ch.c a Swiss smart ass, probably got burn real bad on his financial dealings in Brazil - and after that he has been a constant pain in the ass here on this website.

.

.
Correction
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 27, 2010

Ch.c a Swiss smart ass, probably he got burned real bad on his financial dealings in Brazil - and after that he has been a constant pain in the ass here on this website.

.
Reply to Adrianerik
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 27, 2010

Adrianerik: I am curious about a person who, in one breath, advocates 'benovolent' dictatorship and, in another breath, supports Dilma.

It's more of an intellectual curiosity.


*****


Ricardo: Adrianerik, you asked me a fair question.

My article about a “benevolent military dictatorship” was about getting rid off the criminal gangs, illegal drug traffickers, and provide peace and harmony for the Brazilian population to go on with their lives and continue to building a better country.

That article had nothing to do with the Brazilian political, economic or social systems – the article was about eradicating crime and corruption in Brazil.

The above article is about the current Brazilian presidential race and who is the best candidate, between the 2 choices that are available, to bring the Brazilian economic, and social system up to the next level.

Sorry to disappoint you, but you did not get me.

What Dilma did in the 1960's has nothing to do what she might do in the future – people change with time – I am sure today she is a complete different person than she was on her younger days.

If she gets elected president of Brazil – life will continue to go on in Brazil, and all we can do is keep trying to build a better country for the future with a better standard of living and quality of life for everyone in Brazil.

.
To Amaral
written by Charlie, October 27, 2010
Here are a few more news from today... Brazil is far from even an average quality country. I hope that one day Brazil can improve and become a better country, however, I am a realist I know that we are decades if not a century from improving to an average level. I am sure I am not going to see it, I am sure of it. I pray for Brazil...

http://videos.band.com.br/v_75...violao.htm

All the videos I sent is just from today... Brazilian violence is worst than war regions... it is a FACT!!!

http://videos.band.com.br/v_75...rcacas.htm

http://videos.band.com.br/ v_7...encao_sao
_um_risco.htm


http://videos.band.com.br/ v_7...a_de_tres
_anos.htm


http://videos.band.com.br/ v_7...dicato_sa
o_ameacadas.htm


http://videos.band.com.br/ v_7...010_em_im
postos.htm


I hope this will open your eyes to the reality of the Brazilian nation... again, this is all today!

Reply to the people who asked me why Brazil needs a strong Military?
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 28, 2010

Ricardo: I just found this lecture by Noam Chomsky about 2 hours ago, but I recommend that every Brazilian should watch this video.

Joao da Silva, I am sure you will enjoy watching this one, and in the following posting I am going to give you guys the link to some other videos that you will also enjoy it.

Noam Chomsky - History of US Rule in Latin America
December 19, 2009
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

.
Here are some more interesting videos featuring Noam Chomsky
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 28, 2010

A MUST SEE Interview by Noam Chomsky 1
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9CKpCGjD8wg&NR=1

A MUST SEE interview by Noam Chomsky 2
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oB1q2tdb-Gw&NR=1


Noam Chomsky 1988 Interview with Bill Moyers, Part 1/5
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

Noam Chomsky 1988 Interview with Bill Moyers, Part 2/5
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

Noam Chomsky 1988 Interview with Bill Moyers, Part 3/5
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

Noam Chomsky 1988 Interview with Bill Moyers, Part 4/5
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

Noam Chomsky 1988 Interview with Bill Moyers, Part 5/5
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related


The Ideas of Chomsky-BBC interview
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

The Ideas of Chomsky-BBC interview (4)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related


What Is Globalization? - Noam Chomsky
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

Discussion on Globalization - Noam Chomsky
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AHJPSLgHemM&NR=1

Noam Chomsky on The "Clash of Civilizations"
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related


Noam Chomsky on 911 conspiracy part 1
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

Noam Chomsky on 911 conspiracy part 2
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related


Chomsky speaks about Human Destiny
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

.
Here are some more interesting videos featuring Noam Chomsky
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 28, 2010
A MUST SEE Interview by Noam Chomsky 1
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9CKpCGjD8wg&NR=1

A MUST SEE interview by Noam Chomsky 2
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oB1q2tdb-Gw&NR=1


Noam Chomsky on 911 conspiracy part 1
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

Noam Chomsky on 911 conspiracy part 2
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

.
Here are some more interesting videos featuring Noam Chomsky
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 28, 2010
What Is Globalization? - Noam Chomsky
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

Discussion on Globalization - Noam Chomsky
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AHJPSLgHemM&NR=1

Noam Chomsky on The "Clash of Civilizations"
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related


Noam Chomsky 1988 Interview with Bill Moyers, Part 1/5
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

Noam Chomsky 1988 Interview with Bill Moyers, Part 2/5
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

Noam Chomsky 1988 Interview with Bill Moyers, Part 3/5
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

Noam Chomsky 1988 Interview with Bill Moyers, Part 4/5
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

Noam Chomsky 1988 Interview with Bill Moyers, Part 5/5
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related


Chomsky speaks about Human Destiny
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

.
you were doing so well, amoral....until you brought in moan chumpski
written by asp, October 28, 2010
man, f**k moan chumpski, he is a punk bitch

his s**t is so f**king one sided with absolulty no balance as to what was really happening in south america

i agree with all you say about the brazilian woman

but you ruined your point of veiw bringing this punk in

god , he is making so many errors in the first linc

what a waste of time to listen to this jerk

he ought to be bitch slapped around the room

f**k moan chumpski
god this mother f**ker has diarea of the mouth
written by asp, October 28, 2010
just listening to him is like watching diarea in action

f**k this mother f**ker and shame on you for bringing him as some authority

you loose a lot of credit for holding him up as some example

the mother f**ker exists in the hemmoriods of usa history

i mean what the f**k with honduras? obviously the chavez puppet is totaly irrelavant....making an issue about that ? my god, he sucks dick
the little bitch has no real sence of the real world
written by asp, October 28, 2010
he sluffs over communism like it was no big deal at all

what kind of f**king world veiw is that?

the little bitch has no perspective on what some of the fonte of bulls**t in latin america really is, the people who actualy thought that communism, by way of castro and the soviet union, was some kind of hunky dory ideaology for south america

no blame for them for what happened in south america, none what so ever, they were the good guys , irrelevant to the events that went down

yet, histoy showed us the soviet union, the catalyst in trying to impose their ideaology on south america, collapsed under their ideaology

they had spies in brazil, in the army, the universities the media and congress, but, that simpoly doesnt matter at all to this punk bitch

f**k him and his warped veiw of history and anybody who thinks he is hunky dory
oh f**k , now he is talking about colombia...
written by asp, October 28, 2010
does he go into detail about how farc is being supported by venezuela and equador and how they are hooked up with the largest drug gangs in brazil (to his credit he doesnt praise them, but where is the balance of reality?)?

does he go into this dynamic about how this is really affecting south america ?

the mother f**ker is really full of s**t

he talks about some kind of "caucasion " philosophy as though it affected the americas , but, the spanish and portuguese were bigger slave traders and indian killers. what the f**k, tell the whole damn story

its a waste of time to listen to this mother f**ker, ive wasted an hour listening to him
the problem with people like chumpski....
written by asp, October 28, 2010
is that they just dont tell the whole truth

i lean on the left, i recognise that he is saying a lot of true things, but, there is absolutly no balance to what the whole story is, there is no look at the whole real picture, so , it is not worth s**t

goddamnit tell the whole truth then we can break down the realities and how they affect the dynamics of what is going on

he has an agenda. i want the truth, not one sided versions

this guy hurts the cause way more than he helps it

one sided points of veiw without the whole story only alienate lots of people
asp
written by João da Silva, October 28, 2010

Ricardo said:

Joao da Silva, I am sure you will enjoy watching this one

I was about to access the site Ricardo recommended, but after reading the comments in your colorful language, I decided not to.smilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gif

Thanks for warning me.smilies/wink.gif
...
written by Charlie, October 28, 2010
Noam Chomsky smilies/grin.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cry.gif

asp is 100% correct
O Tiririca tambem apoia a Dilma - Amaral, Amoral e Imoral!!!
written by ZecaDoPave, October 28, 2010
http://www.estadao.com.br/esta...0925,0.php

smilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif:
Dsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif
smilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif

O tremmm baooo que e' o Brasirr!
It is useless to try and discuss issues like this on this site
written by JimInBrazil, October 28, 2010
I used to come here to learn new things -- now it has been shown again and again that the discussion forum has been dominated by pompus and offensive reactionaries.

By all means - talk among yourselves. Feel superior. Cast your aspersions. Whatever.

But your credibility is lost.
Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 28, 2010

Ricardo: Noam Chomsky is considered to be one of the top intellectuals here in the United States - and he is liked even more by intellectuals from around the world.

I understand people want to keep things as they are, and they don't want people like Noam Chomsky to go around and connected the dots and explain what's really happening in a language that would shatter these people's world of illusion.

Joao, you and Ederson, and other members of this website asked many times why Brazil needs a strong military?

There are many reasons for that, but Noam Chomsky gives you an entire lecture on that subject, and you dismiss it because ASP wrote a few lines based on his preconceived ideas that he has about Noam Chomsky.

If you have time then watch his lectures on globalization, they are also interesting.

As I was watching many of these Noam Chomsky's videos I was surprised to see how often he criticizes the left.

What happened to Ederson?

Maybe he wants to stay away from these discussions about the above article.

.




Noam Chomsky and Brazil
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 28, 2010

Ricardo: About 4 years ago I was watching Noam Chomsky being interviewed on The Charlie Rose Show – and they were discussing political systems from around the world including the United States, various countries in Europe and so on....

Noam Chomsky looked like an encyclopedia his knowledge was vast about everybody's political system – I remember when it was close to the end of the show Charlie Rose asked Chomsky: that means that we don't have a real democratic system anywhere in the planet?

Chomsky answered: “ no”

There's a place where we have real democracy. That country is Brazil.

Then he described the democratic system in Brazil with the multiple parties and so on...

What Chomsky said about the democratic system in Brazil, showed that he knew well the subject that he was talking about.

Charlie Rose it seems stunned and surprised by what Chomsky had said on that subject regarding Brazil.

.



if he isnt giving the whole story , he isnt telling the truth about history...
written by asp, October 28, 2010
half truths do not tell the real story of history...

chumpski has an agenda , he even mixed up haiti and hondorus and then admitted it didnt matter, "its the same story.." (?!?!) i mean what the f**k is that? its the same story in his feeble mind...a one trick pony....a broken record...

he hardly ever addresses the real problems that are plauging people like me and joao every day...he never has said one thing about the huge hook up with farc and the monster drug gangs in brazil and how all prevailing the infiltration of crack in brazil is.

ive heard everything he has ever said about south america here already, he sais nothing new, and, that doesnt mean its the truth.

im not saying anyone shouldnt look at it, im just saying its word vomit and it makes you sick
Brazil will drop the ball, it always does, always will.. brazilians will be brazilians
written by gringodingo, October 28, 2010
"Now 4 years later we can say that the new circumstances and realities of the new global economic system still are changing fast, and are a work in progress, even though we have witnessed the amazing economic rise of countries such as Brazil, and China, at the same time we are watching the fast economic decline of the old guard including countries such as the United States, England, and even Japan."

The country is gutting itself, basically sending all raw products over seas. Brazil producers nothing, but whores and playboys, and well, cheesy films about violence in favelas. Brazil's current economic boom is not sustainable, simply because there is not enough raw resources to sell to China. Learn to build a computer Brazil, learn to make something of USE, instead of taxing everything coming in, and selling only raw materials at a budget rate to foreigners.

...
written by gringodingo, October 28, 2010
" There's a place where we have real democracy. That country is Brazil. "

HA ha haha.. I have a great respect for Chomsky, but he's not omniscience, and he's losing it a tad. Brazil was just ranked 69 in terms of global corruption, politicians here are simply idiots and their lack of education is reflected well in the streets with voters. Sorry, to say Brazil has real democracy is simply retarded. An OBLIGATORY VOTE automatically excludes Brazil from being truly democratic, not to mention the secret votes, built in corruption, accepted and encouraged stupidity, and of course, well, Brazilians. Nice try!
Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, October 28, 2010

Joao, you and Ederson, and other members of this website asked many times why Brazil needs a strong military?


Yes, we did. But we really don't care much about the opinion of half arsed Gringo "intellectuals" like Noam Chomsky or the domestic versions of them. I would rather listen to the lectures of our Generals, Cels, etc; before deciding as why and how much of my tax Reais should be invested to "strengthen" our defense. They must have a pretty good notion of who our real enemies are.

I really don't know why Ederson went AWOL or where he is, but...but... he would agree with me, if he reads my comment.

BTW, did you know that Hélio Costa didn't get elected as the next Governor of MG? Must have been a shock to him.smilies/sad.gif
yeah, chumpski is an intellectual....
written by asp, October 28, 2010
does that mean any restpected intellectual is totaly correct at things that arnt his expertise (he is a brilliant linguist, not a history expert, basicly because he distorts history )?

does that mean that intellectuals never have an agenda or an axe to grind or would never deceive us (i guess there was nothing at all wrong with those scientists purposly excluding infrormation about global warming )?

give me a f**king break, you can get intellectuals to line up on both sides of the fence on any issue you want to name

yeah, i guess you could say chumpksi is an intelf**kinglectual, extremly well respected by anti americanists all over the world

come on amoral you made a lot of good points about brazilian women, i love brazil and hope for it to grow and shine

but you suck the mop when you bring in chumpski as some kind of reference, take a bums rush back to joisey
asp
written by João da Silva, October 28, 2010

yeah, chumpski is an intellectual


How do you know for sure? Have you met with him personally, blogged with him, etc;etc;? One moment, you call him all sort of names and the next moment brand him as an "intellectual". I cant vouch for his intellectualism, because I have never met that fella. From your "objective" evaluation of him, I get an impression that he doesnt know where exactly Brasil is located on the World Map. Probably, he doesnt know how to use Google Earth. Not a big news to me, as most of these so called "intellectuals" dont even know how to turn on their PCs without the help of the attendents on your 1-800 or our 0800.smilies/sad.gif

It is a sad reality, ASP, but..but... we are under the dictatorship of half and full arsed intellectuals. Sooner you realize this truth, better it is for your mental and physical health.smilies/smiley.gif
Here is an education for ASP
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 28, 2010

Special for ASP - Here we go:

The Ideas of Chomsky-BBC interview (1 of 5)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related


The Ideas of Chomsky-BBC interview (2 of 5)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related


The Ideas of Chomsky-BBC interview (3 of 5)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related


The Ideas of Chomsky-BBC interview (4 of 5)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related


The Ideas of Chomsky-BBC interview (5 of 5)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

.
Noam Chomsky
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 28, 2010

It seems to me there are people on this forum who does not have any idea about Noam Chomsky, his writings, lectures and so on...

Here is a short bio of Noam Chomsky:

Noam Chomsky
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Noam_Chomsky

.
my god, amoral....
written by asp, October 29, 2010
i just wasted 9 more minutes of my life looking at your first linc

i already said he was a brilliant linguist, you didnt educate me at all. would you please do me a favor and point out the linc that might change my opinion of the drek i heard on your first linc of his speech at the "socialist.org" meeting.

can you show me a linc that proves he doesnt distort history, making him a poor historian ? where he can give the full real story of what happened in south america in the cold war, and, not just him living and breathing inside american hemmoroids.

i really distrust people who only see histroy through american hemmoriods.

because you are wasting precious minutes of my life looking at bulls**t of this mother f**ker

the only cold war history worth understanding is the history where one can recognise there are four sides that were to blame for the dirt...the usa, the soviet union and the two oposing sides that invited both of them in to fight dirty little wars...

see , you got people that can even blame the usa and the soviet union, but they cant really look into the people themselves who perpetuated their conflicts against each other, and , give them their fair share of the blame also

anything else is just somebody's tired agenda, and , chumpski is one of those people with a tired little agenda

why you wanted to mess up your good points about brazilian women , bringing in this idiot, is beyond me. there are so much better ways to answer to stupid criticisms of brazil than to bring up ass holes like chumpski and his skewed vision of history , reading off the soviet propaganda page against the usa loaded with fidels snot

he hurts the cause way more than he helps it
Lost faith
written by Thewoman, October 30, 2010
Living in Brasil for the past decade has caused me to lose faith in humanity in this country.

Reading these posts has caused me to lose faith in humanity in the rest of the world.
...
written by João da Silva, October 30, 2010

Living in Brasil for the past decade has caused me to lose faith in humanity in this country.


Just wait till you meet ASP and me before making such rash statements, lady.smilies/shocked.gif

Cheers
Today is the big day - and Brazilians should vote for Dilma.
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 30, 2010

Ricardo: I hope the Brazilian population will vote for Dilma today.

That would be an historic moment in Brazil when Brazilians vote and elect the first woman president of Brazil.

I hope she has foresight, and she adopts the policies described on the above article to help lift at least another 60 million people out of poverty in Brazil during her administration.

Good luck today to Dilma Rousseff regarding the presidential election in Brazil.

.

.

Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, October 31, 2010

Ricardo: I hope the Brazilian population will vote for Dilma today.


OK Ricardo, the Brasilians listened to your advice (and that of our fellow blogger Adrianerik) and voted her into office.smilies/wink.gif

I hope she has foresight, and she adopts the policies described on the above article to help lift at least another 60 million people out of poverty in Brazil during her administration.


Here you seem to be skeptical about her "foresight" by using the word "I hope she has the foresight".smilies/shocked.gif

I hope that she doesn't turn out to be a benevolent nor a malevolent dictator.smilies/cheesy.gif

Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, October 31, 2010

I said: "I hope she has the foresight, and she adopts the policies described on the above article to help lift at least another 60 million people out of poverty in Brazil during her administration."

The foresight to see the potential of helping millions and millions of women in Brazil to give them a chance of getting out of poverty.

As I mentioned to you the majority in Minas Gerais voted for Dilma.

.



Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, October 31, 2010

As I mentioned to you the majority in Minas Gerais voted for Dilma.


MG & SP did surprise me, as they voted for PSDB candidates for Governors. That proves my theory that the Brasilians are concerned more about their states and less about the Federal Government. I am still studying the voting patterns in various states for Dilma/Serra and will get back to you later.

Another surprise for me is the g;e of abstention. 20%? Unbelievable.
Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, October 31, 2010


Another surprise for me is the g;e of abstention. 20%? Unbelievable.


Sorry. It should read as "Another surprise for me is the percentage of abstention. 20%? Unbelievable! "
congradulations to dilma
written by asp, October 31, 2010
as a spectator (certainly not an expert) of brazilian politics, it was a very interesting election

brazilian women are very special and deserve a lot of respect
asp
written by João da Silva, October 31, 2010

brazilian women are very special and deserve a lot of respect


Yeah... yeah......you have said it at least 1000000 times and your point well taken.

I really don't give a s**t whether our country´s CEO is a woman or man or a bicha. My question is: Can she cope up with the enormous challenges that she is going to face in the next 4 years?

I am willing to give her at least 12 months to perform . Is the rest of us willing to do the same or going to make unreasonable demands from her 3 months after she is sworn in, just like your compatriots did with the "black" President they elected?smilies/wink.gif
Vergonha
written by Carlos 03, October 31, 2010
A Dilma e' uma vergonha, uma terrorista imoral... cada povo tem o que merece! Minas Gerais e Rio sao a vergonha do Brasil e de Sao Paulo, mais uma vez os paulistas tomaram uma facada nas costas dos mineiros, espero que nenhum paulista vote no Aecio para presidente em 2014...smilies/angry.gif
João and Ricardo
written by The Guest, October 31, 2010
João
Congratulations on the election of your new president. I am happy to see that brasil is still a vibrant DEMOCRACY. Now you have an intellectual as president. You will witness the difference in management styles from those of a non intellectual. I have no predictions of her governing style but her past experience in opposition to the military dictatorship gives me hope that her intellectual side will not be dominant.

Over a year ago I decided to stop reading and writing comments on this site when the tone of the debates turned to the need of military strongmen to resolve Brasil's problems. The entertainment of such ideas by people whom I had considered to be intelligent persons was beyond reason. However, I continued to read the articles.

When Ricardo wrote his “benevolent military dictatorship” article I almost broke my silence. I was one of the first persons to read his article and probably would have been the first or second person to write a comment about it. I prepared a very long rebutal to his arguments but then decided that the task was not mine but that of a brasilian. In a subsequent article the task was adequately handled by a brasilian. It was very refreshing to read an article by someone with common sense.

In response to Adrianerik above ricardo wrote, "My article about a “benevolent military dictatorship” was about getting rid off the criminal gangs, illegal drug traffickers, and provide peace and harmony for the Brazilian population to go on with their lives and continue to building a better country."
Those words are for a picture that cannot be painted. History has shown over and over that there is nothing benevolent about military dictatorship, not in brasil or anywhere else in this world.

Ricardo
There is still a few months to go for president Lula's administration, but I have the same faith today in him as I had when he first elected president. I would like you to apologize here on this site for the words that you wrote about him here on this site. No, I will not refresh your memory. You know what you wrote. You later changed your tone about him, but you never apologized. Be a man and apologize. He has proven to you that a man of his intellect can successfully govern brasil and bring prosperity to millions. Apologize.
Perhaps..
written by .., November 01, 2010
She will luck out and take credit for exogenous forces....(see Bill Clinton, Lula)
Reply to The Guest
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 01, 2010

Ricardo: I have no idea of what you are talking about.

During the 8-years that Lula has been president of Brazil I never attacked him even once in any of my articles. If anything I defended him a number of times from attacks from other members of this forum at Brazzil magazine.

I even suggested on my postings that they should give the Nobel Peace Prize to president Lula.

I said a number of times that president Lula has been doing many things right in Brazil and the Brazilian economy is in the best shape that the country has been in the last 100 years.

If I was unhappy with president Lula's performance then I would have written at least 10 articles in the last 8-years with the objective of taking his administration apart.

.

The Guest
written by João da Silva, November 01, 2010

Welcome back. Thought you were being held prisoner by the Somalian Pirates!smilies/cheesy.gif

Congratulations on the election of your new president. I am happy to see that brasil is still a vibrant DEMOCRACY.


Thanks for the kudos and I am also happy that Brasil continues to be a democracy. What pleased me more was that the final choice was made in the second round, Marina getting about 21% of the votes in the first round! Another happy news is that our friend Mr.Cristovam Buarque got reelected as the Senator.

At this stage, I decline to discuss about the managerial style of Madame Rousseff or whether she is or not an "intellectual". However, your comment addressed to Ricardo needs clarification:

There is still a few months to go for president Lula's administration, but I have the same faith today in him as I had when he first elected president. I would like you to apologize here on this site for the words that you wrote about him here on this site.


As far as I can remember, Ricardo has never written any harsh words against Lula. In fact he has mentioned many times that Lula is fortunately surrounded by people like Mr.Sarney for whom he has lots of regards.

Are you not confusing Ricardo with some other writer/commentator?


My recommendation for president elected Dilma Rousseff
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 01, 2010

Ricardo: I would suggest that president elected Dilma Rousseff should ask for Henrique Meirelles to stay as the Chairman of Brazil's Central Bank, and she also should keep Guido Mantega as the Finance Minister.

Other advisers that she should keep around her are: Antonio Palocci, and Ciro Gomes.

In my opinion, on Wednesday when Ben Bernanke announces the next wave of QE2, then Finance Minister Guido Mantega should also announce a 30 percent devaluation of the Real, and adopt a fixed rate currency system pegged to a basket of currencies including the US dollar and the Chinese yuan – a program designed to stop the “Hot Money” from going into the Brazilian market to blow all kinds of bubbles in Brazil.
.
The above recommendations are for the Finance and Economics team.
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 01, 2010

Ricardo: She also should include among her senior advisers my friend former President Jose Sarney.

.
Ricardo: I have no idea of what you are talking about.
written by The Guest, November 01, 2010
I will refresh your memory a bit. Take yourself back to the beginning of his first administration, were you a fan of him then? Unless there was another Ricardo C. Amaral on this site, the answer to the question is NO.
If I am wrong then I will apologize to you, but this I am certain of-- I am not. You are correct, you did not write any articles attacking him. It was done in the forum.
João
written by The Guest, November 01, 2010
Thanks. Since april I have been working between Jacksonville, Philadelphia and San Juan. My last run to the Middle East was in December and January. It is good to be working on this side of the world again even though the work is much more hectic.

I also was very happy that Madame Rousseff did not win in the first round. She would have gained too much power to fast.

João: "Are you not confusing Ricardo with some other writer/commentator?"
No, I am not. The only way for me to ellicit his apology now was for me to wait until this moment in time. Believe me, I have been waiting patiently.
...
written by The Guest, November 01, 2010
Ricardo: "In my opinion, on Wednesday when Ben Bernanke announces the next wave of QE2, then Finance Minister Guido Mantega should also announce a 30 percent devaluation of the Real, and adopt a fixed rate currency system pegged to a basket of currencies including the US dollar and the Chinese yuan – a program designed to stop the “Hot Money” from going into the Brazilian market to blow all kinds of bubbles in Brazil."

I agree with you 100 percent and have advocated this many times here in this forum. The real should be pegged between R$2.00 to R$2.50 per $1.00. Not only the "Hot Money" flow needs to be stopped, but also the cheap chinese goods that are destroying brazil's manufacturing industry.
Reply to Guest
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 01, 2010

Ricardo: I still have no idea what you are talking about.

I mentioned a number of times on this forum how Lula got himself a very good set of economic advisers - I did that since his first term as president. I always liked Henrique Meirelles, and I also praised many times Antonio Palocci the Former Finance Minister.

Please find here on this forum the information that you are talking about to remind me of what you are claiming that I said years ago because I don't have any idea of what you are talking about.

.



Regarding the current currency war
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 01, 2010

Ricardo: "In my opinion, on Wednesday when Ben Bernanke announces the next wave of QE2, then Finance Minister Guido Mantega should also announce a 30 percent devaluation of the Real, and adopt a fixed rate currency system pegged to a basket of currencies including the US dollar and the Chinese yuan – a program designed to stop the “Hot Money” from going into the Brazilian market to blow all kinds of bubbles in Brazil."

There's nothing wrong with this strategy, since the 2 countries with the 2 largest economies in the world are not playing a fair game in the international monetary arena, and Brazil should play the game according to their rules.

If having a currency system pegged to the US dollar is good for China, it should also be good for Brazil. And since these 2 countries are very important for the Brazilian economy, then Brazil should first devalue its currency by 30 percent, then adopt a fixed rate currency system pegged to a basket of currencies including the US dollar and the Chinese yuan.

And neither country has the right to complain about anything to Brazil if Brazil adopts this currency strategy.

That strategy is designed to protect Brazilian manufacturers, the tourism industry in Brazil, and to keep the “Hot Money” from blowing bubbles inside the Brazilian economy.

After Brazil follow these steps, Henrique Meirelles at the Central Bank should take action and reduce the Selic interest rate in Brazil in the coming months to a level around 8 percent or even lower.

And don't forget to put a penalty in place for when the “Hot Money” starts to leave Brazil in a stampede – make them guys pay on the way out for the damage that their actions will cause to the Brazilian economy.

.
The Guest
written by João da Silva, November 01, 2010

Not only the "Hot Money" flow needs to be stopped, but also the cheap chinese goods that are destroying brazil's manufacturing industry.


Not only the "Cheap" Chinese goods. I ´d love to see her reviewing our "strategic alliance" with France on defense matters. I am not sure if you have been following my discussions with another distinguished blogger Ederson (who is MIA), but we are very skeptical about this "alliance".smilies/angry.gif

João: "Are you not confusing Ricardo with some other writer/commentator?"
No, I am not. The only way for me to ellicit his apology now was for me to wait until this moment in time. Believe me, I have been waiting patiently.


Please remember that I came to know about this magazine only by late 2006 and stared expressing my humble views since then.smilies/smiley.gif
Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, November 01, 2010

Ricardo: She also should include among her senior advisers my friend former President Jose Sarney.


No need to cause any inconvenience to your friend in the autumn of his life, Ricardo. His daughter who has been elected as the governor of MA, will be able to guide our new President.
Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 02, 2010

Former president Sarney has had health problems lately. He is even talking about not running for president of the senate in 2011.

But his daughter Roseana Sarney does not have the same heavy duty political experience as her father.

I am sure Roseana Sarney will be among a close circle of friends of newly elected president Dilma Rousseff.

.
Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, November 02, 2010

I am sure Roseana Sarney will be among a close circle of friends of newly elected president Dilma Rousseff.


I am not so sure, Ricardo. Madame Rousseff is considered to be a highly opinionated "technocrat" and I have my own doubts about her being an "yes" lady to Roseana. You have to remember that she is a second generation Brasilian and her late Bulgarian father drilled the old "European values" into her head. IMHO, she is an incognito as a politician and therefore I would let her choose her own team of advisers of "technocrats" based on their merits and NOT their pedigree.
Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, November 02, 2010

Another suggestion I have for Madame Rousseff is to invite our "favorite General" to be the Minister of Defense. He is another "technocrat" and a good Southerner.smilies/wink.gifsmilies/grin.gif
Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 02, 2010

Yes, he would be a good choice to be part of her government.

By the way, I am available to be part of her planning and development team. And I am finally ready to go back to Brazil.

The United States is finished as a superpower, this place is imploding just like the World Trade Center Towers on 9/11, and there is no future around here.

The United States is becoming very fast just a mediocre, third rate country, and many Americans started understanding this reality - it's finally sinking in that's why the American population is so mad at its government at all levels.

If investors from around the world understood the actual shape of the American economy is in today, then they would take their money from here ASAP, before their money goes up in flames like in the fall of 2008.

People's perceptions of the American economy and economic system is based on the past from a time long gone, and not on the reality that is ahead of us - the American economic system is just a dying system that is dying a slow death kept alive and on intensive care by government intervention, but the patient is dying and that's the reality today.

For the average people to understand what is really going on here in the United States think in terms of the Titanic - the ship hit the iceberg and the water is getting inside the ship on a constant basis - this ship is going down there's no doubt about it.

But for the people from Europe, and around the world - the people who are away from the sinking ship - this ship is supposed to be the state-of-the-art in modern technology. This ship is not supposed to hit icebergs and sink just like that.

Today everybody knows what happened to the Titanic and its passengers...

.





Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 02, 2010

Joao, one fellow that I would love to work for in Brazil, and be part of his team is Eike Batista - since we have the same mindset regarding the economic development of the Brazilian economy.

.
To Amoral Amaral Imoral
written by Carlos 03, November 02, 2010
The mask of Ricardo Amaral is falling off...smilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gif

The Amoral Amaral Imoral has said a million times that he is an old fried of Sarney... BTY - Sarney is the had of the most corrupt family in Brazil!!!dude you are a namedropper on asteroids.

I knew he was publishing all this nonsense to see if the Dilma government or some other moron like Eike Batista would hire him!! Typical of petistas. They only act in self interest, screw Brazil right? All I can say is: Even tough I find it hard for somebody so incompetent to be hired by even Dilma, it would be great if they could hire him... one last Brazilian moron we will have publishing nonsense in the internet....smilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gif
...
written by Carlos 03, November 02, 2010
Corrections:
fried=friend
had of= head of

Reply to Carlos - Part 1of 2
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 02, 2010

Ricardo: The US economy is finish - the US economic system is in a lot worst shape than people realize.

I am in New Jersey where the new Republican governor cut the New Jersey state budget by 33 percent and he is causing a major implosion in the economy of New Jersey (he cut the state budget by US$ 11 billion dollars which has a multiplier effect.)

The bread and butter of the New Jersey economy was the back office for Wall Street companies, and it's a major center for the pharmaceutical industry. These pharmaceutical companies are merging and eliminating thousands of jobs or they are moving to another state where they can cut costs and survive in the coming years.

The US economy is in critical condition with very high unemployment, which is going to get worse in the coming years - the truth is the US economy is spinning out of control and imploding.

The human capital (well educated people with higher levels of education)
is leaving the United States at an alarming rate and going to place where there's some kind of future such as Brazil, India, China, and so on...(In 2008 alone 100,000 Indians went to India and this new generation who are leaving the country are made up of very well educated people with PhD's and these are the guys who start the high-tech companies in Silicon Valley and other parts of the USA. The reason they are leaving the US and going to India, it's because they think the future is going to be created there and not in the United States.)

The mainstream media here in the United States never say a word on this subject, but the last 3 years the United States had reverse illegal immigration (that means that there are more illegal immigrants leaving the United States than illegal immigrants coming in - the net loss of illegal immigrants has been around 2 million people - you can see what is happening with this reverse illegal immigration not only by the exodus that has been happening around the communities where these illegal immigrants used to live, but also in the large decline of the amount of money that these illegal immigrants used to send home to help their families.)

This trend of reverse immigration has not happened in the United States in over 100 years. These reverse illegal immigration is the canary in the coal mine and represents a major alert signal to the implosion that is happening inside the US economy, since these illegal immigrants are the type of people who would take any type of job to survive and to help their families.

As I mentioned to you the US economy can't create jobs and the real unemployment is much higher than the official figures.

But today, the political landscape is changing for the worse in the United States with today's election - with the major political parties splitting the US Congress and at this critical turning point in US history the current president of the United States will not be able to do anything in the next 2 years. We are going to have a complete paralysis in Washington at a time when what is left of the US economy is imploding and self-destructing.

There are other trends that will make things even worse for the US economy such as: most states in the United States their finances are in terrible shape and in 2011 many governors around the United States are going to bite the bullet and do the same thing that the New Jersey governor did in New Jersey and they are going to cut the budget of all these states around the United States to the bone laying-off millions of people around the country. They are going to cut all kinds of people's pensions and so on, as never seen before in US history.

And don't forget that at a time of major economic decline the baby boomers are going to put even more pressure on the system since for now on every year the US government has to carry about an extra 3 million people and pay the costs related to Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and so on. The number of people depending on these government entitlements is growing very fast from 40 million people to 75 million people in a very short period of time.

Every place you look you can see signs of massive decline of the US economy. The Shuttle space program is having its final voyage into space in the coming weeks then NASA is laying-off thousands of high power scientists in Florida, and in California – and keep in mind that NASA has been for a long time one of the symbols of American advanced technology – this NASA implosion it's just another sign of American decline and that the American economic system has become completely obsolete.

It's just a coincidence that we had an election in Brazil a few days ago which turned out to be a great result for Brazil regarding the coming years, and today we are having an election here in the United States and the result of this election represents the last nail on the coffin of the US economy.

.
Reply to Carlos - Part 2 of 2
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 02, 2010


Ricardo: When I wrote the above article I was thinking about the Brazilian economy and the future of Brazil as a first world country.

Today I realized the United States economy has reached the end of the line, and now it's just a matter of time for the rest of the world to arrive to the same conclusion.

The implosion of the economy of declining empires happen much faster today than in the past - today it happens at the speed of light.

.
Reply to Carlos
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 02, 2010

Ricardo: Regarding former president Jose Sarney - read the following article published on Brazzil magazine in 2001:

Brazzil Magazine - September 2001
“The B-Files” - “The Brazilian Cultural Society”
Written by Ricardo C. Amaral

http://www.brazzil.com/component/content/article/52-september-2001/6752.html

This is an article about an organization that I did try to take off the ground and I worked on that project for the entire year of 2001 – “The Brazilian Cultural Society”

After 9/11 became impossible to find any source of funding for the project at that time, even though I had been able to organize an outstanding group of people who had accepted to be members of the board of trustees of that non-profit organization including former Brazilian president Jose Sarney.

.


...
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 02, 2010

Brazzil Magazine - September 2001
“The B-Files” - “The Brazilian Cultural Society”
Written by Ricardo C. Amaral

http://www.brazzil.com/compone.../6752.html

.
...
written by Silvio, November 03, 2010
Just LOL, a self-proclaimend ECONOMINST that supports the most vocal anti free-market government in the history is Brazil's democratic period. I heard they are giving college degrees over the internet these days...
Reply to Silvio
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 03, 2010

Silvio: Just LOL, a self-proclaimend ECONOMINST that supports the most vocal anti free-market government in the history is Brazil's democratic period.


*****


Ricardo: Please could you translate your posting to English for us to be able to understand what you are trying to say?


*****


Silvio: I heard they are giving college degrees over the internet these days...


*****


Ricardo:Then I recommend that you take some classes on the internet for you to start understanding at least some basic material about economics and free market concepts.

Based on your posting we can see that you are almost completely illiterate.

.

In a Nutshell: the collapsing US economy
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 03, 2010

Ricardo: Let me say a few words about what the political change that we witnessed here in the United States today with the Republicans getting a strong control of the House of representatives, plus almost winning also control of the senate, and the Republicans also won the governorship of many states.

The Republicans will have control of the House of Representatives, and they are going to make Barack Obama's life miserable for the next 2 years – until the next US presidential election in 2012.

The Republicans will become chairmen of many important committees in the House of Representatives, and you can see a list of the various committees at:

http://www.govtrack.us/congress/committee.xpd

Some of the most important work in Congress takes place in small groups of six to seventy-one senators or representatives, in a special unit called a committee. When lawmakers want to make a new law, they write a bill. That bill goes to a committee that then debates the contents of the proposed law and writes the final bill to be voted upon in the House and Senate.

Each year, several thousand measures are referred to committees. Only a small percentage are selected for consideration, and those not addressed often receive no further action. In this way, committees determine the fate of proposed laws.

Currently, there are 19 standing committees in the House, and 16 in the Senate. "Standing" committees generally work with specific bills, and most operate with subcommittees that handle a committee's work in targeted areas. "Select" and "joint" committees are chiefly for "in between" categories and housekeeping tasks. There are also several joint committees, which are made up of members of both houses of Congress.

Each committee deals with issues in a specific subject matter. In the House, there are committees that deal with education, science, national security, and commerce to name just a few. In the Senate, there are the committees for the environment, finance, banking, and agriculture, among others. The topics overlap between the chambers of the Congress.

Each committee has a Chairman. The Chairman is usually the ranking majority member, in other words, the member of the majority party in that chamber who has been on the committee for the longest period of time. The Chairman oversees a professional staff assigned to the everyday business of the committee. The staff is limited to thirty people. One third of the staff is chosen by the minority party members of the committee, and two thirds are chosen by the majority party members. Because of these rules, each time the Senate or the House goes from a majority of Democrats to a majority of Republicans, or vice-versa, committees need to choose a new Chairman and a new staff.

The size and party ratio on each committee must be set to match any shift in Republicans and Democrats from the last election.

What all this means is that the Republicans are going to control what is going on on these committees in the House of Representatives and they are going to push for their agenda such as tax cuts, they will block any type of new stimulus for the economy, they will be against any extension to unemployment benefits for the unemployed, they will try to cut entitlements, they will cut Medicaid, they will not give any help to the states, anyway they are going to help in any way they can for the US economy to implode even faster and collapse into a black hole.

The housing market is going to collapse even further, as a House of Representative controlled by the Republicans will follow their old and obsolete economic ideas and concepts - resulting in an economic environment around the country that will place the US economy into a path that will lead to a new great depression – much worse than the great depression of the 1930's since this time around the resources of the United States government have been wasted and it will not be available as a safety net.

The year 2011 it will be an economic disaster here in the United States as Republican governors cut the state budgets to the bone on their states creating a further economic implosion in the states around the country resulting in millions of new foreclosures, millions of new people losing their jobs - the Republicans can give as much tax cuts as they which since only idiots would invest any money when everybody knows that the US economy is imploding and deflation is getting out of control.

In a nutshell: today the US economy (the Titanic) has hit the iceberg – now it's just a matter of watching the big ship sink to the bottom of the sea.

.
Ben Bernanke and QE2 - the only game in town
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 03, 2010

Ricardo: Ben Bernanke will continue his economic and financial policy of blowing bubbles on the economies of the emerging markets.

American banks are not going to lend any money to small companies around the United States with a fast imploding and deteriorating US economy.

They are going to continue to play the same old game get cheap money from the Fed and blow bubbles on emerging markets - push their currencies up in value and destroy their manufacture base in places such as in Brazil, Japan, and so on...

Dilma Rousseff announced yesterday that she will support a free floating currency in Brazil - that means that the real is going to go up even further and more companies are going to go out business in Brazil because their products are not competitive in world markets.

With the real becoming stronger Brazilian will be able to import more stuff from China and from other countries around the world, and that will help to create even more problems for Brazilian manufacturing companies as their products become more expensive when compared with international prices and international companies can start thinking about moving their manufacturing production to other countries.

In a nutshell: Ben Bernanke only strategy left of playing economic games with QE2, QE3, QE4, and QE5 and so on... it will just export the United States problems with job creation and an imploding economy to other nations around the world.

And just wait until the "Hot Money" decides to leave all these emerging economies for one reason or another, and with the drop of a hat we have a stampede and when that happens they leave behind the carcass of the old economy and a wasteland.

.





Panic time....regarding the current international currency war
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 03, 2010

Ricardo: Now that newly elected president Dilma Rousseff said that it does not matter what kind of currency games the United States and China are playing - Brazil will not change its currency policy.

It becomes an urgent matter for the government of president Lula to implement this policy before January 1, 2011 when the new president takes power in Brazil and ask Guido Mantega to implement the following currency policy ASAP to protect the Brazilian economy as follows:

The proposal for a 30 percent devaluation of the Real, and adopt a fixed rate currency system pegged to a basket of currencies including the US dollar and the Chinese yuan – it's a program designed to stop the “Hot Money” from going into the Brazilian market to blow all kinds of bubbles in Brazil – and this strategy is also designed to protect Brazilian manufacturers, the tourism industry in Brazil, and to keep the “Hot Money” away from the Brazilian economy.

And I would like to remind Guido Mantega the Finance Minister: please don't forget to put in place a very high penalty to catch the “Hot Money” on the way out when these guys start to leave Brazil in a stampede – make these guys pay a heavy toll on the way out for the damage that their actions will cause to the Brazilian economy.

.
elke batisti sucks
written by asp, November 03, 2010
the a*****e has various projects that caused severe envirnmental damage after a campain that he promesed to be clean and not hurt the envirnment.

im even reading about his proposed etilero in the south, and the battle that is going on. it will cause great envirnmental damage, and, severly hurt the local fishing industry and tourist industry and destroy some of the most beautiful beaches, recently awarded the bandeira azul for some of the top beaches in brazil

growth like that is f**ked up

lula devalue ? aint going to happen, why are you making it seem brazil is helpless about dealing with the cambio ? they could change if if they wanted to...why are you making it the same old tired story of the usa as chupa cabra boogy man? i fully get brazil can devalue if they want to....THEY JUST DONT WANT TO

well, amoral, is this your prediction now, that in 2011, the usa economy is going to fall?

or can i give you 2 years to see if it falls so you arnt boxed in for just 2011?

i mean i really want to know your window of time for this prediction, because i will hold you accountable for what you are saying here, just like your dopey prediction of obama not being elected
Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, November 03, 2010

A busy day for me, Ricardo and my apologies for the late response.

Joao, one fellow that I would love to work for in Brazil, and be part of his team is Eike Batista - since we have the same mindset regarding the economic development of the Brazilian economy.


Lamentably, I share the opinions of "Carlos 03", "Silvio" and ASP about this "New Brasilian Billionaire". But if you want to be part of his "team", go ahead.

Reply to ASP and Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 03, 2010

Ricardo: A few months ago I posted the following here on Brazzil when we were discussing my article about dictatorship:

“On February 10, 2010 Eike Batista were interviewed on The Charlie Rose Show in New York City.

It was an excellent interview – I thought that I belonged to a dying breed – someone who believes in Brazilian independence and nationalism – and now I am happy to find out that Eike Batista also believes in Brazilian nationalism.

Eike Batista and I have the same type of mindset, and also share a similar vision for the future for Brazil. I was impressed with Mr. Eike Batista’s interview and I am glad that Brazil has a new wave of entrepreneurs of such a high-caliber as Eike Batista.”

I have been following Eike Batista's original IPO of OGX Petroleo since June 2008, and I am aware of his investments in the area of petroleo and gas. But I am also aware of the other infrastructure investments that Eike is investing to transform Rio de Janeiro in time for the World Cup of 2014, and the Olympics of 2016.


*****


Here is what I posted on the Elite Trader Economics Forum about 2 and half years ago. Basically I started following OGX Petroleo new IPO because I used to know Francisco Gros from the time when he was working in New York City:


June 7, 2008

SouthAmerica: Some people on this forum sent me a private message and others sent me an email asking me how I could help them reach Petrobras, for them to participate on the oil business in Brazil.

I posted the following on this forum about a month ago, but I would suggest that you guys contact Francisco Gros and his new company directly and take from there since he is involved in the oil business in Brazil and I am not.


***


Here is what I posted on May 6, 2008 on this thread:

But here is a potential winner in the coming years – just keep in mind this new company.

I know Francisco Gros since the time when he was with Morgan Stanley in New York about ten years ago. The last time I got in contact with him it was about 3 years ago when he was the CEO of Fosfertil. But here is a summary of his background:

Francisco Roberto André Gros has been the Chief Executive Officer of Fosfertil-Untrafertil since May 2003. Mr. Gros served as Chief Executive Officer of Fertilizantes Fosfatados SA.

Mr. Gros served as Chief Executive Officer of Petrobrás since January 2002. In February 2000, Mr. Gros served as President of BNDES while serving as a Director of Petrobrás. And from 1991 to 1992 and also in 1981, Mr. Gros served as the President of the Central Bank of Brazil.

By the way, I am not involved in any way with this new company. I just know Mr. Francisco Gros and I know he is a reputable person besides having the knowledge of high finances which is necessary for anyone to be able to run such a company.
.
Reply to ASP - Part 1 of 2
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 03, 2010

ASP: well, amoral, is this your prediction now, that in 2011, the usa economy is going to fall?

or can i give you 2 years to see if it falls so you arnt boxed in for just 2011?

i mean i really want to know your window of time for this prediction, because i will hold you accountable for what you are saying here, just like your dopey prediction of Obama not being elected


*****


Ricardo: ASP, many Republican governors here in the United States were elected yesterday (November 2, 2010) as part of a revolt of this “Tea Party” business that is going on around the USA.

Since yesterday we are going to have 34 Republican governors around the states here in the United States in 2011. And most of these guys got elected, because Americans are pissed about stimulus packages, government bailouts of all kinds, and all sorts of government spending in general.

The local government budget of most states around the United States are “Pathetic” when you compare the revenue that these states are collecting in taxes, and the amount of money that they have to spend on an annual basis.

Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey was elected in November 2009, and he assumed office in January 19, 2010 – and after cutting 1/3 of the New Jersey state budget in 2010, he has become a hero of the members of the Republican Party.

When one state does that kind of budget cutting it is devastating to that state's economy, but in 2011 we are going to have governors from around the country doing the same thing that Chris Christie did to the budget of the state of New Jersey – most of the other Republican governors are talking about cutting the budget of their states in 2011 in the range of 25 to 30 percent and when over 30 states decide to cut their state budgets by that magnitude and all at the same time the result is that they are going to place the imploding US economy into a black hole.

At this time we still don't know how many states are going to cut their state budget in a drastic way in 2011, but we know that these guys are going to cause a major negative impact on the US economy at a time when the US economy is already on intensive care and the patient is dying a slow death.
.
Reply to ASP - Part 2 of 2
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 03, 2010

Ricardo: Here is what I posted here on Brazzil on April 23, 2010 on the comments section of my article “Brazil New Economic Miracle” in a Reply to James Hesson as follows:
  
Ricardo: To answer your question: Yes, I live in the United States – I am aboard the “Titanic” and the ship is sinking faster than most people realize.
 
I will make some other postings to bring up some other important points for you to see how the US economy is in terrible shape, and on almost on intensive care – if you take away the massive US government intervention in the US economy, then you have nothing left.
 
Here is summary of what makes the core and the strength of the U.S. economy:
 
The financial mess of the economies of states such as California, New York State, New Jersey, Illinois, Michigan represents the sad shape of the US economy, and these states are relevant in relation to the size of the economy of the United State of America and the US dollar. The economy of these states is the best the US has to offer.
 
If California were an independent country its economy would be the 7th largest economy in the world. And California is responsible for 13 percent of the United States Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
 
California is the largest state economy in the U.S. and the second largest is New York, which is about 70 percent the size of California's.
 
If you combine the economies of California, New York and New Jersey (the core of the US economy) they represent over 25 percent of the total US economy. Then you add on top of that the economies of Illinois, Michigan the result is a “Pathetic Basket Case”.
 
In a Nutshell: The United States should be thankful that we still have so many suckers and fools around the world. Americans still are able to project the idea around the world of the US dollar as a “safe haven” currency, but in reality today the US dollar is as safe as traveling in the “Titanic.”
 
China's central bank said that its reserves of foreign currency, by far the world's largest, rose to $2.4 trillion at the end of December 2009.
 
Just a reminder: about 71% of China’s total foreign reserves are in US Dollars or an estimated $ 1.7 trillion US dollars - in cash, bonds, and treasuries.
 
 
*****
 
 
Here is another major basket case:
 
March 16, 2010
 
Governor Christie presented his plan for closing a state budget deficit estimated to be $11 billion for next fiscal year.
 
The State now faces a staggering $10.7 billion budget gap that has been years in the making. It is the direct result of rising, unchecked spending at both the State and local levels. The State Budget was $21.8 billion in fiscal 2001. Spending surged 59% to a record $34.6 billion in fiscal 2008. Last year, the Budget was $31.3 billion counting federal stimulus money, until Governor Christie was forced to reduce spending as revenue failed to meet overly optimistic projections.
 
In 2009 the NJ state budget was $31.3 billion dollars and Governor Chris Christie is cutting $ 11 billion reducing the NJ state budget for 2010 to $20.3 billion dollars.
 
When you reduce the state budget by $ 11 billion – more than 1/3 of the total budget, then you can expect an imploding state economy. With the multiplier effect the implosion is even bigger.
 
New Jersey's debt ballooned from $16 billion in 2001 to nearly $52 billion in 2009.
 
Source: 2011 Budget Brief
FISCAL YEAR 2011 BUDGET OF CHRIS CHRISTIE, GOVERNOR OF NEW JERSEY, TRANSMITTED TO THE FIRST ANNUAL SESSION OF THE TWO HUNDRED FOURTEENTH LEGISLATURE
 
 
*****

 
April 18, 2010
 
Conclusion: The Governor of New Jersey – Chris Christie – is working very hard to turn New Jersey into a Banana Republic.
 
Yesterday I went to one of the public libraries in North Jersey and the librarian was passing information to everybody who uses that library. He was asking people to write to Governor Christie and ask him not to cut the Library funding in Northern New Jersey by 74 percent starting in July 1, 2010.
 
He also told me that the inter-library delivery system will be eliminated, and all kinds of library programs also will be eliminated. He is cutting the state library funding to the bone, which will result in drastic service cuts by the library, reduced hours the libraries will be open to the public, massive reduction in staff, and a number of libraries will be closed in Northern New Jersey.
 
The librarian also told me that his library never been so busy as in the last 2 years, and since the current recession started a few years back – the libraries in the area had been one of the most popular places for people – young and senior citizens - to spend their time, and at the same time keep the kids out of trouble.
 
.
Reply to ASP
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 03, 2010

Ricardo: Since 2:15 PM this afternoon when the US Federal Reserve announced their strategy of QE2 for the coming months – most analysts have been talking about how this is the only strategy left for Ben Bernanke, and his goal is to push the value of the US dollar down in the currency markets, and at the same time inflate the currency of the countries target for the carry trade which includes the emerging market countries and Japan.

Ben Bernanke's Fed is going to create another $ 600 billion in “Confetti” in the next 8 months, an average of $ 75 billion per month – after that Wall Street can also count with new rounds of QE3, QE4, QE5 and so on...since Wall Street has become addicted to cheap money from the Fed to blow bubbles on emerging market economies.

This has been the only game in town for a while, and the final run for the US dollar before it losses its status as the major world currency as the United States turn its currency into “Confetti” - and the currency is rendered obsolete.

Since January 2009 the real has gained in value against the US dollar by 42 percent – let the United States and China to continue their currency games in the coming months, and push the real up even further to 50 or 60 percent or even higher – that means the price of everything priced in Real is skyrocketing to the other countries around the world, and this is a nice strategy if you want to kill your tourism industry and do a lot of damage to your local economy.

.
there is no shortage of dumb a*****es in the usa
written by asp, November 04, 2010
i would certainly agree that if they are using strategies to lower the dollar, it is dumb dumb dumb

there are some highly educated economists who have seriously tanked the usa economy.

people in the usa are losing oportunities to address the economic crisis in a big way, like not passing proposition 19 in california

they are sabatoging themselves every step of the way with republican smear campains, evangelical idiocy and tea bagging lumps of s**t

but, the usa was in bad shape before the computor revolution

just counting them out before it actualy happens may be a great mistake

lots of disgruntled american haters around the world would love to see the usa colapse .whether that happens is another story.

but, nothing is impossibe. i want the truth, though. people who say the usa is going to totaly go under , better have their s**t straight or they may end up with serious foot in mouth disease and lose credibility big time

i hope that aint you , amaral
Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, November 04, 2010

Eike Batista and I have the same type of mindset, and also share a similar vision for the future for Brazil. I was impressed with Mr. Eike Batista’s interview and I am glad that Brazil has a new wave of entrepreneurs of such a high-caliber as Eike Batista.”


He may have the same mindset as you have, Ricardo, but he has much more money than you do all financed by the Tax-payers!! Please make sure you sign a firm contract with him for a voluptuous sum, before being "brain-picked".smilies/angry.gif
Retaliation near?
written by Bernanke Is A Curse Upon Humanity, November 04, 2010

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/326a...14M88hwr9

Brazil should devalue their currency.

Watch the new Republican congress investigate the Fed actions ......it is going to hit the fan soon. (Not soon enough)
...
written by João da Silva, November 04, 2010

Brazil should devalue their currency.


If PRC does it first,we may consider your suggestion favorably.smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cool.gif
How dumb can you get?
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 05, 2010

Ricardo: Even basic common-sense is dead in the United States. For those who still have the illusion that Americans advanced technologies and innovation is going to help the recovery of the US economy in the coming years.

http://www.bloomberg.com/video/63400346/


How dumb can you get?

As I mentioned on another posting about: The US economy it is sinking just like the Titanic – Here is why:

Every place you look you can see signs of massive decline of the US economy. The Shuttle space program is having its final voyage into space in the coming weeks then NASA is laying-off thousands of high power scientists in Florida, and in California – and keep in mind that NASA has been for a long time one of the symbols of American advanced technology – this NASA implosion it's just another sign of American decline and that the American economic system has become completely obsolete.

If you look around and connect the dots probably you will find 100's of similar examples here in the United States, and the dismantling of NASA it's not an isolated fluke.

I can already picture the US defense secretary calling China and saying: “The US is thinking about having a military confrontation with your country - Please can you send us a new supply of smart bombs to replenish our inventory of smart bombs which is very low right now.


*****


How dumb can you get?

I am talking about the US decision making process: not only in the financial system that lead to a complete economic and financial meltdown, but also regarding the US government....as per above examples.

Can you name another former superpower in world history that got this dumb?

Here is another example:

Afghanistan War: Here is a conversation between two Generals at the Pentagon - We can't bomb the Taliban because we run out of smart bombs.

Please call the Chinese and tell them that we need to replenish our inventory of smart bombs ASAP, and in the mean time we place that war on hold.

Before we change the subject - please also give a call to Israel and let them know that they can't bomb anybody in the Middle East in the near future, because we are not in the position of supplying Israel with more smart bombs.

We could go on and on with this laughable routine until we run out of funny ideas...


*****


Now do you understand why China is financing this massive deficit spending of the United States?

In exchange the United States will manufacture all its military armament in China.

You can get a lower cost in China, and the Chinese are very efficient they are able to fill in any order from the United States - ASAP.

I wonder if the Russians are also outsourcing their military armament production to China?


*****


‎"In First Press Conference Brazil's New President Says Currency War Can Lead to Real War" - Written by Yara Aquino - Brazzil magazine Thursday, 04 November 2010 16:50....


*****


After the General's at the Pentagon found out about Dilma Rousseff latest comments they took immediate action.

They called China to order a new supply of smart bombs to be prepared for a possible war.

.
"Quantitative Easing Brazilian Style” - the sky is the limit....
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 05, 2010

Ricardo: If "quantitative easing" QE2 currency policy is a sound financial policy, and it is good for the US Federal Reserve and for the US economy, then Henrique Meirelles should follow the lead of Ben Bernanke, and he should announce that Brazil also will adopt this type of policy, but Brazil will start with a modest figure - "Quantitative Easing Brazilian Style” and in the first round QE1 in Brazil will be for only US$ 300 billion, and if necessary by March 2011 the Brazilian Central Bank can go for QE2 and for another US$ 700 billion and so forth....basically, the sky is the limit on this type of strategy just keep in mind "Zimbabwe".


*****


“Ação do Fed tem consequências negativas para o Brasil, diz Meirelles”
CRISTINA FIBE - ENVIADA ESPECIAL A CHICAGO
Folha de Sao Paulo
04/11/2010 - 21h31

A decisão do Fed (Federal Reserve, o BC dos EUA) de injetar US$ 600 bilhões na economia americana "gera consequências negativas para outros países, e é o caso do Brasil", disse nesta quinta-feira o presidente do Banco Central, Henrique Meirelles, em Chicago.

Em palestra a estudantes da Booth School of Business, na Universidade de Chicago, ele afirmou que o "Fed está fazendo o que acha que é certo para os EUA".

O Brasil e outros países emergentes fizeram críticas ao programa de títulos da dívida norte-americana, anunciado na quarta-feira. O presidente Lula classificou de "irresponsabilidade" e mediocridade política" a ação do Fed.

Para o ministro Guido Mantega (Fazenda), "essa política de jogar dinheiro pelo avião só vai servir pra desvalorizar o câmbio e poderá gerar bolha nos países que estão comprando dólar".

Em entrevista, Meirelles não quis comentar o que o governo brasileiro fará para combater as consequências negativas do afrouxamento quantitativo, mas disse que ele "cria excesso de liquidez" para países como o Brasil. "Temos que tomar medidas para resolver essa questão."

TRANSIÇÃO

Questionado por um aluno brasileiro se a equipe de transição da presidente eleita, Dilma Rousseff, já está discutindo medidas para controlar o câmbio, Meirelles respondeu que o "time foi selecionado nesta semana para processar a transição e não está planejando políticas macroeconômicas".

À Folha o presidente do Banco Central disse "não estar pensando" se será mantido no Banco Central ou se assumirá um ministério no próximo governo.

"Ela [Dilma] tomará todas as decisões, é um processo bem organizado e acredito que as escolhas serão boas."

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/...et=&ccode=

.
quantitative easing" QE2 currency
written by ch.c., November 05, 2010
What is an economic stimulus ? more budget deficits...more debts printed
What is a war ? an economic stimulus paid with more....budget deficits...and more debts printed
What is a Quantitative Easing ? An economic stimulus paid with more budget deficits....thus more debts and more...printed money !


A Quantitative Easing si simply.....an economic stimulus !


what an idiot this Ricardo C. Amaral !
He is also with a big open mouth not that far from the TOP !

He loves to buy HIGH and sell low.
We never hear from him when markets tumbles.....funnily !


ohhhh yessssssss.....he swallows his LOSSES !

Then ask his dynasty family (real crooks) to fund him with more money.
And then buy...quite high again.

He was bullish, big mouth opened at the top of the oil prices in 2008.
Bullish on the Brazilian, Chinese, Russian and India stock markets RIGHT AT THE TOP !
And after bought some more on weaknesses......at the time markets were preparing their worst nightmare....in decades !


Ohhhhhh my.....ohhhhhh my !

Regards to Joao if still around ! winks !
The idiot Amaral "Former president Sarney has had health problems lately. He is even talking about not running for president of the senate in 2011. "
written by ch.c., November 05, 2010
Ohhh yesssss....he even said (privately) he is going to retire in his famous bunker...with a dozen children !

And said....AMEN....with a kilo of Viagra and 2 trucks of ethanol to sniff !

smilies/shocked.gifsmilies/shocked.gifsmilies/shocked.gifsmilies/shocked.gifsmilies/shocked.gif
Reply to Ch.c
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 05, 2010

Ricardo: Ch.c I understand that you a bitter regarding your regular stays in prison, but I see they let you out of prison again for the weekend pass in Switzerland. And the only thing that you are able to do with your short free-time is to come here to our forum to bash Brazil and the other members of this forum - as usual.

How are they treating you at the big house?


*****


Ricardo: This article was published this morning, and in my opinion Paul Volcker is one of the few people who makes sense in America these days regarding what he says about economics and financial policies.


***

Volcker: “Fed bond plan won't do much to boost economy” - Former Fed Chairman Volcker says bond buying plan won't do much to boost US economy
By: Kelly Olsen, AP Business Writer
On Friday November 5, 2010, 2:58 am EDT
Associated Press

SEOUL, South Korea (AP) -- Former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker says the U.S. central bank's plan to buy hundreds of billions of dollars in government bonds probably won't do much to boost the economic recovery.

The Fed announced Wednesday that it would purchase $600 billion in Treasurys, aiming to lower long-term interest rates in an effort to spur spending and ultimately lower the U.S. unemployment rate, currently at 9.6 percent. The move comes on the heels of previous purchases of $1.7 trillion in mortgage and Treasury bonds.

Volcker told a business audience in Seoul that the Fed's bond plan is obviously an attempt to spur the U.S. economy but "is not the kind of action that's likely to change the general picture that I've described as slow and labored recovery over a period of time."

The Fed's move has caused worries in South Korea and other emerging markets in Asia. Those governments fear that lower interest rates in the U.S. will further push investors to seek higher returns overseas and that this tide of money will drive up their currencies and destabilize their markets.

Volcker served as Fed chief from 1979 until 1987 under presidents Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan and is currently chairman of President Barack Obama's Economic Recovery Advisory Board. He also warned that the U.S. won't find its way out of the economic doldrums through over-stimulation.

"The thought that you can create a prosperous economy by inflating is an illusion, in my judgment," he told reporters after his speech. "And we should never forget that. I thought we'd learned that lesson and I hope we continue to learn that lesson."

The Fed faces a dilemma in balancing the aim of boosting the economy now while avoiding fears of a future jump in inflation due to the monetary stimulus, said Volcker, who as central bank chairman hiked interest rates aggressively to tame inflation.

"The influence of this kind of action on longer term interest rates, in particular, is ambiguous because the immediate impact of buying bonds ought to be to drive bond prices up and interest rates down," he said. "But if people get concerned about longer run inflationary impacts, the effects go in the other direction."

In theory, the Fed's action is expected to lower interest rates because bond prices and interest rates -- also known as yields -- move in opposite directions. The yield is the fixed amount of annual interest paid to the owner of the bond expressed as a percentage of the bond price, so the extra demand created by the Fed's purchases should push bond prices up and lower the yield.

But when investors fear inflation will be higher in the future they demand that bonds pay a higher interest rate to protect their investment from the value-eroding effects of inflation.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/...et=&ccode=

.




Reply to Ch.c
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 05, 2010

Ricardo: Ch.c, by the way, the Swiss prison authorities let you and your boy friends to use Viagra in prison?

.
Last but not least for the Junkie Ricardo Amaral
written by ch.c., November 05, 2010
JUST A REMINDER ON THE BOVESPA

ABOUT FLAT since the top of 2008
About FLAT since the start of 2010
About FLAT since the top April 2010

What an astounding miracle or mirage ?


Ohhhhh and BP.....who remembers BP ? Do you....idiot Ricardo ?
Welllll Brazil Petrobras is down more that British Petroleum this year !
Dont you recall Braz-zero Ricardo how bullish you have been time and again in the past on that stock ! Please scroll your articles and copy and paste them over here !
You even wrote at about the top in 2008 that your government should nationalize the company.
And I told you....Ohhhhh yessssss....at such a price. And resell it to the markets at a lower price...later on !
Right or not Genius EIN-STEIN AMARAL
And Braz-zero Ricardo....why dont you copy and paste your past articles...on brazilian sugarcane ethanol ?
Another brazilian miracle that stayed a mirage until proven otherwise.

Idiots always pretend that right they were ! Losers too !
Weak money always goes to stronger hands....over time !
DID NOT YOU KNOW ?

And dont you believe one second, dear idiot, that we in the developed nations dont invest in the ermerging nations either as producing companies do or as international investors do ?

Facts are that ALL your bull markets & bear markets are done...WITH developed nations investors !

So believing that we dont profit...of the stocks waves WE CREATE in your country (or another) is somewhat laughable.

Emerging nations companies are DEPENDENTS on developed nations banks FUNDING SINCE THEIR OWN GOVERNMENT DONT PROVIDE THEM WITH THEIR NEEDED FUNDING !

What a joke you are
Ricardo C. Amaral.....
great grand-grand son of a dynasty of BRAZILIAN crooks !
And the dynasty continue with your genes transmissions.


Laughs....laughs...laughs........ I cant stop !
...
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 05, 2010



Ricardo: A member of the Elite Trader Economics Forum posted some information regarding the economic history of Zimbabwe.

Here is my reply to that fellow that I posted at the ET economics forum:


****


When I compared the US dollar with the Zimbabwean dollar I was being sarcastic.

The US dollar is the largest international reserve currency, and that status gives the United States a very special position – the US can get away with murder regarding international monetary policy.

If wasn't for that special status, the Bernanke "quantitative easing" QE2 currency policy would be destroying the US dollar in the global currency markets right now, and interest rates would be skyrocketing here in the United States.

If the European Central Bank or the central bank of any country for that matter including Brazil tries to play that game and replicate Ben Bernanke's "quantitative easing" QE2 currency policy – just watch what would happen to the currency of that country in the international market.

.
ch.c
written by João da Silva, November 05, 2010

Regards to Joao if still around ! winks !


Thanks Komrad, and the same to you too. What is the weather like in Harare at this point of time?smilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gif
Ch.c - Switzerland what a joke of a country
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 06, 2010

Ricardo: Ch.c has been coming here to Brazzil magazine for many years and the only thing he does is to bash Brazil and the other members of Brazzil forum.

And he has the nerve to insult Brazil and Brazilians when his country is nothing more than banking and corporate sewer.

The number one industry in Switzerland is Banking based on money laundering from around the world.

Here are just a few examples of the underworld mentality of the corrupt people of this little piss as country.

Besides money laundering Switzerland is better known for producing Swiss cheese, a Swiss-knife that you can use for opening a bottle of beer, Swiss chocolate, Swiss watches, an army that is ready only to fight a war of the 12th century A.D. - like going for another crusade on the Middle East, in terms of music the Swiss is known for “Swiss yodeling” - and one of Switzerland best known products is Ricola.

Definition of a Swiss: a wannabe German


*****


"Swiss tackle Italian mafia on home soil"
SwissInfo - Jul 24, 2010
http://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/sw...d=18023934

The bloodiest arm of the Italian mafia, the ‘Ndrangheta,' has moved beyond just laundering money in Switzerland to other criminal activities on Swiss soil.


*****


"Criminal acts of Swiss Banks and other Mafia Organisations"
http://www.rene-delavy.com/eng...nisations/


*****


8 Apr, 2010, REUTERS
"Swiss money laundering reports hit record high"

http://economictimes.indiatime...774374.cms


*****


“Swiss financial fraud case draws Madoff parallels”
by Malcolm Curtis and Marta Falconi
August 10, 2010
http://www.swisster.ch/news/bu...llels.html

Four people are on trial for alleged financial fraud in a Swiss court case that is drawing parallels to that of Bernard Madoff, the former stock broker jailed for bilking thousands of investors of billions of dollars in the US.


*****


"Survey exposes the reality of Swiss corruption"
http://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/in...id=4895230

On International Anti-Corruption Day, Anne Schwübel of Transparency International (TI) tells swissinfo that corruption remains a problem in Switzerland.

Political parties were perceived as by far the most corrupt institutions in society in 45 of the 69 countries surveyed, including Switzerland.

The private sector and the media are next in line for lack of Swiss public trust.


*****


“Zardari Corruption Probe Alive in Switzerland”
Friday, August 22, 2008 - www.riazhaq.com
http://www.riazhaq.com/2008/08...ve-in.html

Musharraf's resignation and Asif Zardari's nomination for president occupy the big headlines, the renewed reports of the continuing Swiss probe into corruption allegations against Zardari are also vying for attention in the same week.

Swiss Judge Daniel Devaud has "confirmed to NEWSWEEK that the prosecutor's office was still investigating "aggravated" money-laundering offenses. Likewise, Jacques Python, a Geneva lawyer hired by Pakistan to work with Swiss authorities on the corruption case, said he had every reason to believe that the Geneva prosecutor's investigation was still open.


*****


'Baby Doc' stings Haiti for $4.6M
By Olivia Ward Foreign Affairs Reporter
Published On Thu Feb 04 2010
http://www.thestar.com/news/wo...i-for-4-6m

First the good news for Haiti's exiled dictator Jean-Claude "Baby Doc" Duvalier: Switzerland's top court has ordered at least $4.6 million (U.S.) in Swiss bank accounts returned to him.

And the bad news? The hot millions were promptly frozen.

If the millions had been sent to Baby Doc, it would be a blow to the cash-strapped Haitian government. It maintains that before he fled the near-bankrupt country – one step ahead of an angry mob – his family stole some $120 million.

Baby Doc inherited the Haitian leadership from his notorious father, François "Papa Doc" Duvalier, who died in 1971, leaving his 19-year-old son the world's youngest president. Jean-Claude's 15-year rule ended in violent riots after the economy skidded toward collapse.

His assets have also been frozen by Haiti and the U.S. government.


*****


July 25, 2010
“Swiss money laundering machine”
http://www.generalhistoryblog....g-machine/

.
after carefully reading the comments on this thread .....
written by asp, November 06, 2010
i have come to the conclusion that the united states , brazil and switzerland are the worst countries in the world
asp
written by João da Silva, November 06, 2010

i have come to the conclusion that the united states , brazil and switzerland are the worst countries in the world


It is time to buy a boat and live on the high seas, ASP.smilies/cheesy.gif
The United States from China's perspective
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 07, 2010

Ricardo: Joao da Silva, you will enjoy watching this video.

A reality check: The United States from China's perspective
http://blog.foreignpolicy.com/...y_anything

.


Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, November 07, 2010
thanks for reminding me how f**ked up his project would be for sc...
written by asp, November 07, 2010
they need to reject that bulls**t..

but, he has santa catarina polititions in his back pocket, same with ibama, fatma and other envirnmental agencies...those political bithes have gone ahead on various projects that damaged the envirnment in santa catarina...all for the money

and , thanks to a report on rede record, we know batista has a horrible track record for the envirnment on his projects..

this project will bring no good to the envirnment

there is a baia de golfinos (dolphin family in the bay) that will be disrupted

there is one of the only "bandeira azul" beaches in brazil that will be threatened by this project...might as well take a s**t on the bandeira azul

tourism , and people who earn money from tourism, will be affected

fishing and small fishermen will be affected

this project needs to be tanked

asp
written by João da Silva, November 07, 2010

thanks for reminding me how f**ked up his project would be for sc...


You are most welcome, ASP.smilies/cheesy.gif

I would very much like our friend Ricardo to read the news report and judge by himself about the "project". It is a shame that our politicians have not repaired the Port of Itajai after the floods in 2008 and are yet to finish BR 101-Sul. No end in sight and yet they want to come out with another project. To benefit whom?>smilies/sad.gif
Reply to ASP and to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 08, 2010

Ricardo: When a country moves to an accelerated growth mode and speed economic development in an effort to become a country of the first world, then there's a price to pay regarding the environment and so on...

Do you think European countries, China, and the United States were able to achieve economic success without a lot of damage to the environment along the way?

Nuclear power plants come with a price, so the development of the oil industry by Petrobras. Even agricultural development causes problems to the environment in one way or another.

The development of new infrastructure such as new ports, highways, bullet trains system, and so on it will have a negative impact on the environment.

People wants all the benefits that comes from a rapid economic development, but they don't want the collateral damage that is also part of the deal.

Since Petrobras announced all these new oil findings all along the coast of Brazil – the first thing that came to mind it was the damage and all the pollution that all this oil development is going to cause to the beautiful coast of Brazil.

Brazilians have to decide what they want: economic development that will generate growth in the economy and new jobs and a better standard of living for the population or what is the alternative?

.
you can have both....
written by asp, November 08, 2010
brazil can learn exactly from the mistakes those countries made

they dont have to go down dumb paths that the usa did in destroying its envirnment

its not about helping people, its about payoffs and money under the table

you keep on talking about china, who the f**k would want to live there under authoritarion rule telling you what the f**k you can do and not do,and their massive desicians on what envirnment they want to f**k up .i mean, great for their growth , but it is f**ked

thank god there are people in brazil aware of this bulls**t, and, thank god you arnt in charge of whether this thing goes forward or not

you would f**k that area in the ass, and not give a s**t

you need to get the f**k down to brazil more often , and see what is happening on the ground
joao.....
written by asp, November 08, 2010
ill tell you the problem whith some of the opposition to this project.

i read some of their literature, they are stuck in the arcaic dogma of the red flaggers with their denouncement of capitalism as part of the base of the problem. they forgot that communist countries have the worst envirnmental records.

and here is the real kicker, the beach with the bandeira azul is loaded with capitalists

these idiots dont realise that they need to team up with those capatalists to fight this, not alienate them with arcaic dogma

its no wonder that people like batista can come in and rape the area with the suppot of people like amoral
actualy , ricardo...
written by asp, November 08, 2010
i see you are just saying its up to the brazilian people about what they want

i dont really know what you would do , so, i take back what i said that you would go ahead with that project and f**k the area in the ass
asp
written by João da Silva, November 08, 2010

i read some of their literature, they are stuck in the arcaic dogma of the red flaggers with their denouncement of capitalism as part of the base of the problem. they forgot that communist countries have the worst envirnmental records.


No, ASP, they are organizing this "movement" to line up their own pockets!! Unless our educated but spineless middle class wakes up, the "rape" of the environment will continue.smilies/angry.gif
Reply to Joao da Silva - Part 1 of 2
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 09, 2010

Ricardo: Someone started a thread on the Elite Trader Economics Forum "Brazil's new president warns of WW3".

I just saw today that thread and posted the following, because they were pissing me off with their comments:

Brazil's new president warns of WW3
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/...genumber=7


November 8, 2010

SouthAmerica: If there's a major bubble in the international financial system that bubble is called: US dollar.

There's an over supply of US dollars flying around the world.

We have passed the saturation point and have reached the boiling point – now it is just a matter of time for some central banker to spook the herd and we have a massive stampede out of the US dollar.

It looks like that China and Japan are the guys who will be holding the bag for the United States as they take a beating on their massive US dollar holdings.

It will be also bad for many small countries around the world since the little foreign reserves that they have are in US dollars.

The world is waking up to the fact that there's little future for the US economy and there's no justification whatsoever for the US dollar to continue to be the major foreign reserve currency around the world.

In a Nutshell: The party is over!!!!!


******


Now going back to some of the comments on this thread – Dilma was not predicting a war between Brazil vs. USA – she was talking about WW III and this time around such war would be even nastier than WW II and such war would engulf more countries than WW II.

The United States government better place their calls to China to place an order for smart bombs ASAP – the only problem is who is going to finance this war for the United States?

Maybe this time around the US can finance such war with Confetti (by printing more US dollars).

A war between the United States and Brazil you can rule that one out, because Brazilians love to spend their vacation in Disney World in Florida.

.
Reply to Joao da Silva - Part 2 of 2
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 09, 2010

November 9, 2010

SouthAmerica: Reply to Jem

Brazil is a country almost 100 percent self-sufficient – if Brazil close its borders tomorrow to the rest of the world, Brazil can survive with minimum disruption to its internal market.

We have everything in Brazil and basically Brazil does not need anything from any other country to be able to survive.

Brazil is a credit nation and the United States is on the hook to Brazil for over $ 300 billion dollars as of December 31, 2010.

The United States is the poor country that needs to borrow money from Brazil, and not the other way around.

Brazil is in such a good shape economically speaking that in the last meeting of the G-20 in South Korea about 2 weeks ago the Brazilian Finance Minister did not bother even of showing up because he had more important things to do in Brazil.

The monetary game with China has been doing well for many years – but the suckers on this deal is not Brazil – it's the United States.

The Chinese are laughing of the United States and its collapsing economic system and they are going to help undermine the US economic system with very cheap money as long as necessary – and they just watch the US economic system self-destruct one step at the time.

Ben Bernanke latest “quantitative easing” QE2 in plain English “printing money” as fast as possible it is a desperate effort by a Central Banker to project the illusion of wealth a little longer before the house of cards come down crashing.

When, under QE, a central bank buys from an institution, the institution's bank account is credited directly and their bank gains reserves. The increase in deposits from the quantitative easing process causes an excess in reserves and private banks can then, if they wish, create even more new money out of "thin air" by increasing debt (lending) through a process known as deposit multiplication and thus increase the country's money supply. The reserve requirement limits the amount of new money. For example a 10% reserve requirement means that for every $10,000 created by quantitative easing the total new money created is potentially $100,000. The US Federal Reserve's now out-of-print booklet “Modern Money Mechanics” explains the process.

China needs Brazil, but Brazil does not need China or the US for that matter.

Brazil has something to sell to China, the ships go full of commodities to China – then China pays Brazil in US dollars and after paying most of its international debt to the IMF and to the Club of Paris and on top of that being able to accumulate another US$ 300 billion dollars in foreign exchange currency – Brazil does not care about what Americans think – for all practical purposes the United States has become completely obsolete and yesterday news.

The ships come full of stuff to sell on the United States and they go back empty to China.

In the meantime, China has the United States by the balls to the tune of trillions of US dollars – and the United States has become so pathetic that they don't have control even of critical strategic minerals that they sold to China because the US economic system is becoming a completely clueless economic system.

What is left of the US economic system is standing on top of quicksand, and is held together by government intervention, accounting gimmicks, and not much substance.

Here is the sad reality of what is left of the US economy:

http://www.usdebtclock.org/

I close my case.


****


Jem, as you can see Brazil is the country on the way up, and the United States is the country that is falling like a rock.

.
...
written by Carlos 03, November 10, 2010
It is incredible that Amaral calls himself an economist and yet does not know even the basics of economics and finance. Sad and pathetic... I am out.
Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, November 10, 2010

A war between the United States and Brazil you can rule that one out, because Brazilians love to spend their vacation in Disney World in Florida.


My preferred vacation spot is the Mid-West, Ricardo.smilies/wink.gif

hahaha
written by asp, November 11, 2010
what actualy is really f**king funny is that , there are actualy some shrink minded idiots down here that actualy think they are in a state of war with the usa...hahahahaha
Reply to Adrianerik - about education
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 11, 2010

Adrianerik: I believe that you wrote on another thread your disdain for higher education investment in Brazil.


*****


Ricardo: Let clarify for you what I said on the comments section of my articles about China investing US$ 200 billion dollars in Brazil – and also following my article about the renationalization of Petrobras.

First, the investment development that I described on these articles were about economic development of infrastructure in Brazil.

Second, I said that education piece would be part of the normal budget of the Brazilian government.

I also said that we need to redesign and implement a new educational system in Brazil to be relevant to the world of the 21st century.

I said I am not smart enough to design such a system, and I would get the best minds available to come up with the new educational system – and I would consult such people as Alvin Toffler, Jeremy Rifkin, Jon Naisbitt, Don Tapscott, and also the best minds from Europe, Singapore, Germany, Sweden, and also Brazil.

My idea of the new state-of-the-art educational system of the future, and what you have in mind are 2 concepts completely different.

Adrianerik, please make an effort and watch these videos, then you begin to understand what I am talking about. I usually try to change the subject when people bring up education, because most people are talking about an educational system that is completely obsolete and irrelevant to the world of the 21st century. These videos will give an idea of what I think about the future of education.

That's why it's imperative that the Brazilian government connect Brazil ASAP with the state-of-the-art fiber optics high-speed Broadband technology.

Enjoy the show:


Alvin Toffler on Education
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...r_embedded


Jeremy Rifkin – The Economy of the Future
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...r_embedded


A short talk with Jeremy Rifkin - July 2008
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...r_embedded


Jeremy Rifkin: The Empathic Civilization – July 2010
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...r_embedded


Jeremy Rifkin: Redefining Progress – July 2010
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...r_embedded


Jeremy Rifkin: Renewable Progress – July 2010
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=channel


Jeremy Rifkin: The Origins of Progress – July 2010
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=channel


Jeremy Rifkin: Technological Progress – July 2010
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=channel


Jeremy Rifkin – Seminar at Google on January 28, 2010
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...embedded#!

.
Jeremy
written by adrianerik, November 11, 2010
Generally, I like Jeremy's contributions. I'll watch these. I consider him to be objective.

He is not always correct. I read his EMERGING ORDER a while back and it lacked an analysis of how progressive forces would organize to counteract the trend towards conservative domination.

Still, I'll watch them.

Here's something else for you to chew on. Lula, at the G-20 has called upon the industrialized nations to increase their consumption or else the 'world' is going to collapse.

Now, all talk of 'rising' countries and 'falling' countries aside, Lula's view is the classic view of most economists' views of the current world's economy: what part of the 13 trillion dollars a year economy generated by the U.S. can they fit into. Not to mention the buying and spending generated by the other industrialized countries.

By the way, besides calling for an increase in consumption of the industrialized countries he is calling for a basket of currencies to replace the dollar also.
Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, November 11, 2010

and I would consult such people as Alvin Toffler, Jeremy Rifkin, Jon Naisbitt, Don Tapscott, and also the best minds from Europe, Singapore, Germany, Sweden, and also Brazil.


Menos...menos....menos..., Ricardo.You don't have to consult with such famous international celebrities. It is enough to listen to João Haddad and his peers. All local stock and speak at least 5 languages.smilies/sad.gif
Time is up - follow my suggestion about 30 percent devaluation and fixed exchange rate pegged to US dollar and the yuan - or you are going to see a massive meltdown in the Brazilian economy when the h
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 15, 2010

Ricardo: Here is what I posted on the Elite Trader Economics Forum late on Saturday night:

***

EMRGLOBAL: ...Two of my clients are the most powerful "Capitalist" in Brazil. They said that the currency will stand as is. Devlaue of the Reais will not happen. Imports to brazil are strong, exports have slowed but not to much.


*****


November 14, 2010

SouthAmerica: Reply to EMRGLOBAL

I have a question for you: Do you work for "Goldman Sachs the Pillage People"?

I am writing an article right now, to show in detail why Brazil has to act immediately regarding the devaluation of the real and become a fixed rate currency pegged to the US dollar and the yuan.

After the G-20 fiasco in South Korea it becomes imperative that Brazil implement ASAP a 30 percent devaluation of the real before the Brazilian government adopts the new fixed exchange rate system of pegged currencies against the US dollar and the yuan as I suggested on other postings.

There's no time to waste - and Brazil has to catch the market by surprise – the global “currency wars” are right on schedule.

If you have been reading my postings then you know that this suggestion is not my first choice. I have been writing for years that Brazil should adopt the "New Asian Currency" - but China is wasting time instead of creating such a currency which would benefit everybody including China, Japan, and Brazil.

I never suggested anywhere in my articles or postings that Brazil should adopt the yuan the currency Chinese currency - and I hope you understand the difference of these two choices.

My suggestion for the 30 percent devaluation of the real and Brazil adopt the new fixed exchange rate system of pegged currencies against the US dollar and the yuan - this is just a temporary solution for Brazil until China wakes up and create the "New Asian Currency" similar to the euro.

I know what is going to happen to the Brazilian economy if they don't follow up on my suggestion. It will not be a pretty sight believe me.

I don't care about what your capitalists friends are saying to you - Brazil does not have a choice, or Brazil follow my above suggestion, or Brazil will pay the price in a big way when the "Hot Money" start a stampede out of Brazil. (You can tell that to your capitalist friends next time you talk to those fellows.)

The world has changed and we need to change ASAP the laws in Brazil regarding land ownership by foreigners - not only limiting the amount of land that foreigners can control direct or indirect, but also give them a period of 5 years for them to sell the over limit size of land that they already own.

We have a new ball game here in the 21st century - you can bet on that.

Your capitalist friends wouldn't be around today if wasn't for massive government intervention to keep the global economy from a complete meltdown during 2008.

And in January 2005 I wrote an article saying in detail how the US economy was going to explode in the fall of 2008 - I even identified the derivatives market as the source of the explosion plus the real estate market.

You should go back to that article and see the postings of people making fun of what I said on that article - by the summer of 2008 these people thought I was better than Nostradamus.

If Brazil does not follow my suggestion then you are going to see a massive meltdown in the Brazilian economy when the herd gets spooked and the stampede start out of Brazil.

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/...enumber=24


Note: my screen name on the Elite Trader forum is: SouthAmerica
.
We have reached the end of the line for the US dollar
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 15, 2010

Ricardo: This article is saying what I have been saying on my articles for a long time.

How the Tea Party is brewing up trouble for the world's currencies
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/fin...ncies.html

...The fact that countries are becoming aggressive about currencies is merely a symptom of a far deeper issue: that the international monetary system has failed, and there is no one willing or able to come up with a reconstruction job.

We are in the midst of a shift in international monetary structures, such as happened in Bretton Woods in the 1940s, or in the move to floating exchange rates in the 1970s.

.
Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 17, 2010

Ricardo: Joao, today I posted a bunch of information on the comments section of the Charlie Rose Show - following his interview with Ian Bremmer from Eurasia Group.

There's a lot of material, but if you connect the dots you can see that the US dollar has reached the end of the line as a global foreign reserve currency.

After the currency has its meltdown the illusion of military power also
collapse. The US dollar is the Achilles heel of the United States, and people from around the world if they use common sense they will realize that there is no justification for the US dollar to continue as the main global reserve currency.

After you read the postings at the Charlie Rose site you will understand what I am saying:

http://www.charlierose.com/view/interview/11293

.



A Reality Check Regarding the US Economy
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 19, 2010

Overdose: The Next Financial Crisis

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...r_embedded

.


yawn...yawn ...yawn...yawn
written by asp, November 19, 2010
jesus f**king christ, i wish some one could really tell us what is going to happen and when....

most of this information is just hind sight monday morning quarter backing

no one really knows what the f**k is going to happen

there are a huge amount of unforseeable things that could happen that could affect the financial crisis either way

once again, amoral, you have given a linc that has bored me to death with information that is already out there

what do you expect from a guy who brings in 8 moan chumpski youtubes as some kind of credibility about what is happening in south america?
The current economic crisis of the US economy - Part 1 of 3
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 21, 2010

Ricardo: Today I answered a question from a South Korea entrepreneur who have ties with the Chinese government (his name is Mr. Luke H. Lee), and during our discussion on Facebook about "the current economic crisis" I told him the following:


Part 1 of 2


Mr. Lee, you said: “The United States is the most innovative country in the world; the United States has the best universities; the United States has the best political system, etc. I strongly believe the United States can and will soon find a simple and viable solution for the current economic, social and military crisis.”

Let me answer you in various parts:

First, the human capital (the well educated people with higher levels of education) is leaving the United States at an alarming rate and going to places where there's some kind of future for them such as Brazil, India, China, and so on...(In 2008 alone 100,000 Indians went to India and this new generation who are leaving the country are made up of a very well educated people with PhD's and other science degrees these are the guys who start the high-tech companies in Silicon Valley and in other parts of the USA. The reason they are leaving the US and going to India, it's because they think the future is going to be created there and not in the United States.)

The mainstream media here in the United States never say a word on this subject, but in the last 3 years the United States had reverse illegal immigration - that means that there are more illegal immigrants leaving the United States than illegal immigrants coming in - the net loss of illegal immigrants has been over 2 million people during that period – and you can see what is happening with this reverse illegal immigration not only by the exodus that has been happening around the communities where these illegal immigrants used to live, but also in the large decline of the amount of money that these illegal immigrants used to send home to help their families.

This trend of reverse immigration has not happened in the United States in a long time probably in over 100 years. These reverse illegal immigration is the “canary in the coal mine” and represents a major alert signal to the implosion that is happening inside the US economy, since these illegal immigrants are the type of people who would take any type of job to survive and to help their families.

Here is what I posted on the Elite Trader Economics forum in June 2010. My screen name on that forum is: SouthAmerica.

June 17, 2010

Yesterday, when I saw the article about unemployed workers published by CNNMoney that article reminded me of a posting that I made on the Elite Trader Economics Forum on January 7, 2008 as follows:

January 7, 2008

SouthAmerica: I was watching today on CNN the Democratic Party debate broadcasted live yesterday on ABC TV.

I did not watch the entire debate, but in the part that I did watch Senator John Edwards was talking about the US job market and the estimated figures that he saw last week saying that the US economy is going to lose 30 million jobs in the coming years.

I am not surprised by this massive loss in jobs in the US economy in the coming years and he reminded me of one of the articles I wrote a few years ago.

...For the first time in US history over 50 percent of the people who are unemployed are very well-educated people. Does it make any difference if the unemployed people are well educated or if they are blue color workers as in the past?

You bet it does.

Well-educated people can fight back the system that has discarded them for no good reason and they can expose the weaknesses of the entire system because many of these well-educated people know where the cracks are in the wall of the dam.

In the age of the internet and of knowledge the well-educated people can fight back the system like never before with the power of the pen.

I am sure the people who runs the US government today have never grasped that simple fact, and they think that it is just business as usual.

For the people who are unemployed, the economic depression is already here. For the people who still have jobs, they know that if they lose their jobs it will be almost impossible to find a new job. The difference between past recessions and the current job slump is that the people laid-off in the past would be rehired when the economy recovered. This time around most people's jobs have gone forever.

We are in the beginning stages of a possible worldwide depression. Americans still in denial and they don’t want to recognize the reality—the best days of the American economy are long gone, and today the system is running on borrowed money. The federal government, the states, the companies and the public are all surviving on credit. How far can this situation keep going on before the house of cards collapses?

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/...ost1738751

.
The current economic crisis of the US economy - Part 2 of 3
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 21, 2010

Part 2 of 3


“Out-of-work job applicants told unemployed need not apply”
CNNMoney.com
By: Chris Isidore, senior writer
Wednesday June 16, 2010

The last thing someone who is unemployed needs to be told is that they shouldn't even apply for the limited number of job openings that are available. But some companies and recruiters are doing just that.

Employment experts say they believe companies are increasingly interested only in applicants who already have a job.

… Some job postings include restrictions such as "unemployed candidates will not be considered" or "must be currently employed." Those explicit limitations have occasionally been removed from listings when an employer or recruiter is questioned by the media though.

… But even if companies don't spell out in a job listing that they won't consider someone who currently doesn't have a job, experts said that unemployed applicants are typically ruled out right off the bat…


*****


I posted the following on the Elite Trader Economics forum in July 31, 2008:

Today I was reading the latest issue of U.S. News and World Report magazine (Aug 4 – 11, 200smilies/cool.gif and they had a special articles on US Social trends: “The Quiet Exodus” by Jay Tolson.

The article said that there are: “…4 to 7 million the number of non-government- employed Americans living abroad – and 1.6 million households had already determined to relocate abroad; 1.8 million households were seriously considering such a move while 7.7 million more were somewhat seriously contemplating it.

…More interesting, the biggest number of relocating households is not those people in or approaching retirement, but those adults ranging from 25 to 34 years old…

The U.S. News and World Report article is referring about an exodus of Americans at their prime age.

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/...ost2014113


*****


Ricardo Amaral: Mr. Lee as you can see after you connect the dots don't expect that innovation is going to rescue the US economy this time around – it's not going to happen.

You said: “The United States is the most innovative country in the world; the United States has the best universities; the United States has the best political system, etc. I strongly believe the United States can and will soon find a simple and viable solution for the current economic, social and military crisis.”

Remember a big chunk of this human capital produced by the US university system – the people that you need to be able to get the innovation – they are going away from the United States such as the 100,000 Indians who went to India during the year of 2008 and the trend did continued in 2009 and 2010. We are also having an exodus of Americans at their prime age, those adults ranging from 25 to 34 years old who gave up on the United States and are moving to other places around the world with better prospects for the future.

Another trend that assure us that innovation is not in the way to rescue the US economy is the fact that in the last 20 years the brightest minds produced by the US university system – the people who used to do the research and development and the innovation that you are thinking about – instead of doing that they went in large numbers to work on Wall Street to create gimmicks and and innovative scams to rip off and milk the financial and economic system, and without creating much of real value for the future.

And regarding Wall Street the best you can hope for these days is for the scoundrels of a company such as “Goldman Sachs the Pillage People” to come up with a new innovative way to rip off people from around the world. Or the Fed under Ben Bernanke to continue playing QE 2, QE3, QE4...games to damage the economic system of the emerging market countries.

Second, Mr. Lee you said that the United States has the best political system, in this regard I am going to quote what I said on my article published on Brazzil Magazine on April 23, 2010 - “Brazil and the New Economic Miracle” as follows:

...“The United States Economy

Wall Street corporations were designed for the sole purpose of making profits, and they are in the money business - of making a lot of money or losing a ton of it. As the dot.com meltdown of 2000, and the stock market crash of 2008 have shown us, Wall Street is more in tune with losing trillions of US dollars with their gambling schemes and all kinds of financial shenanigans, than anything else.

And they are also capable of not only losing trillions of US dollars from investors from around the world, but also the pension nest eggs of American workers built over a long period of time. And trillions of US dollars have gone up in smoke almost overnight during every stock market meltdown we had such as in 2000, and in 2008; resulting in a real pension nightmare in the coming years for U.S. retirees and to retirees of other countries as well.

.
The current economic crisis of the US economy - Part 3 of 3
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 21, 2010

Part 3 of 3


The U.S. economy is in deep trouble and dying a slow death with no hope for meaningful change in sight. The current US economic and government system is heavily influenced by powerful lobbying groups that want to keep the status quo going and their self-serving agendas in place, and making it almost impossible for the system to change and adapt to the new economic circumstances.

And some corporations such as Goldman Sachs have infiltrated the US government at the highest levels with their network of former Goldman Sachs executives in an effort to influence US government policies on behalf of the financial and banking industry and their financial games.
I just read the book "It Takes a Pillage - Behind the Bailouts, Bonuses, and Backroom Deals from Washington to Wall Street" by Nomi Prins, a book published in October 2009. The book explains in detail the demise and complete destruction of the US economy by the power brokers of Wall Street.

After reading this book you finally will understand why the new generations of Americans don't have any future and how Wall Street stole their future and wasted the money to the tune of trillions of US dollars. The author gives an outstanding explanation and detailed information about what happened in the US financial markets that ended up in a global financial meltdown.

After reading this book you will have a much better understanding about what is going on with the US economy today, how we got to this point and the massive trouble that lies ahead of us.

Basically there is only one conclusion for this massive financial mess made in the USA, and the year 2008 marks the end of an era, and the capitalist brand of America.

Nomi Prins is a former managing director at Goldman Sachs, and her book exposes the corruption in Washington and Wall Street. Her articles are published in Fortune magazine, the Nation, Mother Jones, and other publications. And her latest book has become an important source of information about the corruption in Washington and its connection to Wall Street.

The book shows how the revolving door between Wall Street and Washington enabled and encouraged the disastrous behavior of large investment banks. You'll meet the Pillage People: the men who funneled trillions of dollars directly to the banks and the executives whose companies drained the American economy.

And if you don't believe me that the US economic system is in deep trouble and beyond repair, then you don't need to look any further than what has transpired in the United States since the financial meltdown of 2008. The US financial system ended up in intensive care, and almost died a quick death. And what has happened in the United States since then regarding any efforts by Congress to try to fix the problems that caused the collapse of the US and global financial system in 2008?

As usual, Americans learned nothing from these past fiascos, and if anything the problems are becoming even bigger today with much bigger surviving financial institutions that are fighting very hard against any government regulation of their business, and they use their powerful lobbying connections to fight very hard to keep things as they were before the last financial meltdown.

How dumb can you be? And next time, when the coming collapse and financial meltdown become a reality once again, then the safety net of the US government won't be there. This time around Wall Street has exhausted the financial resources of the United States.

Remember, since the Wall Street bailouts of 2008, the scoundrels of Wall Street have consistently been milking all the US government resources to the bone, and they also have been putting in place a structure for another major US government bailout of Wall Street in the future - for US taxpayers to pay for the bets that went sour for Wall Street.

When it comes to forms of corruption, in Brazil they still have a crude and old system and they use terms that include: bribery, extortion, cronyism, nepotism, patronage, graft, and embezzlement. In contrast, the United States has a much more polished and sophisticated corruption system called lobbying. And the American lobbying system works in a very efficient way by buying favors directly from the politicians through campaign contributions.

The US Economic and Financial System Is Incapable of Meaningful Change”

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Regarding the current economic crisis of the US economy
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 21, 2010

In a Nutshell:

The United States is becoming a basket case very quickly, faster than anyone would expect – at the speedy of light, and in another 20 or 30 years we are going to look back to the world of around 2008 to 2012 in the same way we look back today, and we are able to see the years when the Soviet Empire was crumbling and collapsing economically and militarily in the late 1980's and early 1990's.

But today the fast growing irrelevance of the United States as a superpower is a major problem to the world because the massive over-supply of US dollar currency flying around the world (the major foreign reserve currency) is also reaching the end of the line resulting in the final US dollar meltdown and in the biggest international monetary crisis the world has ever seen.

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ill tell you what, ricardo...
written by asp, November 21, 2010
if this s**t doesnt go down exactly as you say, you are going to look like the biggest fool on the face of the earth...

in the meantime , ill take your words at face value and sit back and wait for the inevitable destruction of the usa as we know it, ala soviet union internal destruction style

ill look at the election of sarah palin as the canary in the mine signal

you know , i moved to new york in 78 when they were saying all the same things you are saying now about the usa

and it rebounded like gangbusters
the question i have for you...ricardo, is...
written by asp, November 21, 2010
why is this brazilian administration so stuck in not devaluing its currancy ?

is it because they lived through the horrible inflation days , printing up money all the time and always having to look at the "dollar " as the "stable" currency ?

people got so stuck in bowing to the "dollar", they would start blaming it for their problems

and , people would raise prices all the time and blame it on the dollar.

the funny thing is that now, they still raise prices, but, dont have any "dollar" to blame it on
The Brazilian Finance Minister is wasting valuable time in taking the proper action regarding the "Currency Wars"
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 21, 2010

ASP: "why is this brazilian administration so stuck in not devaluing its currancy ?"


*****


Ricardo: Because they are very foolish, and they have not learned the lessons from the past.

They don't have a clue about the horrible shape that the US economy is today - and it will get much worse here in the USA in 2011, and 2012.

That's a good thing that we still have a lot of "trouxas" here in the US and around the world, and we just had another example this past week here in the US when the suckers bought "GM" stock.

The United States and China don't have another alternative to change their currency game - and as a result the foolish Brazilians are going to be taken for a ride.

That is what happens with fools they are taken to the cleaners every time.

Anything can spark a massive stampede right now, and when the herd gets spooked the "Hot Money" is going to leave behind just the carcass of the Brazilian economy.

And the Brazilians are going to look like fools, because they did not prepare for this catastrophe even tough a similar event happened just 2 years ago - the difference is this time around the international monetary system explosion it will be much larger and with no safety net to catch the pieces.

It is sad to see my country being set up for a big fall, and there's nothing I can do about it, other than watch the economic and financial meltdown.

At the end of the day, we have an international economic war, and over the years I wrote in various articles that the easiest way to destroy the economy of a country is to torpedo its currency.

The Chinese are smart they don't let their currency to go up against the US dollar, because they know what that would do the their internal economy, and the havoc that would create to Chinese manufacturers.

That's a good thing that the Brazilian economy has millions of jobs to export to another countries - and I bet China and other countries will welcome these jobs.

Brazilians can be happy that they have an over-valued currency, and they are going to be screwed even further in the near future, until they grasp what is the game that is being played by the United States and China.

The only way to neutralize the Brazilian economic and financial loss, is to follow my suggestion about at least a 30 percent devaluation, adopt a system of fixed exchange rate pegged to US dollar and the yuan. And at the same time reduce the Brazilian Central Bank Selic rate inside Brazil to a level around 8 percent.

And Guido Mantega the Finance Minister should increase the penalty against the "Hot Money" leaving the country before a certain period of time to a rate close to 80 percent.

If the Brazilian government does not follow these steps to protect the Brazilian economy then they deserve to lose their shirt.

We have an old saying in Brazil that applies to this situation:

"Quem e burro, que pessa a Deus que o mate, e ao Diabo que o carregue."

.


Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, November 21, 2010

Ricardo: Because they are very foolish, and they have not learned the lessons from the past.


C´mon Ricardo. Give Madame Rousseff a break. You asked the Brasilians to elect her as the President and most of us followed your advice. The lady hasnt even been sworn in as the President yet and you have already started criticizing her & her team! Remember she is an economist graduated from UNICAMP and I bet she knows what is good for the Brasilian economy!!

To ASP:

ill look at the election of sarah palin as the canary in the mine signal


From what little I have read about Sarah Palin, she sounds to be the right person to prevent the good ole U.S. of A from sliding into a great depression. So I suggest you vote for her in 2012.
smilies/wink.gifsmilies/wink.gif
To Ricardo
written by Joao Antonio, November 22, 2010
Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 22, 2010

Ricardo: I am not criticizing Dilma Rousseff, she is not the current president of Brazil.

Guido Mantega has to take action before she becomes the president of Brazil in January of 2011.

Guido Mantega has to catch the market by surprise right now, before the stampede starts out of Brazil.

Right now the vultures are feasting in Europe - Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, and so on...

But before you know they are going to feast in Brazil.

.




Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 22, 2010

Ricardo: Basically what I am saying is that Guido Mantega should do the dirty work before the end of 2010, and leave the new structure in place and ready for Dilma Rousseff when she becomes president in January 2011.

There's nothing wrong in positioning Brazil right now to play the same currency game that China and the United States have been playing.

The game is not going to change for a long time regarding China and the United States, because of the internal problems that it would cause for the economies of these 2 countries.

That's why Brazil has to adjust on its side to play the same game that these 2 countries are playing.

There's no two ways about it - in 2011 and 2012 the US economy is going to implode into a black hole when the 34 Republican governors follow the lead of the governor of New Jersey (remember New Jersey is the model right now for the Republican Party) and most of these governors were elected to cut their state budgets to the bone as the New Jersey governor did in 2010.

Governor Christie cut the New Jersey state budget by 33 percent from $ 33 billion dollars to $ 22 billion dollars and the result has been a massive implosion of the New Jersey economy.

In 2011, and 2012 governors from around the United States are going to cut their states budget by 25 to 30 percent and the result will be catastrophic for the United States economy - the US dollar should decline accordingly creating a major currency crisis.

The time is now to announce a devaluation of the real by 30 or 35 percent and to anchor the real against the US dollar and the yuan - and when the s**t hits the fan we all hope for the best.

If Guido Mantega does not follow this strategy then the Real will continue appreciating against the US dollar and the yuan with catastrophic consequences for the Brazilian economy.

.








Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 22, 2010

Ricardo: Joao, here is another example of how the US economy is spinning out of control.

“There Will Be Blood” - By Paul Krugman
Published: November 22, 2010
The New York Times

Former Senator Alan Simpson is a Very Serious Person. He must be — after all, President Obama appointed him as co-chairman of a special commission on deficit reduction.

So here’s what the very serious Mr. Simpson said on Friday: “I can’t wait for the blood bath in April. ... When debt limit time comes, they’re going to look around and say, ‘What in the hell do we do now? We’ve got guys who will not approve the debt limit extension unless we give ’em a piece of meat, real meat,’ ” meaning spending cuts. “And boy, the blood bath will be extraordinary,” he continued.

Think of Mr. Simpson’s blood lust as one more piece of evidence that our nation is in much worse shape, much closer to a political breakdown, than most people realize.

Some explanation: There’s a legal limit to federal debt, which must be raised periodically if the government keeps running deficits; the limit will be reached again this spring. And since nobody, not even the hawkiest of deficit hawks, thinks the budget can be balanced immediately, the debt limit must be raised to avoid a government shutdown. But Republicans will probably try to blackmail the president into policy concessions by, in effect, holding the government hostage; they’ve done it before.

Now, you might think that the prospect of this kind of standoff, which might deny many Americans essential services, wreak havoc in financial markets and undermine America’s role in the world, would worry all men of good will. But no, Mr. Simpson “can’t wait.” And he’s what passes, these days, for a reasonable Republican.

The fact is that one of our two great political parties has made it clear that it has no interest in making America governable, unless it’s doing the governing. And that party now controls one house of Congress, which means that the country will not, in fact, be governable without that party’s cooperation — cooperation that won’t be forthcoming.

Elite opinion has been slow to recognize this reality. Thus on the same day that Mr. Simpson rejoiced in the prospect of chaos, Ben Bernanke, the Federal Reserve chairman, appealed for help in confronting mass unemployment. He asked for “a fiscal program that combines near-term measures to enhance growth with strong, confidence-inducing steps to reduce longer-term structural deficits.”

My immediate thought was, why not ask for a pony, too? After all, the G.O.P. isn’t interested in helping the economy as long as a Democrat is in the White House. Indeed, far from being willing to help Mr. Bernanke’s efforts, Republicans are trying to bully the Fed itself into giving up completely on trying to reduce unemployment.

And on matters fiscal, the G.O.P. program is to do almost exactly the opposite of what Mr. Bernanke called for. On one side, Republicans oppose just about everything that might reduce structural deficits: they demand that the Bush tax cuts be made permanent while demagoguing efforts to limit the rise in Medicare costs, which are essential to any attempts to get the budget under control. On the other, the G.O.P. opposes anything that might help sustain demand in a depressed economy — even aid to small businesses, which the party claims to love.

Right now, in particular, Republicans are blocking an extension of unemployment benefits — an action that will both cause immense hardship and drain purchasing power from an already sputtering economy. But there’s no point appealing to the better angels of their nature; America just doesn’t work that way anymore.

And opposition for the sake of opposition isn’t limited to economic policy. Politics, they used to tell us, stops at the water’s edge — but that was then.

...How does this end? Mr. Obama is still talking about bipartisan outreach, and maybe if he caves in sufficiently he can avoid a federal shutdown this spring. But any respite would be only temporary; again, the G.O.P. is just not interested in helping a Democrat govern.

My sense is that most Americans still don’t understand this reality. They still imagine that when push comes to shove, our politicians will come together to do what’s necessary. But that was another country.

It’s hard to see how this situation is resolved without a major crisis of some kind. Mr. Simpson may or may not get the blood bath he craves this April, but there will be blood sooner or later. And we can only hope that the nation that emerges from that blood bath is still one we recognize.

A version of this op-ed appeared in print on November 22, 2010, on page A23 of the New York edition.

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/11....html?_r=1
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Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 22, 2010

Ricardo: Joao, after reading some of my postings here on Brazzil, and on Facebook, someone sent me this article from a major German newspaper confirming that the United States has reached the end of the line.

SPIEGEL ONLINE - 11/01/2010
A Superpower in Decline: Is the American Dream Over?

http://www.spiegel.de/internat...47,00.html

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Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 22, 2010

Ricardo: Joao, here is some news that will please you.


November 22, 2010 16:42 PM
“Brazil's Navy Plans Fleet Of 20 Subs - Six Nuclear”

BRAZIL, Nov 22 (BERNAMA-NNN- MERCOPRESS) -Brazil's navy is planning to build and incorporate in the next decades a fleet of six nuclear powered and 20 conventional submarines (15 new and five refurbished), making it the most dissuasive fleet of South America.

The navy's three decade procurement plan and its programme to develop submarines estimates the cost of building the first nuclear powered submarine in 2 billion Euros which already have been earmarked.

The first is always the dearest because of technology transfer and other capacities costs that must be paid to the French DCNS shipyard. However the costs of the following subs to be built in Brazil are estimated by the Brazilian Navy by about US$550 million.

President Lula da Silva is scheduled to visit next month the new facilities at the expanded Itagui shipyard in Rio do Janeiro that will become home of the Brazilian submarine industry, sources close to the new submarines base said.

Conventional submarines will be built in two lots with a first batch of 15 new ones, of which four of them will be a reformed version of the French Scorpion with an additional 100 tons displacement and five metres longer.

The other five includes the current five submarines that will be refurbished.

The five include four of the so called Tupi class based on German technology and a Tikuna class, which was developed by the Brazilian navy.

Currently the subs programme has an order for four Scoroion under construction in France, a deal closed in 2008. The first one is scheduled to be delivered in the second half of 2016 and the rest in the period extending to 2021.

The Brazilian navy also reported that the Subs Development programme means the integration of different branches.

One of them refers to having control over the whole uranium enrichment process to be used in the nuclear reactors: the uranium gas apparently is ready and has begun trials in the town of Ipero.

An estimated 40 tons annually can be produced once the plant begins full production next Dec. Total investment in the plant so far has been declared at US$130 million.

Since discovering massive oil deposits offshore making Brazil a global oil and gas power, the country has been obsessed with protecting its resources,

President Lula launched an ambitious programme to update and equip the three services, particularly the navy.

http://www.bernama.com/bernama...?id=544579

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Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, November 23, 2010

A busy week, but I thought I´d keep you current with the latest news!

Ricardo: Basically what I am saying is that Guido Mantega should do the dirty work before the end of 2010, and leave the new structure in place and ready for Dilma Rousseff when she becomes president in January 2011.


Guido Mantega is not leaving the government, but Meirelles is! You can read more in the following link:

http://www.estadao.com.br/esta...3905,0.php

IMHO, regardless of who is nominated as the new President of BC, there is not going to be a significant change in the monetary policy. May be I am wrong, but only the time will tell.

One thing I am sure about: The old CPMF is going to be back with a different name and a higher percentage!!

Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 23, 2010

November 23, 2010

Ricardo: A decision already have been made that Henrique Meirelles will not continue as the president of the Brazilian Central Bank and most likely he will be Minister of Transport of the new Dilma Rousseff administration.

Under the Dilma Rousseff administration the Brazilian Central Bank will lose its independence, and it will be subordinated to the Finance Minister.


*****


“Meirelles não vai continuar à frente do Banco Central”
Escrito por Josias de Souza
Folha de Sao Paulo - 11/23/10

Avolumam-se os indícios de que Henrique Meirelles não será mantido por Dilma Rousseff na presidência do Banco Central.
 
O penúltimo prenúncio foi levado à web pela Reuters. A agência diz ter recolhido de pessoa próxima a Dilma um comentário com cara de veredito:
 
"Ele não vai continuar, já foi decidido".
 
A provável saída de Meirelles exigirá de Dilma algo mais além da indicação de um substituto. Terá de desfazer uma má impressão.
 
O desembarque de Meirelles tonificará a tese segundo a qual o BC não terá, sob Dilma, autonomia gerencial para administrar a política monetária.
 
O modelo de BC autônomo funciona assim: o governo fixa, por meio do Conselho Monetário Nacional, uma meta para a inflação do ano.
 
Estabalecida a meta, delega-se ao BC a tarefa de zelar pelo seu cumprimento. Entra em cena o Copom.
 
Integrado pelo presidente e pelos diretores do BC, o Copom eleva os juros quando há risco de descontrole inflacionário. Desaparecendo o risco, a taxa cai.
 
A autonomia assegura ao BC liberdade para calibrar os juros sem interferências políticas da Fazenda e, no limite, até do Planalto.
 
O modelo vigora desde 1999, quando foi instituída, ainda sob FHC, a sistemática de metas para a inflação.
 
O mandachuva do BC não está, evidentemente, impedido de debater os juros com outras esferas do governo.
 
O próprio Meirelles sempre cultivou o hábito de sentir o pulso de Lula antes das reuniões do Copom, realizadas a cada 45 dias. Porém...
 
Porém, a palavra final sobre a matéria é, até aqui, do BC. Antes de ser nomeado, Meirelles negociara com Lula, em 2002, o respeito à autonomia.
 
Meirelles assumiu em 2003, primeiro ano da gestão petista. Sobreviveu a dois mandatos, tornando-se o presidente mais longevo da história do BC.
 
Na semana passada, Meirelles fez declarações que soaram como uma condicionante. Insinuou que aceitaria permanecer no BC, desde que preservada a autonomia.
 
Dilma mandou dizer que não gostou. O recado chegou a Meirelles num telefonema disparado por Antonio Palocci, coordenador da transição.
 
Meirelles tentou ajeitar as coisas. Numa entrevista dada na Alemanha, disse que a própria Dilma, em campanha, declarara-se a favor da autonomia.
 
O vaivém levou ao caldeirão um caldo que os operadores do mercado ainda não digeriram.
 
Ficou a impressão de que, saindo Meirelles, vai-se embora a autonomia. O BC voltaria a ser um órgão subordinado à Fazenda.
 
Na leitura do mercado, a política monetária de Dilma seria frouxa. A queda dos juros prevaleceria sobre a rigidez no controle da inflação.
 
O mercado reage mal porque a política de metas é vista com bons olhos. Quando foi instituída, em 1999, os juros reais estavam na casa de 15%. Hoje, estão em 5%.
 
Frequenta a lista de alternativas de Dilma um subordinado de Meirelles, o atual diretor de normas do BC, Alexandre Tombini.
 
Confirmando-se a indicação de Tombini, as dúvidas quanto à higidez da política monetária serão atenuadas.

http://josiasdesouza.folha.blo...10045644-0

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Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 23, 2010

Ricardo: Jim Hoge have been the editor-in-chief of Foreign Affairs in New York City for the last 18 years and now he is leaving that influential publication.

Right now they published a special edition of Foreign Affairs the last issue under his tenure and they cover major trends that are under way.

One thing that he said really called my attention "in the next ten years when they compile a list of the 5 best universities around the world, the United States it will be lucky they they still have 2 US universities listed."

I hope Brazil would be one of the countries that will have one of the top universities in the world by that time.

This trend is also part of the decline of the United States in many areas including its world class university system.


Check this video:

Foreign Affairs' Jim Hoge on msnbc's Morning Joe - 11/22/10

http://www.thinktankedblog.com...g-joe.html

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The new Brazilian Central Banker
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 24, 2010

Ricardo: Henrique Meirelles will leave his position as president of the Brazilian Central Bank at the end of 2010.

Starting in January 2011 the new president of the Brazilian Central Bank it will be Alexandre Tombini.

You can see his bio at:

http://www.bcb.gov.br/pre/quem...bini-i.asp

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Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, November 24, 2010

You can see his bio at:


Oh, thanks Ricardo. ASP must be very pleased to read that Tombini was trained at an university in his home state. BTW, last year or so, I had commented to you that lots of our young technocrats have got their doctoral degrees in the universities in the Mid West and West coast of the U.S. of A!!!!
Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 24, 2010

Ricardo: When Antonio Palocci was the Finance Minister I met him here in New York City in one of his trips with president Lula. I talked to him for a while, and I gave him the information about my articles about Brazil adopting the “New Asian Currency.”


*****


24/11/2010 - 11h17
“Palocci é convidado a integrar governo Dilma”
NATUZA NERY - DE BRASÍLIA
Folha de Sao Paulo

A presidente eleita, Dilma Rousseff, chamou Antonio Palocci Filho, um dos coordenadores da transição, para integrar seu governo.

Segundo a Folha apurou, a petista convidou o ex-ministro da Fazenda para comandar a Casa Civil na semana passada, mas ele avalia a possibilidade de ir para a Secretaria-Geral da Presidência.

Isso porque a pasta, comandada por Dilma durante quase cinco anos, se tornará um órgão de estrito assessoramento da Presidência da República, ao passo que a Secretaria assumirá funções mais políticas.

A avaliação entre membros da equipe de transição é de que Palocci, considerado um habilidoso negociador político, seria melhor aproveitado na Secretaria-Geral.

A Casa Civil deve ser desidratada de algumas atribuições executivas, como a gestão do PAC (Programa de Aceleração do Crescimento), que deve passar ao guarda-chuva do Ministério do Planejamento.

Dilma anunciará hoje os nomes de sua equipe econômica. Para o Banco Central foi escolhido Alexandre Tombini (atual diretor de Normas do BC). Guido Mantega continuará à frente da Fazenda. Hoje coordenadora do PAC, Miriam Belchior irá para o lugar de Paulo Bernardo no Planejamento. Já Bernardo deve assumir, ao lado de Antonio Palocci, uma das duas pastas palacianas.

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Someone blocked my Facebook account.
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 25, 2010

Joao da Silva,

Something is going on someone just blocked my Facebook account.

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Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 25, 2010

Ricardo: You remember the 1962 Cuban missile crisis that almost ended up in a nasty nuclear war.

At that time we came to the blink of nuclear war – and the American generals were ready to start such a war – only the Kennedy's that were able to stop such a war in the last minute.

The United States is provoking North Korea – a country with nothing to lose – and they cornering North Korea into doing the unthinkable.

We have idiots in Washington calling the shots,and we have the Iraq War and the Afghanistan War as prove of that.

I don't understand why the rest of the world is not asking the United States to back off from escalating the military crisis in the Korean Peninsula – and give time to settle the dispute with diplomacy instead of with nuclear weapons.

If this Korean War gets out of control the entire world is going to pay the price. The time for the rest of the world to say something it is now, before the entire mess spin out of control.

You can read the discussions on that subject at:

North Korea's Nuclear Weapons
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/...enumber=23

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i see you are a real amateur of understanding world history, amarol
written by asp, November 25, 2010
really, that was painful

you sound like a joisey bum chomping on a cigar giving his analysis of what is going on in world history
Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, November 25, 2010

Joao da Silva,

Something is going on someone just blocked my Facebook account.


I didn't do it Ricardo.smilies/cheesy.gif I like to build and not to destroy.smilies/grin.gif

You remember the 1962 Cuban missile crisis that almost ended up in a nasty nuclear war.

At that time we came to the blink of nuclear war – and the American generals were ready to start such a war – only the Kennedy's that were able to stop such a war in the last minute.


Though I was too young at that time, I later on read about the Cuban crisis. It is a pity that those Kennedys and Khrushchev are all dead, but the Castro dynasty is still alive and Cuba continues to be a dictatorship. North Korea is run by another dynasty and very similar to Cuba. Only people who can tell them to back off is PRC and I don't think they will do it.smilies/sad.gif

I would rather see us remaining neutral, though.
Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 26, 2010

Joao da Silva: I would rather see us remaining neutral, though.


*****

Ricardo: I agree with you - Brazil should stay away from that mess that is going on in the Korean Peninsula and in that area of the world - Brazil should remaining neutral.

.
Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, November 26, 2010

Ricardo: Instead of letting the 2 Koreas cool off and settle this crisis with diplomacy, the United States is putting more fuel into the fire by sending the American aircraft carrier George Washington to the area of conflict.

The North’s state-run media warned that a planned United States-South Korean military exercise could push the Korean Peninsula closer to “the brink of nuclear war.”

The current crisis at the Korean Peninsula brings back memories of the Cuban missile crisis of 1962 when the United States and Cuba/Soviet Union came to the brink of nuclear war.

The unthinkable is here again and this time around we don't have the Kennedy's to hold back a full nuclear war as they did in 1962 – this time events can very quickly get out of control and we have a showdown between North Korea and the USA.

At the end of the day a war between the 2-Koreas it is just a proxy war between the United States and China.

The real enemy of North Korea still is the United States – and the best choice for North Korea to achieve maximum damage is to attack Tokyo with multiple nuclear warheads – since that would trigger a international monetary system total collapse, because of the massive meltdown of the US dollar.

That certainly would take the attention of the poor state of the US economy, and its very poor prospects for the coming years.

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Note to: Dilma Rousseff - President of Brazil
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 01, 2011

President Dilma Rousseff,

I wish you all the best for the next four years.

Let's raise Brazil to the next level, and place it among the best countries from around the world.

Let's bring the widespread crime, and the criminal gangs under control in Brazil, and bring peace for the Brazilian people.

I hope we will have 4 more years of great prosperity for Brazil and the Brazilian people.

Order and Progress,

Ricardo C. Amaral

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Finance Minister Guido Mantega response to Ben Bernanke
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 12, 2011

Ricardo: Here is my suggestion to Finance Minister Guido Mantega as what his response should be to Ben Bernanke.

First, Guido Mantega has to play the same rhetoric game that Ben Bernanke has been playing – instead of saying that the purpose of his policies is to cause a major devaluation of the US dollar – he calls it Quantitative Easing (QE). QE it’s a cute way of saying major devaluation of a currency.

Second, there's nothing wrong in positioning Brazil right now to play the same currency games that China and the United States have been playing.

We need to be a realist and recognize that the currency game is not going to change for a long time regarding China and the United States, because of the internal problems that it would cause for the economies of these 2 countries.

The time is now for Finance Minister Guido Mantega to announce what I have been suggesting since last year: a 35 percent devaluation of the real, and adopt a fixed rate currency system for the real pegged to a basket of currencies including the US dollar and the Chinese yuan to anchor the real against the US dollar and the yuan – and keep the new currency system until the market conditions change and at that time the Brazilian central bank would make the necessary adjustments.

If Guido Mantega does not follow this strategy then the real will continue appreciating against the US dollar and the yuan with catastrophic consequences for the Brazilian economy.

Finance Minister Guido Mantega instead of calling these changes a part of a global “Currency War” – he should play the Ben Bernanke game and call it an adjustment to the new China/USA currency system.

Wall Street would buy it and would find more acceptable that kind of language.

I like to suggest that people should listen to this NPR radio program that explain the process that Brazil had to go through for people to start believing on Brazil’s currency. This program also explains the process that the Federal Reserve uses to create money from thin air.

The Invention of Money – January 7, 2011
http://www.thisamericanlife.or...n-of-money

Ben Bernanke could learn a lot from the Brazilian experience regarding what it takes to make people believe in the value of the country’s currency – trust it’s all the central bank has to justify the trust that people has in a certain country’s currency. If people stop trusting the central bank then that currency it’s in deep trouble.

How the Federal Reserve creates money from thin air: the Federal Reserve just click their mouse into a Bank’s account with the Federal Reserve and by changing the balance of that account money is created from nothing. (A complete explanation of the Federal Reserve magic act it is given at minute 35 of the above radio conversation on NPR)

The Federal Reserve magic of creating money from thin air just go as far as people continue trusting the Federal Reserve – and that trust can be lost at any time, and after that….


*****


The US dollar and the biggest default in history
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/...did=121313

.
Financial Times - Letter from Ben Bernake to Guido Mantega
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 12, 2011

Financial Times (UK)
Published: January 12, 2011
“Get real, Brazil”


Dear Mr. Mantega,

Being frustrated politicians ourselves, we at the Federal Reserve rather envy you your “currency war tub-thumping”. But as Brazil’s finance minister you might want to think of the consequences if we were actually to treat your ramblings seriously.

You say that “deep down” our policy of quantitative easing is a trade strategy – a weapon to boost competitiveness at your expense. Ending QE with a sharp rise in US interest rates would indeed strengthen the dollar against the real. But it would also make America’s fragile economy crumble, by increasing the cost of corporate debt, at a record level of almost 50 per cent of gross domestic product and (through higher mortgage rates) destroying the property market and bank balance sheets (32 per cent of the $13,400 billion in bank assets are loans secured on real estate). Consumption would tumble.

And you must remember what happened when the US economy went pop almost three years ago? Money flooded out of Brazil and your claimed self-sustaining growth engine stalled. And if interest rate differentials suddenly move in our favour, investors would cease to find the returns on Brazilian assets so attractive. And you actually need their hot money to help increase investment levels from a low fifth of GDP as well as to balance your current account deficit.

But Mr. Mantega, it was big of you to complain about China too, this time. Thanks for that. Ultimately the real is so strong because commodity prices are so high, and that in turn is because China’s currency has been kept artificially low. OK, our QE makes that problem even worse. But frankly, Mr. Mantega, you need to get off our case on that one. QE is just another form of monetary policy and US rates are low because our economy is currently weaker than yours. When the outlook improves, we will tighten. You’re not exactly suffering down there. Or is there something worrying you that markets don’t yet appreciate?

Yours sincerely,

Ben Bernanke
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The End of America - and - The Invention of Money
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 21, 2011

Ricardo: Two friends of mine mentioned to me that they had seen the enclosed video, and that Jim Rogers and I were quoted on this video. About 111,500 people have seen this video so far, and I am quoted around the minute 40 into the video presentation. This is the first time that I heard of Porter Stansberry.

Porter Stansberry Research - The End of America – December 14, 2010
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...ature=fvwp


*****


"The Invention of Money" is a relevant presentation that shows how quickly a total collapse of the US dollar can materialize. It can happen at the speed of light.

I like to suggest that people should listen to this NPR radio program that explain the process that Brazil had to go through for people to start believing on Brazil’s currency. This program also explains the process that the Federal Reserve uses to create money from thin air.

The Invention of Money – January 7, 2011
http://www.thisamericanlife.or...n-of-money

Ben Bernanke could learn a lot from the Brazilian experience regarding what it takes to make people believe in the value of the country’s currency – trust it’s all the central bank has to justify the trust that people has in a certain country’s currency. If people stop trusting the central bank then that currency it’s in deep trouble.

How the Federal Reserve creates money from thin air: the Federal Reserve just click their mouse into a Bank’s account with the Federal Reserve and by changing the balance of that account money is created from nothing. (A complete explanation of the Federal Reserve magic act it is given at minute 35 of the above radio conversation on NPR)

The Federal Reserve magic of creating money from thin air just go as far as people continue trusting the Federal Reserve – and that trust can be lost at any time, and after that….


*****


Anyway, this is the first time that I heard of Porter Stansberry.

Porter Stansberry
Stansberry & Associates Investment Research
1217 St. Paul St.
Baltimore, MD, 21202

.
The End of America
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 30, 2011

Ricardo: Two friends of mine mentioned to me that they had seen the enclosed video, and that Bill Gross, Jim Rogers and I were quoted on this video. About 250,000 people have seen this video so far on 2 locations on the web, and I am quoted around the minute 39 into the video presentation. This is the first time that I heard of Porter Stansberry.

Porter Stansberry Research - The End of America – December 14, 2010
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nI-BIVWlc7A

.
The world economic system
written by norlinaabdul, February 08, 2011
Dear friends,

I can't help but to think about the best economic system for each and everyone of us. As for now the year 2011 I don't feel like celebration but instead being exposed to more catastrophic events. Let us think about it before the war between the late Saddam and Bush.... before the twin tower in NYC tumble down to the ground and even before the entire explosion that destroyed the entire twin towers completely....Dear friends what Ricardo is saying is true. The world needs a new kind of leadership style that will build nations but not to destroy....all of us need more stability and prosperity. Sorry Ricardo, but the truth is that George Bush just released his new book and he is promoting it among the students here in my country....I am truly disgusted ....this criminal is still on the loose......Dear friends let us bring justice to this world now before it is too late.......
To opposition party who are now in NYC with Paul Wolfowitz& livin la vida loca........
written by norlinaabdul, February 08, 2011
You guys truly sucks. You allow such criminal like George Bush to sell his book throughout the bookstores. If you tend to read Brazzil at this moment don't start the war here. I am waiting for your return ............
Wolfowitz’s Knife in Asia’s Back
written by norlinaabdul, February 09, 2011
Malaysia’s Anwar Ibrahim:
Wolfowitz’s Knife in Asia’s Back
by Mike Billington
Simultaneous with the confirmation of Paul Wolfowitz to his fellow hedge-fund jackals. While Indonesia and other
become the head of theWorld Bank (where, it can be credibly Southeast Asian economies succumbed to the demands of
argued, he will be in a position to kill more people than he did the IMF, subjecting their economies to murderous austerity
at the Defense Department), a longtime friend ofWolfowitz, conditionalities in exchange for temporary debt relief follow-
Malaysia’s Anwar Ibrahim, made a reappearance in the inter- ing the collapse of their currencies, Malaysia, under the leadnational
limelight. When Anwar was released last year after ership of PrimeMinister Dr.Mahathir binMohamad, refused
six years in prison in Malaysia, he flew directly to Germany, to subject its population to IMF dictates. Nonetheless, Dr.
andWolfowitz took time fromhis busy schedule at the Penta- Mahathir at first allowed Anwar, who was then his Deputy
gon to join his old friend in Europe. On April 5, the Johns Prime Minister and Minister of Finance, to follow his personal
Hopkins School for Advanced International Studies (SAIS) preference for what became know as “IMF policies without
in Washington hosted Anwar for his first address in the United the IMF”: across the board austerity, interest rate hikes, and
States after his release from incarceration, where it was an- the cancellation of major infrastructure projects. You may read the rest of the article here:- http://www.larouchepub.com/eiw...17_int.pdf
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