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After Brazil's Timid Social Democracy Dilma Has a Chance to Start New Cycle PDF Print E-mail
2011 - January 2011
Written by Cristovam Buarque   
Friday, 07 January 2011 17:11

Brazilian president Dilma Rousseff Politics, like history, occurs in cycles. Brazil is passing through a cycle of democratic consolidation with small advances in social welfare: a timid Social Democracy (tSD), one that, in terms of the demands of the future, is also looking backwards. This has occurred since the last historical turn, the turn from the dictatorship to the democracy and the turn towards monetary stability.

Since then, Presidents Fernando Henrique Cardoso and Lula created two administrations with advances in growth with stability and with small advances in income distribution. Brazil moved forward but remained within the same cycle.

The economic growth did not change the product profile for high tech goods, nor did it bring about respect for the ecology; the modest income distribution did not shatter the social apartheid. It did not promote equal opportunity. The cities did not become more peaceful. Nor did the politics become less corrupt.

With the political corruption, family debt, technological inefficiency and appropriation of public higher education by only a rich parcel of the population, it is easy to imagine a future with the seduction of the voter by a candidate who defends morality, the charging of fees in the state universities, the suspension of the income transfer programs with their resources directed to investments in the infrastructure.

Twenty-five years of a single model, with advances, but with so many gaps that the time has come to see it as exhausted.

President Dilma has the chance to initiate a new cycle. If not, her administration will be the last of the present cycle. If she does not advance with reforms that signify positive inclinations, she runs the risk of seeing the exhaustion of the present-cycle proposals and the next election producing conservative governments, or falling into "leftism" or into "populism."

The first will not respect the advances in social welfare; the other two will not respect fiscal responsibility. Not to mention the catastrophic risk of antidemocratic options.

Instead of representing the latest step in the cycle of timid Social Democracy (tSD), the Dilma administration can be the first in a new cycle that frees the country from its shackles by beginning a Transformative Social Democracy (TSD). To do this, her administration must make the necessary turns and go beyond traditional growth with monetary stability and stipends.

It is necessary to undertake a political reform: implant measures to shield the public power from corruption; create mechanisms to control the violence; reorient the production process to safeguard the ecological equilibrium; foment an economy based upon knowledge of science and technology; make the Single Health System (SUS) work in the desired way; promote surmounting the "Brazil cost" stemming from corporativist rules and from the insufficient economic infrastructure; and, above all - the mother of all these reforms - promote a revolution in elementary/secondary education. All this should be done with respect for democratic rules and with fiscal responsibility.

Of all these changes, the only one that will permit President Dilma to leave her mark on Brazilian history, as the 21st-century Juscelino Kubitschek (JK), will be the initiation of the process of radically transforming elementary/secondary education and providing each Brazilian with the same opportunity to access quality education, independently of family income or city of residence.

This can be done by elevating all 200 thousand schools in Brazil to - at least - the quality of the nearly 200 schools that are currently federally run. To do this, it will be necessary to initiate the National Teachers Profession and a federal program of scholastic quality with full-day class sessions.

These two programs are not enough, nor will they yield their complete results throughout Brazil during one or even two presidential terms. But if she undertakes the right measures to promote a break with the sad picture of the Brazilian educational tragedy, the new president will be not only the first Brazilian woman president, she will also be the first president for a new time: the Dilma Cycle.

Cristovam Buarque is a professor at the University of Brasília and a PDT senator for the Federal District. You can visit his website at www.cristovam.org.br/portal2/, follow him on Twitter at http://twitter.com/SEN_CRISTOVAM and write to him at cristovam@senado.gov.br.

New translations of his works of fiction The Subterranean Gods and Astricia are now available on Amazon.com.

Translated from the Portuguese by Linda Jerome - LinJerome@cs.com.



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Comments (139)Add Comment
I have a lot of faith in the future of Brazil
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 07, 2011

Ricardo: I have a lot of faith in the future of Brazil. and articles like that tells me that Brazil is on its way to become a great country.
Here is a great article about Brazil.


***

The Economist
“Go south, young scientist”
An emerging power in research
Science in Brazil
Jan 6th 2011 | SÃO PAULO
http://www.economist.com/node/...1&fsrc=rss

POPULAR with foreigners looking for sun, sea and samba, Brazil wants to turn itself into a hot destination for seekers of science. Though its own bright graduates still head to Europe or the United States for PhDs or post-doctoral fellowships, nowadays that is more because science is an international affair than because they cannot study at home. The country wants more of them to return afterwards, and for the traffic to become two-way.

Brazil is no longer a scientific also-ran. It produces half a million graduates and 10,000 PhDs a year, ten times more than two decades ago.

Between 2002 and 2008 its share of the world’s scientific papers rose from 1.7% to 2.7%. It is a world leader in research on tropical medicine, bioenergy and plant biology. It spends 1% of its fast-growing GDP on research, half the rich-world share but almost double the average in the rest of Latin America. Its scientists are increasingly collaborating with those abroad: 30% of scientific papers by Brazilians now have a foreign co-author.

Becoming part of the global scientific endeavour is about more than national pride. By doing their own science, developing tropical countries can make sure that it is not only the problems of people in rich, temperate places that get solved.

São Paulo, Brazil’s richest state, is leading the effort. It has the country’s best universities, including the only two that make it into the top 300 in both of the best-known global rankings. Its constitution guarantees the state research foundation, known as FAPESP, 1% of the state government’s tax take. That amounted to $450m in 2010, and comes on top of money from the federal government.

This allows São Paulo to offer the money and facilities to attract foreign researchers. That will remain essential for a while. Brazil is short of established scientists, a legacy of the dire condition of its schools, even if these are now improving. “We have money, and plenty of ideas,” says Glaucia Mendes Souza, an expert on sugar-cane genomics at the University of São Paulo who co-ordinates FAPESP’s bioenergy research. “We need more research groups, and more people to lead them.”

Fortunately, this is a good moment to lure foreign scientists. Research funding is being squeezed in Europe and North America. Although Brazil’s super-strong currency may bring fears of deindustrialisation, it also makes all kinds of imports cheaper. But snaring academic superstars will be hard. Though Brazil pays junior researchers well by international standards, the same is not true at the top of the scale.

Publicly funded universities have no flexibility to offer more money to seal a deal. Nor can they offer research-only contracts: all tenured academics must teach undergraduates. Permanent positions can be filled only by open competition: heads of department cannot simply identify the best candidate and start negotiating. And those competitions include a public examination—in Portuguese.

Still, FAPESP is trying. It has advertised two-year fellowships at some São Paulo universities in Nature, a scientific journal read globally, and though most responses came from scientists early in their careers, it is mostly the more senior ones who are being invited for discussions. FAPESP hopes that during those two years they will learn Portuguese (lessons are included) and that some will want to stay.

Perhaps the main thing Brazil can offer scientists is plenty of room to grow. “You can have your own laboratory here,” says Anete Pereira de Souza, a plant geneticist at the University of Campinas, another big São Paulo state university. “You can start an entire new area of research. Here, you’re a pioneer.”

from PRINT EDITION | The Americas
.
Brazil is that its dentistry ranks among the best in the world
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 07, 2011

Ricardo: Here is another nice article about Brazil that was published today on the Financial Times.


*****

“Brazil’s dentists continue to innovate”
By Jonathan Wheatley in São Paulo
Published: January 6, 2011
Financial Times (UK)
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/039e...z1ANNS6dBI

One of the many surprising things about Brazil is that its dentistry ranks among the best in the world. The skill of its dental practitioners and the size of its market, expanding rapidly over the past few years, have attracted some of the world’s biggest dental supplies companies, such as Dentsply and Ultradent of the US and KaVo of Germany.

.
...
written by João da Silva, January 09, 2011

The skill of its dental practitioners and the size of its market, expanding rapidly over the past few years, have attracted some of the world’s biggest dental supplies companies, such as Dentsply and Ultradent of the US and KaVo of Germany.


While I acknowledge the "skill" of our dental practitioners, I question the intention of "world´s biggest dental supplies" companies to enter our market. Obviously their "product" is implant cylinders that cost less than R$10 each to manufacture and but the final price comes to around R$2000!!

Jonathan Wheatley is probably a rep of one of these big "suppliers"!!!!!!! smilies/wink.gif

BTW, when & where are the Chinese going to set up their plant to manufacture the titanium cylinders for the implants???????smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif
Silly Bandz
written by Silly Bandz, January 10, 2011
Its Facebook web site also touts sea creature Silly Bandz, Rad bandz, and Build-A-Packs.
Financial Times (UK) - Letter from Ben Bernake to Guido Mantega
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 12, 2011

Financial Times (UK)
Published: January 12, 2011
“Get real, Brazil”


Dear Mr. Mantega,

Being frustrated politicians ourselves, we at the Federal Reserve rather envy you your “currency war tub-thumping”. But as Brazil’s finance minister you might want to think of the consequences if we were actually to treat your ramblings seriously.

You say that “deep down” our policy of quantitative easing is a trade strategy – a weapon to boost competitiveness at your expense. Ending QE with a sharp rise in US interest rates would indeed strengthen the dollar against the real. But it would also make America’s fragile economy crumble, by increasing the cost of corporate debt, at a record level of almost 50 per cent of gross domestic product and (through higher mortgage rates) destroying the property market and bank balance sheets (32 per cent of the $13,400 billion in bank assets are loans secured on real estate). Consumption would tumble.

And you must remember what happened when the US economy went pop almost three years ago? Money flooded out of Brazil and your claimed self-sustaining growth engine stalled. And if interest rate differentials suddenly move in our favour, investors would cease to find the returns on Brazilian assets so attractive. And you actually need their hot money to help increase investment levels from a low fifth of GDP as well as to balance your current account deficit.

But Mr. Mantega, it was big of you to complain about China too, this time. Thanks for that. Ultimately the real is so strong because commodity prices are so high, and that in turn is because China’s currency has been kept artificially low. OK, our QE makes that problem even worse. But frankly, Mr. Mantega, you need to get off our case on that one. QE is just another form of monetary policy and US rates are low because our economy is currently weaker than yours. When the outlook improves, we will tighten. You’re not exactly suffering down there. Or is there something worrying you that markets don’t yet appreciate?

Yours sincerely,

Ben Bernanke
.
Finance Minister Guido Mantega response to Ben Bernanke
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 12, 2011

Ricardo: Here is my suggestion to Finance Minister Guido Mantega as what his response should be to Ben Bernanke.

First, Guido Mantega has to play the same rhetoric game that Ben Bernanke has been playing – instead of saying that the purpose of his policies is to cause a major devaluation of the US dollar – he calls it Quantitative Easing (QE). QE it’s a cute way of saying major devaluation of a currency.

Second, there's nothing wrong in positioning Brazil right now to play the same currency games that China and the United States have been playing.

We need to be a realist and recognize that the currency game is not going to change for a long time regarding China and the United States, because of the internal problems that it would cause for the economies of these 2 countries.

The time is now for Finance Minister Guido Mantega to announce what I have been suggesting since last year: a 35 percent devaluation of the real, and adopt a fixed rate currency system for the real pegged to a basket of currencies including the US dollar and the Chinese yuan to anchor the real against the US dollar and the yuan – and keep the new currency system until the market conditions change and at that time the Brazilian central bank would make the necessary adjustments.

If Guido Mantega does not follow this strategy then the real will continue appreciating against the US dollar and the yuan with catastrophic consequences for the Brazilian economy.

Finance Minister Guido Mantega instead of calling these changes a part of a global “Currency War” – he should play the Ben Bernanke game and call it an adjustment to the new China/USA currency system.

Wall Street would buy it and would find more acceptable that kind of language.

I like to suggest that people should listen to this NPR radio program that explain the process that Brazil had to go through for people to start believing on Brazil’s currency. This program also explains the process that the Federal Reserve uses to create money from thin air.

The Invention of Money – January 7, 2011
http://www.thisamericanlife.or...n-of-money

Ben Bernanke could learn a lot from the Brazilian experience regarding what it takes to make people believe in the value of the country’s currency – trust it’s all the central bank has to justify the trust that people has in a certain country’s currency. If people stop trusting the central bank then that currency it’s in deep trouble.

How the Federal Reserve creates money from thin air: the Federal Reserve just click their mouse into a Bank’s account with the Federal Reserve and by changing the balance of that account money is created from nothing. (A complete explanation of the Federal Reserve magic act it is given at minute 35 of the above radio conversation on NPR)
The Federal Reserve magic of creating money from thin air just go as far as people continue trusting the Federal Reserve – and that trust can be lost at any time, and after that….


*****


The US dollar and the biggest default in history
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/...did=121313

.
Here is a preview of the coming US dollar meltdown
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 13, 2011

Ricardo: Here is a preview of the coming US dollar meltdown

The Day the Dollar Died

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...w=fox news

.
DAM Belo Monte - still time to drop it, Dilma. What about you, Mr Buarque?
written by DU48, January 13, 2011
According to Avaaz organisation, the Ibama president resigned due to pressure by those who favor this hydropower station.

http://www.avaaz.org/po/pare_belo_monte/97.php


There might still be time to halt this monstruous waste of PUBLIC MONEY.

Lack of projects?PRIORITIES? How about PLANNING and REBUILDING in the flood disaster areas in Brazil, for example, in Rio de Janeiro state, Nova Friburgo,Teresopolis,Petropolis?
...
written by João da Silva, January 14, 2011

There might still be time to halt this monstruous waste of PUBLIC MONEY.


You think they are going to halt the project, just because you say so? The damn dam is going to be built, because it is part of the PAC and Sir Ney & Co want it.

So you better "relaxe e goze".smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gif

BTW, happy 2011 to you and the family.
...
written by Elizabeth, January 15, 2011
I think that you have written a very well-organized piece here. The comment: "The first will not respect the advances in social welfare; the other two will not respect fiscal responsibility. Not to mention the catastrophic risk of antidemocratic options." pretty much sums up what many countries are facing today. I hope that real change is on the way poker sites
money spent but not to improve standards
written by Ricardo Calles, January 15, 2011
Medical salaries in public hospitals in Brazil are higher than the salaries of physicians in Germany.
But when you step into a public hospital in Brazil, all you see is a terrible old battered place no one in Europe would ever work in.
Brazilian doctors should receive less money, and some money should be put into renovation and buying more modern medical equipment. It is then when Brazilian health indicators will be better, and not look as bad as the current ones: typical of a 3rd world country.

Um abraçosmilies/cry.gif
To Ricardo
written by Sancho , January 16, 2011
smilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gif Brazilian doctors are paid more than Germans? smilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gif;
Dsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gif
smilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gif I can see that you are still a moron Ricardo, some things never change. smilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cry.gif
...
written by Sancho , January 16, 2011
Dilma and Lula that Ricardo loves so much are going to destroy Brazil... Look at their good work, I am so sorry for honest Brazilians that did not vote for these crooks. It is sad that they have to suffer.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/americas/frustrated-survivors-of-brazil-mudslides-left-to-fend-on-their-own/article1871962/
Salaries
written by adrianerik, January 17, 2011
Ummmm...Mr. Sancho, in Germany the average salaries of German doctors is 3000 euros. (that is for an orthopedic surgeon). In Brazil, the average salary of doctors is $9000 reais, a bit more (when you do the exchange rates) than doctors in Germany. For this reason, many German doctors are leaving Germany for England.
...
written by João da Silva, January 17, 2011

For this reason, many German doctors are leaving Germany for England.


We could invite some of them to come over to Brasil.smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif
Dambusters -join the club -you too can make a difference. Hallo, Dilma?
written by DU48, January 17, 2011
If Brazilians can get off their BUNDAS,Joao de S. included, HNY etc., then 150k signatures in 5 days might just be the start.
PAC is a barefaced lie and sir ney is still a cork in the arsehole of progress.

https://secure.avaaz.org/po/pare_belo_monte/?cl=912866090&v=8189

60 Million dollars in immediate emergency aid and another 390 million in follow up to the flood disaster in Rio de J state is earmarked by the Federal government (Yahoo, UK and Ireland).

30 billion reais to build an environmental disaster-with PUBLIC MONEY?FFS!

...
written by João da Silva, January 17, 2011

If Brazilians can get off their BUNDAS,Joao de S. included, HNY etc., then 150k signatures in 5 days might just be the start.


Done! Lets galvanize Ricardo Amaral & all other Brasilian ex-pats overseas also into signing the petition.
adrianerik
written by Sancho, January 17, 2011
Ummmmmmm adrianerik, don't try to be a smart ass buddy, first of all your numbers are cooked.... smilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gif Brazilian doctors don't get paid well, I have friends that work in public hospitals. In the first 3 years after they graduate they get around $5,200 reais a month, this is in Sao Paulo (Where the $$$ is in Brazil). After they get more experience most young doctors will leave the public system because they are paid so badly. It is outrageous to make such comparisons, only morons would say such stupid things...Are you Ricardo's puppy or are you the moron himself?smilies/shocked.gif
Average A Salary of a German Doctor = $123,000 USD
written by Sancho, January 17, 2011
To Sancho Panza
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 18, 2011

Ricardo: Sancho Panza you are making your comments about Ricardo Calles posting and not mine.

.


about comparisons
written by adrianerik, January 19, 2011
Yes, you're correct...oh great one! It's complicated to make most social comparisons but is seems that your finger got caught on your "laugh" button and this was NOT your first 'intellecutal' ressponse. Nor was it your second or third nor fourth intellecutal response. As a matter of fact, I await your intellectual response.

As in Brazil, a society where there is a tragically uneven distribution of income, you need to be careful with 'average' figures. For this reason, you don't mix doctors who work in "offices" with doctors who work in public institutions. (read your "clip and paste" postings carefully before you post them). In Germany, it's best to use the "mode" rather than the average...this shows where the majority of salaries cluster...not a skewed statistic where a top 10 percent with huge salaries hide the dismal salaries of the majority. Are you up with this, kiddo? You should be, it is what makes 'average' salaries and "per capita income" in Brazil a big joke!

As for your 'recently graduated doctors', they are paid quite well for their first few years of residency. American doctors, during residency, earn much less. And considering that Brazil, with its horrific educational system, selects doctors from a smaller pool of academic 'survivors'...hmmmm...I'd rather not go into that.

Anyhow...it's a all a minor point. The greatest issue is the system itself. Germany believes that equal access to quality health care binds a society together (unlike America's many tiered and unequal system and Brazil's large number of private hospitals concentrated in high income areas and growing reliance on class based health plans). So 90% of Germans access the same system...and there are few complaints. So, for me, the salary issue is something tangential.

In other words...trivial bulls**t, boo boo!

If the question is who "deserves" their salary...another story.
Adri
written by Sancho, January 19, 2011
Are you sure I am the one posting bull?smilies/grin.gifsmilies/grin.gif

Go back to your first post and read it again, f**** moron.

I am out, you can cry as much as you like, I don't care.
For you
written by adrianerik, January 19, 2011
Cut and paste this: "The Last Word".

You can have it...it's free. Besides that, why don't you go take three steps forwards...turn left...take four steps...turn right...take seven steps....look down. Do you see it! Great! You've found a life!

The End of America - and - The Invention of Money
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 21, 2011

Ricardo: Two friends of mine mentioned to me that they had seen the enclosed video, and that Jim Rogers and I were quoted on this video. About 111,500 people have seen this video so far, and I am quoted around the minute 40 into the video presentation. This is the first time that I heard of Porter Stansberry.

Porter Stansberry Research - The End of America – December 14, 2010
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...ature=fvwp


*****


"The Invention of Money" is a relevant presentation that shows how quickly a total collapse of the US dollar can materialize. It can happen at the speed of light.

I like to suggest that people should listen to this NPR radio program that explain the process that Brazil had to go through for people to start believing on Brazil’s currency. This program also explains the process that the Federal Reserve uses to create money from thin air.

The Invention of Money – January 7, 2011
http://www.thisamericanlife.or...n-of-money

Ben Bernanke could learn a lot from the Brazilian experience regarding what it takes to make people believe in the value of the country’s currency – trust it’s all the central bank has to justify the trust that people has in a certain country’s currency. If people stop trusting the central bank then that currency it’s in deep trouble.

How the Federal Reserve creates money from thin air: the Federal Reserve just click their mouse into a Bank’s account with the Federal Reserve and by changing the balance of that account money is created from nothing. (A complete explanation of the Federal Reserve magic act it is given at minute 35 of the above radio conversation on NPR)

The Federal Reserve magic of creating money from thin air just go as far as people continue trusting the Federal Reserve – and that trust can be lost at any time, and after that….


*****


Anyway, this is the first time that I heard of Porter Stansberry.

Porter Stansberry
Stansberry & Associates Investment Research
1217 St. Paul St.
Baltimore, MD, 21202
.
and I am quoted around the minute 40 into the video presentation.
written by Tripple Dott, January 21, 2011
Great infomercial! smilies/cheesy.gif

Great to know that if "even mild inflation" occurs, the system still works smilies/cheesy.gif

Congratulations Ricardo, by the way, for the shot out props on the infomercial...you must be overwhelmingly flattered and tremendously satisfied with your erudite self! smilies/cheesy.gif

Great call Porter on the next leg down in the stock market! Effin ayy! It's going to be brutal. But the last time that happened (2 years ago), it was really deflationary! smilies/cheesy.gif

Good luck! But I sense you two are the "sell into strength" types!smilies/cheesy.gif




Anyway, this is the first time that I heard of Porter Stansberry
written by Tripple Dott, January 21, 2011
That's incrediblesmilies/cheesy.gif

That must mean....that must mean....he heard of you first!smilies/cheesy.gif
...
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 21, 2011

Tripple Dott: That's incredible. That must mean....that must mean....he heard of you first!


*****


Ricardo: This is not the first time that an economist quoted from my articles, and I had never heard their name before.

There are a lot of prominent economists around the world that I am not familiar with their writings.

Porter Stansberry was writing about the collapse of the US dollar, and I have been writing about currency major reserve currencies since 1998, and I have many published articles on that subject. Over the years many economists from India, from China, from Europe, from Brazil, from Wall Street, and from major US universities have been quoting what I have said on some of these articles.

Here is something that I posted on the Elite Trader Economics Forum as a reply to this Chinese fellow regarding what I had posted about an article by Paul Krugman on the subject of the euro.

January 17, 2011

SouthAmerica: Reply to Tsing Tao

Here is a list of economists (who are alive) that I pay attention to what they have to say: Paul Krugman, Stephen Roach, Paul Volcker, Joseph Stiglitz, Nouriel Roubini, Jeremy Rifkin, Emmanuel Todd, Jeffrey Sachs, Martin Wolf, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, John Naisbitt, Alvin Toffler.

There are two economists (who are dead) that had a major influence on my way of thinking: 1) John Maynard Keynes, and 2) Joseph Schumpeter.

But that does not mean that I have to agree 100 percent with any of them. For example, over the weekend I found this debate between Stephen Roach and Martin Wolf about the Chinese Yuan.

These are two economists that I respect their opinions, but after watching this particular debate I found myself agreeing more with Stephen Roach's position than with Martin Wolf.

Stephen Roach and Martin Wolf on the Chinese Yuan
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c2Wi8lKbqNA


I would recommend people to watch this video, the debate was excellent, but people should make up their own minds about what they learned during this debate.
.
Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, January 22, 2011

I would recommend people to watch this video, the debate was excellent, but people should make up their own minds about what they learned during this debate.


Great comment, Ricardo and I agree with you. You give "people" access to all sorts of differing views and let them make up their own mind. In order to do so in Brasil, we have to create alternative media that are not in the hands of the "Oligarchy" nor a particular party. That is one of the reasons I am in favor of low priced high speed Internet backbone and inexpensive high quality computers. I cheer for the groups that ferociously promotes "inclusão digital", as long as they do not have partisan interests.
Tripple Dott
written by Triple-Dot, January 22, 2011

You are a Kraut?
adrianerik
written by João da Silva, January 22, 2011

In Germany, it's best to use the "mode" rather than the average...this shows where the majority of salaries cluster...not a skewed statistic where a top 10 percent with huge salaries hide the dismal salaries of the majority.


"Mode", "average", "cluster", "skewed Statistics", etc; Are they some kind of new diseases?smilies/sad.gif
Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 23, 2011

Ricardo: Joao, here in the US the American mainstream media is not worth s**t. Thanks to the internet, and the foreign media we get news and information that are useful – such as the BBC, Europe news, The Economist, the Financial Times, and all kinds of other outlets on the web.

I am also in favor of high speed Internet backbone and inexpensive high quality computers to be available to everyone in Brazil.

.
Triple-Dot
written by Tripple Dott, January 23, 2011

You are a Kraut?


Nein, ich bin es nicht. Aber ich liebe Bier und Würstchen, während eine schöne Portion Charme Dirne.

Tripple Dott
written by Triple-Dot, January 23, 2011

während eine schöne Portion Charme Dirne.


was für eine Schande, was für eine Schande, Herr.Dott.smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gif
was für eine Schande, was für eine Schande
written by Tripple Dott, January 24, 2011
Es ist keine schande, wenn man charme der damen. Vielen dank für ihr interesse mein lieber. smilies/wink.gif
Tripple Dott
written by Triple-Dot, January 25, 2011

Es ist keine schande, wenn man charme der damen.


Ja, ich bin einverstanden. Aber haben Sie Ihren Abschluss in der deutschen Literatur in einem Waschmittel einpacken?
...
written by Double-Dot, January 25, 2011

Two Krauts exchanging comments on Brazil!!!!!!!

Absolutely hilarious. smilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/shocked.gif

God bless America.
Triple-Dot
written by Tripple Dott, January 25, 2011
Ja, ich bin einverstanden. Aber haben Sie Ihren Abschluss in der deutschen Literatur in einem Waschmittel einpacken?


Keine Joao, in einem sehr großen Sack farofa ... Ich bin sicher, dass ich nicht der einzige, wer du wirklich bist wissen. smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif
Tripple Dott
written by Triple-Dot, January 26, 2011

Herr.Komandant, du Verräter!smilies/sad.gifsmilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cool.gif
Triple-Dot
written by Tripple Dott, January 26, 2011

Herr.Komandant, du Verräter!



Verräter? Zu bemerken, musst du es zu sein. Ihr Geheimnis ist bei mir sicher. Ich würde mich freuen mit Tee und Fladenbrot irgendwann.smilies/wink.gifsmilies/grin.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif
The End of America
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 27, 2011

Ricardo: Jim Rogers and I were quoted on this video, and about 220,000 people have seen this video so far in two locations on the net, and I am quoted on this video around the minute 40 into the video presentation.

Porter Stansberry Research - The End of America – December 14, 2010
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...ature=fvwp

.
The coming collapse of the US economy - just like the Soviet Union
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 27, 2011

Ricardo: Barack Obama gave a nice speech last night, but in my opinion, it's too late on the game, because the United States has passed the point of no return.

The truth is the US economic system is becoming obsolete faster than most Americans realized, and Americans lost their vision of the future regarding the United States economy, and the smart money is investing in emerging markets around the world – that is where the future lies and new innovations and technologies will be created.

The United States is becoming irrelevant in foreign affairs very fast, and we can see the growing evidence of that trend in South America, the Middle East, Africa, and in Asia.

The US economic system is imploding one step at the time on a constant downward spiral – and this implosion it will be more evident in 2011 and 2012 when the states around the United States are forced to cut their budgets to the bone, and local governments will join on this budget cutting process reinforcing even further this US economic implosion.

The federal government also will be forced to make major budget reductions in the coming years putting even more pressure into the downward implosion spiral of the US economy on its trip towards the black hole.

The only reason the US economy has not had a total collapse like the Soviet Union as yet, it is because of all kinds of massive US government intervention into the US financial system, and also because of the special status that the US dollar enjoys – the privilege of being the main foreign exchange currency – But the rest of the world started realizing that the US government is completely out of touch with reality regarding the intrinsic value of the US dollar and the declining importance of the US economy in the coming years as a share of the total pie of the global economy.

In a nutshell: The reality of the new global economy in the 21st century is that it's operating under a completely obsolete international monetary system based on the US dollar – and a currency backed by nothing other than a computer screen that can create any digital bookkeeping entry and add to bank accounts any number followed by as many zeros they want. It doesn't matter if the Federal Reserve wants to create US$ 1 trillion or US$ 10 trillion – the only thing that is behind this money creation from nothing – this magic act – it's the current trust that people has around the world on the future of the US economy – and that trust can disappear in the blink of an eye.

But as soon as people realize that the US economic and financial system is imploding just like the Soviet Union – the final massive meltdown will materialize fast, and this time around Americans and the world in general it will not have the US government to serve as safety net, since the US government and the states around the country also it would be bankrupt and discredited.

It will be not just a meltdown of the US economic and financial system, it will the the collapse of the international monetary system into the biggest monetary crisis the world has ever seen.

If you are smart enough to connect the dots, then you can see the big picture, and you will be able to grasp what I am saying – the collapse is underway and the only thing the US government can do at this point is buy some time until 'when you least expect' the day of reckoning arrives at the speed of light.

When the final implosion of the US economic and financial system arrives, probably the process it will happen faster than the final implosion of the Soviet Union system.

Regarding US defense spending and the US military adventures around the world – just look what happened to the Soviet Union military and its influence around the world after the collapse of the Soviet Union, and that gives you a snap shot of what happens to the military of former superpowers.
.
Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, January 27, 2011

The US economic system is imploding one step at the time on a constant downward spiral – and this implosion it will be more evident in 2011 and 2012 when the states around the United States are forced to cut their budgets to the bone, and local governments will join on this budget cutting process reinforcing even further this US economic implosion.


May be the Americans will be able to avert the disaster by electing Sarah Palin next year!
DU 48
written by João da Silva, January 27, 2011

Sub: Belo Monte

You must have read the following news by now:

http://economia.estadao.com.br...2563,0.htm

Petitions, Protests, etc; Who cares? This dam reminds me of the death of "Sete Quedas".smilies/sad.gif
Tripple Dott
written by Triple-Dot, January 27, 2011

Ich würde mich freuen mit Tee und Fladenbrot irgendwann.


Jetzt ist der richtige Zeitpunkt.smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif
We will have a stampede and the final US dollar meltdown.
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 27, 2011

Ricardo: I explained on this article some parts of the process that are helping today in the implosion of the US economy. There are other factors as well that I did not mention on this article that when you connect the dots then you can grasp the slow motion downward spiral of the US economic collapse that is underway.

Brazzil Magazine - September 06, 2006 - “While the American Dream Is Outsourced Brazil Drives the World into the Future” - Written by Ricardo C. Amaral
http://www.brazzil.com/compone.../9684.html


*****


Anyway, I am showing the readers where the cracks are located on the dam wall, but there are $ 25 trillion US dollars which represents over 70 percent of the US dollars ever created, and they are flying around the world completely outside of the power and the influence of the US government including the US Treasury and the Federal Reserve Bank.

When the dam wall finally breaks it will flood everything on its path. The US economic and financial system lost a lot of clout and prestige around the world, since the financial crisis of 2008. And since that time many countries have been taking action to distance themselves from the US dollar – and these are small actions by this country and that country, but when you take it as a whole then you start having a significant impact on the US dollar. The dam wall is full of cracks, but you don't know which crack it will be the one to finally cause the entire dam wall to collapse.

The trillions of US dollars that are flying around the world as any commodity that has a massive over supply of it – the smart money is going to get out of the US dollar before the herd realizes what is going on – and when the herd gets spooked, then we will have a stampede and the final US dollar meltdown.

I suggest the readers take time to watch these 3 short videos, and pay attention to what Michael Hudson is saying about the US economy, and regarding the fact that the US dollar has reached the end of line as the main foreign reserve currency.

Michael Hudson has a very good understanding of what is happening to the US economy and the US dollar – he has grasped what is at the core of US economic implosion and its decline into a black hole.

1) Will China's Yuan overtake US Dollar?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v..._embedded#

Michael Hudson
Professor of economics
University of Missouri


December 29, 2010
2) America is about to slide into third world status?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related


3) US Black Debt Hole: 'We want you all bankrupt!'
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8P1fihT5B7o

.
Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, January 27, 2011

Hi Ricardo,

Michael Hudson has a very good understanding of what is happening to the US economy and the US dollar – he has grasped what is at the core of US economic implosion and its decline into a black hole.


Thanks for the Video clips. Not only Michael Hudson has a good grasp, but also that Canuck from Montreal(Gavin Marshall?). I wish our "rulers" watch these clips and take preventive measures before we get into a bigger mess.smilies/sad.gif


Ricardo Amaral
written by Charitable Neighbor, January 27, 2011
Ben Bernanke could learn a lot from the Brazilian experience regarding what it takes to make people believe in the value of the country’s currency – trust it’s all the central bank has to justify the trust that people has in a certain country’s currency. If people stop trusting the central bank then that currency it’s in deep trouble.



Between October 27, 2008 and August 6, 2009, the Fed spent $350 billion in taxpayer funds to save 35 foreign banks:

UBS
Dexia SA
BNP Paribas
Barclays PLC
Royal Bank of Scotland Group
Commerzbank AG
Danske Bank A/S
ING Groep NV
WestLB
Handelsbanken
Deutsche Post AG
Erste Group Bank AG
NordLB
Free State of Bavaria
KBC
HSH Nordbank AG
Unicredit
HSBC Holdings PLC
DZ Bank AG
Republic of Korea
Rabobank
Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation
Banco Espirito Santo SA
Bank of Nova Scotia
Mizuho Corporate Bank, Ltd.
Syngenta AG
Mitsui & Co Ltd
Bank of Montreal
Caixa Geral de Depósitos
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group
Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd
Mitsubishi Corp
Aegon NV
Royal Bank of Canada
Sumitomo Corp

Not only do Americans not trust the Central Bank, we are fed up with the ingrates around the world that we help and have died for in the past. In the future...screw all of you>

Hey Brazil...thanks for the 10 billion $ largess you lent to the IMF. smilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif
To The Not Too Charitable Neighbor- Ha Ha Ha
written by The Sweet Scent Of Protectionism, January 28, 2011
Not only do Americans not trust the Central Bank


There are quite a few that think and hope Bernanke will fail.

Check out this recent article:

http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20110124006336/en/Deflation-2011-Beyond as-Financial-Deleveraging-Persists-Gary
...
written by João da Silva, January 28, 2011


Where are our distinguished, eminent and erudite fellow bloggers Eddie and ASP to brief the ill informed ones, on the deteriorating Geopolitical situation in Egypt?smilies/wink.gif

Dam Belo Monte update -still time to stop the rot
written by DU48, January 28, 2011
According to Luis Morago at Avaaz.org a petition with 385,000 names is to be handed in to Brasilia.

The Federal Public Ministry in Para has declared the partial license ILLEGAL.

Washington Novaes writing in estadao-small is beautiful-and cheaper- says it all.

For those Brazilians who want to spend BIG money, here's a real taste/smell? below.

Não é muito diferente na área do saneamento, em que mais de 50% da população (mais de 107 milhões de pessoas) continuam sem rede coletora de esgotos, menos de 30% dos esgotos coletados são tratados e quase 40 milhões de pessoas não recebem água tratada em suas casas (Gesner de Oliveira, ex-presidente da Sabesp, 2011) - com graves consequências também na área de saúde, na qual as doenças veiculadas pela água são a principal causa de internações e consultas na rede pública; e na dos recursos hídricos, em que o despejo de esgotos sem tratamento é a principal causa de poluição. Mas nem se acena com qualquer possibilidade próxima de solução, pois se argumenta que para universalizar o atendimento na área serão necessários megainvestimentos de R$13,5 bilhões por ano durante 15 anos (Folha de S.Paulo, 7/1). Ou R$ 255 bilhões, segundo a Sabesp. E ainda é preciso lembrar que os investimentos pelo PAC nesse setor - de R$ 4 bilhões a R$ 6 bilhões por ano - não têm chegado nem à metade do planejado.


http://www.estadao.com.br/estadaodehoje/20110128/not_imp672163,0.php



Any doubts about PAC,Dilma?

SOS Brazil
on the deteriorating Geopolitical situation in Egypt
written by Freedom for everyone, January 28, 2011
hopefully this is only the beginning. Please join everyone, especially the great Chinese citizens, to rise up against totalitarian rule! FREEDOM for TIBET! FREEDOM for ALL!
Commies
written by Double-Dot, January 28, 2011

hopefully this is only the beginning. Please join everyone, especially the great Chinese citizens, to rise up against totalitarian rule!


Ah must certainly agree. Those damn commies in China and Cuba and North Korea must be squashed like da vermin that they are. The tide is coming and their days are numbered.

God bless America and the Free World.
God bless America and the Free World.
written by Freedom for everyone...well...almost everyone, January 29, 2011
Unfortunately, it looks like this is what has to happen in Egypt for Amaral's Chinese Utopian (totalitarian) world view to fall into line....

See photo 14 in the following series:

http://www.cnd.org/June4th/massacre.html

How is is life treating you in the Northeastern U.S. mate?

God Bless The Free and the Brave
God Bless The Free and the Brave
written by .., January 29, 2011

Where are our distinguished, eminent and erudite fellow bloggers? smilies/shocked.gif
Where are our distinguished, eminent and erudite fellow bloggers?
written by Andrade, January 29, 2011

Like our great brothers Lenin, Stalin, Mao, Kim Jung Il, Castro, Chavez, et al, we need to seize control and kick out the opposition. Property confiscation, wealth redistribution, denied freedom and subjugation are the fabric of a new order that will provide all people their fair share of a dignified life.
Like the great Karl Marx said:
"To each according to their needs by those according to their abilities".
Long live the Revolution!
yeah, where the goddamn hell are our f**king distinguished , eminent and erudite fellow bloggers?
written by asp, January 29, 2011
..i dont f**king know...

im too goddamned panicked about the dollar turning into s**t and the usa going into soviet style colapse

(joao, there was some damn bug in brazzildot com that wouldnt let the site come up....i got a lot of work done in the mean time....)
s**t, if we are going to hijack this thread to hell, i submit this:
written by asp, January 29, 2011
asp
written by João da Silva, January 29, 2011

(joao, there was some damn bug in brazzildot com that wouldnt let the site come up....i got a lot of work done in the mean time....)


The bug affected the brazzilmag and not this one, asp. The distinguished, eminent and erudite bloggers such as our good selves do not bother much about the other site.smilies/wink.gif

BTW, I thought your cabana got flooded with all the rains. Glad you are safe but busy.
...
written by João da Silva, January 29, 2011

Like our great brothers Lenin, Stalin, Mao, Kim Jung Il, Castro, Chavez, et al,


What about our great forefathers Attila, Genghis Khan, et al? smilies/shocked.gif
hahahah , yeah, joao, we cant leave our grandfathers like those out of this one....
written by asp, January 29, 2011
well,i think i got benafits , the basement in my apartment building turned into a swimming pool....i made sure to be the first to dive in and aprove of the new exiting addition to our apartment building... i think the fungus i got is treatable...

the best news is, since i discovered that the 14 year old leak , that would sometimes drop bucktets, was from the churrasceira of my neighbor. i had patched it temporarily up myself, at my expence, and it was torn down by tourists in his aprartment and i put it up again...and, it was dry as a bone in our normal leak spot during those killer torrents of rain ....
Distinguished, eminent, and erudite
written by Ederson, January 29, 2011
With adjectives like those, I knew Joao wasn't referring to me!smilies/cheesy.gif
Joao, when I think of Egypt, I think of the following SA Sayings.

When you shoot a Zebra in the black strip, the white strip dies, too.

Knowledge is like a lion; it cannot be gently embraced.

When the "people's revolution" kicks out the current crop of corrupt thieves and their American grocery cart, whose going to step in and feed this bunch? Saudi Arabia?smilies/cheesy.gif Syria?smilies/cheesy.gif With the Arab's benevolent nature toward each other, I see Egypt's revolution waving the flag of famine for everyone to see.
Hopefully, this is only a burp from the sick patient secular Egypt is and not the beginning of the end. The only thing that will come out of this is the strengthening of the Shiite cause, an acceleration of the Iranian-backed Shiite struggle in Yemen against the royal family, and further rattling of Sunnis everywhere... But all this, I believe, has been predicted on this fantastic, globe-circling, Brasilian-oriented website.
Believe me kids, smilies/cheesy.gif the tentacles of this octopus will eventually, if not already, lead to Brasil through our benevolent neighbor to the north.
Never a dull moment on this planet we call earth. But seriously, this world needs a new leader, and it ain't that idiot in Washington D.C. Just one person's opinion, but if you don't like it, blame Joao. Got to go; my airplane needs me. smilies/wink.gif
im too goddamned panicked about the dollar turning into s**t and the usa going into soviet style colapse
written by Tripple Dott, January 29, 2011
Don't worry lad. That kind of stuff is great fodder for infomercials (see Stansberry/Amaral)....and remember, 'the system still works even if there is only mild inflation!' (wink wink) smilies/cheesy.gif

Be more worried about Europe and emerging markets. The 11th hour austerity measures in Europe will be too little too late and third world economies will be the most vulnerable. smilies/cheesy.gif

China smilies/cheesy.gif

Good post by the chap showing the exalted and mighty European banks that were bailed out by the generous Yankee citizens to the tune of $350,000,000,000. (I thought it was more like $500,000,000,000... but hey...what's a couple of hundred billion nowadays anyway) smilies/cheesy.gif

Looks like there is someone running things behind that curtain Dorothy and Toto!
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/africaandindianocean/egypt/8289698/Egypt-protests-secret-US-document-discloses-support-for-protesters.html smilies/cheesy.gif

QE2 was a majestic vessel that I loved so dearly but the latest QE2 vehicle isn't exactly doing the job that it was meant for. smilies/cheesy.gif

Remember lads, the U.S. is crumbling...buy into the parabolic gold fairy tale. smilies/cheesy.gif

What happened in the second downturn in 08-09 to the dollar? Hmmm...Oh, that's right, it surged. smilies/cheesy.gif

What happened to gold? Hmmm...Oh that's right, it collapsed. smilies/cheesy.gif

Grab a gander at this Dollar Index chart. What a gorgeous base it has formed.
http://stockcharts.com/webcgi/Pnf.asp?S=$USD smilies/cheesy.gif

Bleiben Sie weit weg von der Herde meine Freunde. smilies/cheesy.gif
RISE PEOPLE RISE – THE GLOBAL REVOLUTION IS UPON US!
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 29, 2011

Ricardo: I am not surprised by what is happening right now in Tunisia, Egypt and in other places in Africa, the Middle East, and other places around the world.

Here is an interesting piece that someone posted on FB and in other forums on the web.

January 28, 2011
RISE PEOPLE RISE – THE GLOBAL REVOLUTION IS UPON US!

http://www.intifada-palestine....s-upon-us/


*****


This video becomes even more interesting after what has been going on in Tunisia, Egypt and other countries around Africa, and the Middle East.

Gerald Celente: Internet nuke bomb waiting to go off - January 10, 2011

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...r_embedded

.
for god's sake , give o keefe his meds.....
written by asp, January 29, 2011
i mean what a bunch of word vomit...

the guy badly needs to unconstipate himself

he has all the exitement and carisma of a two day old turd

the guy needs some anger management help
asp
written by João da Silva, January 29, 2011

Bleiben Sie weit weg von der Herde meine Freunde.


Would you mind translating this into plain Portuguese or English?smilies/wink.gif
Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 29, 2011

Bleiben Sie weit weg von der Herde meine Freunde =
Fique longe do rebanho meus amigos
Here's how China will be left holding the bag for the United States
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 30, 2011

Ricardo: Here are the links to some interesting videos regarding the coming collapse of the US economy:

History Channel - Prophets Of Doom – January 6, 2011
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nSpLUpiMkj0


***


Here's how China is going to use the trillions of US dollars that China is accumulating

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...ature=fvwp


***


The future of the US economy and the US dollar – and here is an example of how China will be able to collect the US$ 4 trillion dollars China lent to the USA.

Hyperinflation Germany 1923
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

***


Money, Banking and the Federal Reserve
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

.
Ederson
written by João da Silva, January 30, 2011

When the "people's revolution" kicks out the current crop of corrupt thieves and their American grocery cart, whose going to step in and feed this bunch? Saudi Arabia?smilies/cheesy.gif Syria?smilies/cheesy.gif With the Arab's benevolent nature toward each other, I see Egypt's revolution waving the flag of famine for everyone to see.


Astute analysis, Eddie. I am proud of you and so should you be of yourself.It is very uncommon to read someone bringing in a Zebra into the Geopolitical picture.smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif

Sometime ago I met an Egyptian gentleman whose analysis coincides with you about Egypt. Of course at that time he didn't know that his country was going to erupt. He was talking about the high unemployment rate, low wages paid to the trained professionals, etc; causing exodus of many of his countrymen to other countries including Saudi Arabia and other oil rich Sheikdoms.

What surprises me is that Egypt is a close ally of the U.S. and suddenly PBO and HC seem to be eager to dump their buddy Hosni Mubarak. At the "request" of the Saudi Royalty?. Another surprise to me is the sudden "appearance" of El Badrei(?) in Egypt. Is he going to be the Egyptian version of Karzai (Mayor of Kabul)?smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif
The Saudis hate Egypt
written by Ederson, January 30, 2011
The Saudis hate Egypt but need it desperately.

In the sixties, when Yemen split during their civil war, the Saudis stupidly alighned with the Yemini royal family while Egypt fought for the new republic.
The Saudis lost and were forced to sign a treaty; however, Egypt paid an incredible pricefor the victory; indeed, it was Egypt's Vietnam. Some experts believe the Yemini civil war was the reason why Israel won the Six-day War.

Anyway, despite the hard feelings, the Saudis need Egypt's influence in the Arab world, desperately, for without Egypt's moderating influence, who do the Saudis have. Their situation is perilous. Having a Sunni leadership and heritage is no protection from Shiite fundamentalism, witness the David and Goliath battle between the Iranian backed Yemeni tribesmen and the Saudis.

Egypt is the plum everyone wants, and the Iranians are eyeing it. Does anyone know that Egypt has a military that launches spy satillites, has the latest American aircraft and a tank force including over a thousand m1 battle tanks? Hey, what a prize, especially when such a force can be parked only a few miles from the zionest devils!

Both the Saudis and the Iranians are a bunch of idiots, but their influence is and will reach deeper into Brasil if Egypt falls through Venezuela's happy president-for-life just to the north. Everyone can count on it. Brasilians believe an ocean seperates them from the world's problems.smilies/cheesy.gif Brasil is a perfect plum for the picking, and the hand of infiltration is slowly reaching toward South America; only an ignorant, uniformed fool can believe otherwise; not today, but certainly tomorrow.

Islam, militant Arabic influence, Africa? Sounds like the perfect storm. Don't expect the Yanks to figure this one out for anybody. Yankeeland is now the home of serious corruption, idiot politicians, and childish confusion.
Just my opinion. I hope I'm wrong, but I think I have history on my side.smilies/cheesy.gif

Remember, the drums of war are often the drums of hunger. Sounds a alittle like Dr. Cata.smilies/grin.gif
Ederson
written by João da Silva, January 30, 2011

The Saudis hate Egypt but need it desperately.


Excellent comments, Eddie and thanks for educating humble peasants like me in Geopolitics. For instance, I didn't know about this Yemen Civil war nor the important role the Egyptian military played in the Sixties.

Brasilians believe an ocean seperates them from the world's problems. Brasil is a perfect plum for the picking, and the hand of infiltration is slowly reaching toward South America; only an ignorant, uniformed fool can believe otherwise; not today, but certainly tomorrow.


There again, you are absolutely right. While we are getting the sun tan on the beaches during the day and watching the Novelas on the TV in the evening, the infiltration will continue slowly, but steadily. Not only from the Islamic radicals, but also other "interested" parties. Brasil may be faulted for many shortcomings, but the fact remains that we are indeed a secular country that tolerates all the religions. So I would hate to see us being divided over our religious beliefs. However, I have lots of faith in our career diplomats from Itamaraty who must be keeping a close track of the unfolding events in the Middle East. My only hope is that our "new government" will pay more attention to their advices and take a more rational and not emotional decisions while formulating our foreign policy.

Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, January 30, 2011

Bleiben Sie weit weg von der Herde meine Freunde =
Fique longe do rebanho meus amigos


Thanks Ricardo. I didn't know you were a poliglota!!

I observe that you haven't said a word about what is going on in Egypt and made any comment on the comments of our buddy Ederson (nor mine). I am interested in your comments and never mind the rest. smilies/cheesy.gif
I am interested in your comments and never mind the rest.....
written by Tripple Dott, January 30, 2011
Yes, I too am waiting to hear his most erudite opinion on how America is the root of all this strife and will soon collapse under the weight of it's own malfeasance. smilies/cheesy.gif

在中國,我們愛里卡多阿馬拉爾。他是我
Nossa Culpa
written by Simpleton, January 30, 2011
HoseKnee is not likely to be propped up by the US anymore and the public forcing an end to things think they've got it bad now? The armaments sold to Egypt starting in the 90's won't last much longer without the supply chain. Not long and they'll be as defenseless as Brasil on top of being hungry.

JDS, asp is right you are wrong, this site was booggered up the other day.
Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 31, 2011

Ricardo: I am not surprised by what is happening in Tunisia, and in Egypt, since Emmanuel Todd had mentioned on his book the changes that was coming to many Middle East countries, because the people were becoming aware thru the internet of what was happening in other countries and also how people live in other countries around the world.

Book: "After the Empire - The Breakdown of the American Order" by Emmanuel Todd (Columbia University Press - February 2004)

I read the book around March 2004, but I left out of my comments on the Elite Trader forum that Emmanuel Todd on his book described in detail what was happening in the Middle East, and the impact that the internet was having in the coming changes in that area of the world.

I am not surprised by what is happening in Tunisia, Egypt, and also the other countries that are not far behind but they still are in the pipeline waiting for their turn...and I am sure MR. Todd also is not surprised by the events that are taking place in Tunisia, and Egypt.

.
Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, January 31, 2011

July 9, 2005

SouthAmerica:
...The radicals in the Bush administration made a major mistake when they jumped in the middle of the Middle East turmoil.

A lot of the stuff that is transpiring in the Middle East was in the process of happening with or without the US involvement. Maybe the US involvement in the Middle East did speed up the developing events.

Every American should read a book by Emmanuel Todd “The Breakdown of the American Order – After the Empire” which was a best seller in Europe, but in the United States the book sold very few copies – and I never saw Mr. Todd being interviewed by any American television show.

Most Americans never heard of Emmanuel Todd. And they don’t know what is Mr. Todd’s claim to fame.

This article was originally published in Neue Zuricher Zeitung (The New Zuricher, Sunday morning).

July 26, 2003

“The Conceited Empire”

A historian credited with predicting the downfall of the Soviet Union in the 1970s now says that the US has been on its way out for the last decade
by Martin A. Senn and Felix Lautenschlager
translated by Andreas Artz

Emmanuel Todd compares the US to 16th century Spain, arguing that US economic power is being undermined by the decline of its industrial base and its increased dependence on other countries to feed its consumption. The power and influence of the United States is being overestimated, claims French historian and demographer Emmanuel Todd. "There will be no American Empire." "The world is too large and dynamic to be controlled by one power." According to Todd, whose 1976 book predicted the fall of the Soviet Union, there is no question: the decline of America the Superpower has already begun.

...Here is another interview with Emmanuel Todd.

A rift has been developing, slowly at first and then more quickly, between the US and their various geo-political areas of interest. During the early 1970's a deficit in the balance of trade began to open. The US assumed the role of consumer and the rest of the world took on the role of producer, in this increasingly unbalanced global process. The balance of trade went from a deficit of $100 billion in 1990 to $500 billion annually at present. This deficit has been financed through capital flowing into the US. Eventually the same effect experienced by the Spanish in 16th and 17th centuries will come to bear. As gold from the New World flooded in, the Spanish succumbed to decreasing productivity. They consumed and dissipated, lived high and beyond their means and fell into economic and technological arrears.

But America is still the leading example of economic and technological competence.

When I speak of the economy, then I mean the industrial core and the associated technological cutting edge, not the anemic New Economy. It is in the core industrial sphere that the US is falling dramatically behind. European investors lost billions in the US during the nineties, but the US economy lost an entire decade. As recently as 1990 the US was still exporting $35 billion more in advanced technology than it was importing. Now the balance of trade is negative even in this field. The US is far behind in mobile communications technology. The Finnish Nokia is four times the size of Motorola. More than half the communications satellites are being launched with European Ariane rockets. Airbus is about to surpass Boeing -- the most important transportation medium for personnel traffic in the modern global economy is about to be manufactured primarily in Europe. These are the things that are ultimately important. These are by far more vital and decisive factors than a war against Iraq.

Are you saying they are waging the wrong war in the wrong place?

The US leadership doesn't know anymore where to turn. They know that they are monetarily dependant on the rest of the world, and they are afraid of becoming inconsequential. There are no more Nazis and Communists. While a demographic, democratic, and politically stabilizing world recognizes that it is increasingly less dependant on the US, America is discovering that it is increasingly dependant on the rest of the world. That is the reason for the rush into military action and adventures. It is classic.

Classic?

The only remaining superiority is military. This is classic for a crumbling system. The final glory is militarism. The fall of the Soviet Union took place in an identical context. Their economy was in decline, and their leadership grew fearful. Their military apparatus gained in size and stature and the Russians embarked on adventures to forget their economic shortcomings. The parallels in the US are obvious....

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/...post786144

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Yemeni Civil War
written by Ederson, January 31, 2011
Joao, the Yemeni Civil War has been totaslly ignored by contempoary historians and the media, yet it is pivital to understanding much of what is happening in the Middle-east. There are a number of quick reads available about the subject, and if someday you do have an opportunity to read such a synopsis, it will certainly entertain you. Plus, it will certainly clarify much of the animosity the Arabs have for each other and why Israel, Jordon, and Saudi Arabia, amongst others, have a cautious alliance and perhaps need each other. Much more could be said, but even a brief article will leave you fascinated at how complex the modern world has become.
The Yemen Civil War has also done much to ensure Israel's continued existance that I'm surprised at how little scholars are even aware of the war. When I was a teenager, Yemen was the storybook I couldn't quit reading. I am in disbelief that this very interesting book is still adding new and dangerous chapters. It will also, in super great detail, explain the Saudi and Egyptian conflict but also their interdependence on each other.
Remember, read the shortest synopsis you can find; any longer than a few pages requires a flowchart.
Again, if you have an oportunity to read anything about it, read the shortest synosis; anything longer at first glance can be confusing. smilies/wink.gif
Simpleton
written by João da Silva, January 31, 2011

JDS, asp is right you are wrong,


ASP is always right and that´s the reason I call him eminent,erudite and scholarly.smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif

But..but..but.. glad to hear from you. How is your health now?

Some Things Don't Change
written by Simpleton, January 31, 2011
JDS: Last I was in a wheelchair was on the way to Rio in the beginning of September. Just got back last week so I missed the harsh cold which continues to be a severe problem for me. Regained a little fine sensitivity in the fingers so I'm able to type again although it's still a bit uncomfortable. The 25-50 cm of snow they are promissing for this week will be pretty - needed to see that (and the little woman here). Probably will just couch surf until after carnival and then go back for more fisiotherapia (which does absolutely nothing for what ails me, but what the heck, gotta just push through the pain and go on enjoying life).
Ederson
written by João da Silva, January 31, 2011

Joao, the Yemeni Civil War has been totaslly ignored by contempoary historians and the media, yet it is pivital to understanding much of what is happening in the Middle-east. There are a number of quick reads available about the subject, and if someday you do have an opportunity to read such a synopsis, it will certainly entertain you.


Since your first post on Egypt, I started researching about the Yemen Civil War. Does make some fascinating reading. Surprised to know that a) Egypt got itself involved during the era of Abdul Gamal Nasser-the "father of Pan Arab Nationalism". b) the civil war is still going on with the North and South, the Saudis switching their alliances and Al-Queda moving their operations to the North of the country and close to their beloved Saudi neighbors c) The Yanks are actively involved in the conflict trying to protect their Saudi "allies".

No wonder the Saudis hate Egypt,but desperately need them!

But one question to you: Late Saddam Hussein was a balancing force in the Middle-East (against Iran and the rest of the Shiite gentlemen) as well as supposedly ran a secular state. So why did the Yanks topple him?

Quite busy too,but will continue with my researchsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gif
Tripple Dott
written by .., January 31, 2011

在中國,我們愛里卡多阿馬拉爾。他
是我


此外,在沙特阿拉伯 smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif
此外,在沙特阿拉伯
written by Tripple Dott, January 31, 2011
Es ist selten, dass ich jemanden mit Ihrem Verstand und Sinn für Humor zu begegnen. smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif
To the most quoted one.....
written by Tripple Dott, January 31, 2011
Most Americans never heard of Emmanuel Todd. And they don’t know what is Mr. Todd’s claim to fame.

When they discover that he was a member of a Communist youth group his credibility will go out the window anyway smilies/cheesy.gif

arguing that US economic power is being undermined by the decline of its industrial base and its increased dependence on other countries to feed its consumption.

The Americans still count for about 90% of the world's innovation and it's manufacturing base is still strong. Other countries depend on the consumption of the U.S. smilies/cheesy.gif

They know that they are monetarily dependant on the rest of the world, and they are afraid of becoming inconsequential.

Yes, that is why another post cited the names of all those German, Canadian, Spanish, Japanese, Korean .....financial institutions that were bailed out by the U.S. smilies/cheesy.gif

There are no more Nazis and Communists.

smilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif Cuba? North Korea? China? Vietnam? Laos? I know the Yanks buried the Nazis decades ago, but you would not want to be a Congolese woman and bump into a French peacekeeper....how about a non Islamic in Sudan, Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, Pakistan...smilies/cheesy.gif

But America is still the leading example of economic and technological competence.

Now your talking...good chap! smilies/cheesy.gif
joao
written by asp, January 31, 2011
way to slice and dice, bra
Why did the Yanks topple Saddam?
written by Ederson, January 31, 2011
Good question, Joao. To this day, I don't think they know why they toppled him. It couldn't have been for WMD; after all, they were perfectly aware of when Saddam was gassing the Kurds en mass and did nothing.
It couldn't have been because Saddam was an oriental despotuic dictator; how many Arab countries are not run by dictators?
It couldn't have been because the Yanks wanted to bring Western democracy to Iraq because democracy and Islam are not compatible, and don't tell me Turkey is secular or will remain secular.smilies/cheesy.gif

The Yanks are loosing touch with reality and have been for the longest time. Their energy policy is to buy it from others. Their border protection program references any other country but their own. They hire Russians to launch their astronauts into space. They spend billions on creating jobs in other countries. The list is endless; give me a break.


Actually, I thought the Iraqis were relatively happy with their lot, except for maybe a few million Kurds and Shiites living in the swamps.
The Yanks are much like the Saudis, only more so; they just don't have a clue. The Saudis export terrorism and then hide in their bunkers when the terror comes back to bite them. Really stupid and kind of retarded.
The Americans under that brilliant pseudo-intellectual they have for a president now exclaims to the world that the Holy Yanks will not intervene on behalf of the Iranian people's revolution because they have no right to intrude in the affairs of other nations but demand that Egypt's president change his government to better serve the people, which will ultimately end in another militant extension of the Shiite revolution, i.e. Hammas and the Moslem Brotherhood. What hypocrisy.
Obama is an idiot just like his predecessors.
So, to answer your question, why did the Yanks topple Saddam? They don't really know.
By the way, April Glaspie is another idiot. How appropriate that this self-acknowledged Arabist was at the helm. What an insult for the Yanks to send her to SA. They should have sent her back to school or fired her.smilies/grin.gif
Ederson
written by João da Silva, February 01, 2011

By the way, April Glaspie is another idiot.


I remember her role in Iraq.Wasn't she Sr.Bush´s poodle? But What damage did she do in SA?smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif
April Glaspie
written by Ederson, February 01, 2011
None that I know of, Joao. But her appointment to SA was a huge demotion for both April Glaspie and Yarpieland.smilies/cheesy.gif
Reply to Tripple Dott - Part 1 0f 2
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 01, 2011

Tripple Dott: When they discover that he was a member of a Communist youth group his credibility will go out the window anyway


*****


Ricardo: First Emmanuel Todd born in May 1951, and what he did as a youth it is irrelevant. Todd attracted attention with his work in 1976, when he predicted the fall of the Soviet Union based on indicators such as increasing infant mortality rates: La chute final: Essais sur la décomposition de la sphére Soviétique.

His credibility is based on the fact that he was the first person to predicted the fall of the Soviet Union based on his detailed research regarding that subject.

Tripple, I understand why are on this delusional state, and you think Emmanuel Todd's credibility will go out of the window after the world realize that the Soviet Union still around – at least on your mind.


*****


Here is what I posted on the Elite Trader Economics forum in July 9, 2005:

Emmanuel Todd is a 52 year-old Historian and Political Scientist at the National Institute for Demographics in Paris. His research examines the rise and fall of peoples and cultures over the course of thousands of years.

His newest publication predicts the fall of the United States as the sole superpower: Aprés l'Empire: Essaie sur la décomposition du systéme Américain (available in English from Columbia University Press in February 2004).

Todd attracted attention with a similar work in 1976, when he predicted the fall of the Soviet Union based on indicators such as increasing infant mortality rates: La chute final: Essais sur la décomposition de la sphére Soviétique.

Todd studied Political Science at the Institut de Etudes Politiques in Paris and completed his Doctor Thesis in Historical Sciences at Cambridge.



******


This article was originally published in Neue Zuricher Zeitung (The New Zuricher, Sunday morning).

NZZ: Mr. Todd, you write that America is economically, militarily, and ideologically too weak to actually control the world. This would gladden many anti-Americans. But how is this anything but the wishful thinking of an intellectual who is the product of the French US critical tradition?

ET: This is neither wishful thinking nor anti-Americanism. Why would I have been so prominently criticized by the left? The French career anti-American paper "Le Monde diplomatique", was the only major paper that remained conspicuously silent on my book. The over-estimation of America is fundamental to these people. It is on this topic that they agree with the American ultra-conservatives: the former to demonize, the latter to aggrandize.

NZZ: You on the other hand can be accused of underestimating the United States.

ET: On the contrary, the US is still the most powerful nation in the world today, but there are many indicators that they are about to relinquish their position as solitary superpower. In my 1976 book, La chute finale (Before the Fall: The End of Soviet Domination), I based my prediction of the fall of the Soviet Union on the relevant indicators of the time. An analysis of current demographic, cultural, military, economic, and ideological factors leads me to conclude that the remaining pole of the former bipolar world order will not remain alone in its position. The world has become too large and complex to accept the predominance of one power. There will not be an American Empire.

Nevertheless, if others are to be believed, this empire has already been long in existence. "Get Used to It" was a recent headline in the New York Times Weekend Magazine.

That is very interesting. Now that the concept no longer corresponds to reality, it becomes commonplace. While there actually was a basis in reality, there was scarcely a mention of the concept.

NZZ: Then you are of the opinion that there was an American empire at one point?

ET: The American hegemony from the end of WW II into the late 1980s in military, economic, and ideological terms definitely had imperial qualities. In 1945 fully half the manufactured goods in the world originated in the US. And although there was a Communist-bloc in Eurasia, East Germany, and North Korea, the strong American military, the navy and air force, exercised strategic control over the rest of the globe, with the support and understanding of many allies, whose common goal was the fight against communism. Although communism had some dispersed support among intellectuals, workers, and peasant groups, the power and influence of the US was by and large with the agreement of a majority throughout the world. It was a benevolent empire. The Marshall Plan was an exemplary political and economic strategy. America was, for decades, a 'good' superpower.

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Reply to Tripple Dott - Part 2 0f 2
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 01, 2011

NZZ: And now it is a bad one?

ET: It has, above all, become a weak one. The US no longer has the might to control the large strategic players, primarily Germany and Japan. Their industrial capacity is clearly smaller than that of Europe and approximately equal to that of Japan. With twice the population, this is no great accomplishment. Their trade deficit meanwhile, is in the order of $500 billion per year. Their military potential is nevertheless still the largest by far, but is declining and consistently over estimated. The use of military bases is dependent on the good will of their allies, many of which are not as willing as before. The theatrical military activism against inconsequential rogue states that we are currently witnessing plays out against this backdrop. It is a sign of weakness, not of strength. But weakness makes for unpredictability. The US is about to become a problem for the world, where we have previously been accustomed to seeing a solution in them.

NNZ: Assuming you are right: how did this budding empire slide so quickly into decline?

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/...post786144

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Reply to Tripple Dott - Here is a reality check for you regarding innovation in the 21st century
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 01, 2011

Tripple Dott: The Americans still count for about 90% of the world's innovation and it's manufacturing base is still strong.


*****


Ricardo: Tripple, you are living in the world of illusion, and you are completely delusional regarding your knowledge of USA innovation in 2011. Here is a reality check for you regarding innovation in the 21st century:

New Topics New College: Falling Behind: U.S. Competitiveness in a High-Tech World
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sV4rIWD7CLI

Note: By the way, I hope the members of president Dilma Rousseff cabinet would have the chance to watch this video about innovation.

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Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 01, 2011

Ricardo: Joao, if you have some free time I suggest you watch this video about innovation.

By the way, in 2008 alone over 100,000 Indians returned to India, because they think the future it will be developed in India and not in the United States - this is a major drain in human capital here in the USA since 25 percent of all new high-tech companies start-ups here in the USA in the last 15 years were started by these very well-educated Indian population - these are the guys with top-notch education.

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The Red Flags are all over the place regarding the "Hot Money" - Part 1 of 2
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 01, 2011

Ricardo: I hope the Brazilian government in charge of economic policy open its eye regarding the damage that the "Hot Money" can cause to the economy of any country including Brazil.

It can end up in a major revolution like in Tunisia, Egypt, and in many other countries that still are brewing their revolutions inside of the pipeline.


*****


The CIA on Egypt's Economy, Financial Deregulation and Protest
By: Nomi Prins
Saturday, January 29, 2011

The ongoing demonstrations in Egypt are as much, if not more, about the mass deterioration of economic conditions and the harsh result of years of financial deregulation, than the political ideology that some of the media seems more focused on. Plus, as Mark Engler cross-posted on Alternet and Dissent yesterday, the notion that the protests in Cairo are 'spontaneous uprisings' misses the mark. As he eloquently wrote, "there are extraordinary moments when public demonstrations take on a mass character and people who would otherwise not have dreamed of taking part in an uprising rush onto the streets. But these protests are typically built upon years of organizing and preparation on the part of social movements."

That got me thinking about what else has been building up in Egypt under Mubarak's 29-year as President, but more specifically over the past decade, and in particular the years leading up to the world economic crisis catalyzed by the US banking system - and that would be, extreme financial deregulation and the increased influx of foreign banks, capital, and "investment" which tends to be a euphemism for "speculation" when it belies international funds looking for hot prospects, no matter what the costs to the local population.

According to the CIA's World Fact-book depiction of Egypt's economy, "Cairo from 2004 to 2008 aggressively pursued economic reforms to attract foreign investment and facilitate GDP growth." And, while that was happening, "Despite the relatively high levels of economic growth over the past few years, living conditions for the average Egyptian remain poor."

Unemployment in Egypt is hovering just below the 10% mark, like in the US, though similarly, this figure grossly underestimates underemployment, quality of employment, prospects for employment, and the growing youth population with a dismal job future. Nearly 20% of the country live below the poverty line (compared to 14% and growing in the US) and 10% of the population controls 28% of household income (compared to 30% in the US). But, these figures, as in the US, have been accelerating in ways that undermine financial security of the majority of the population, and have been doing so for more than have a decade.

Around 2005, Egypt decided to transform its financial system in order to increase its appeal as a magnet for foreign investment, notably banks and real estate speculators. Egypt reduced cumbersome bureaucracy and regulations around foreign property investment through decree (number 583.) International luxury property firms depicted the country as a mecca (of the tax-haven variety) for property speculation, a country offering no capital gains taxes on real estate transactions, no stamp duty, and no inheritance tax.

But, Egypt's more devastating economic transformation centered around its decision to aggressively sell off its national banks as a matter of foreign and financial policy between 2005 and early 2008 (around the time that US banks were stoking a global sub-prime and other forms-of-debt and leverage oriented crisis). Having opened its real estate to foreign investment and private equity speculation, the next step in the deregulation of the country's banks was spurring international bank takeovers complete with new bank openings, where international banks could begin plowing Egyptians for fees. Citigroup, for example, launched the first Cards reward program in 2005, followed by other banks.

According to an article in Executive Magazine in early 2007, which touted the competitive bidding, acquistion and rebranding of Egyptian banks by foreign banks and growth of foreign M&A action, the biggest bank deal of 2006 was the sale of one of the four largest state-run banks, Bank of Alexandria, to Italian bank, Gruppo Sanpaolo IMI. This, a much larger deal than the 70% acquisition by Greek's Piraeus Bank of the Egyptian Commercial Bank in 2005, one of the first deals to be blessed by the Central Bank of Egypt and the Ministry of Investment that unleashed the sale of Egypt's banking system to the highest international bidders.

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The Red Flags are all over the place regarding the "Hot Money" - Part 2 of 2
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 01, 2011

Part 2 of 2

The greater the pace of foreign bank influx and take-overs to 'modernize' Egypt's banking system, inevitably the more short-term, "hot" money poured into Egypt. Pieces of Egypt, or its companies, continued to be purchased by foreign conglomerates, trickling off when the global financial crisis brewed full force in 2008, though not before Goldman Sachs Strategic Investments Limited in the UK bought a $70 million chunk of Palm Hills Development SAE, a high-end real estate developer, in March, 2008.

When a country, among other shortcomings, relinquishes its financial system and its population's well-being to the pursuit of 'good deals', there is going to be substantial fallout. The citizens protesting in the streets of Greece, England, Tunisia, Egypt and anywhere else, may be revolting on a national basis against individual leaderships that have shafted them, but they have a common bond; they are revolting against a world besotted with benefiting the powerful and the deal-makers at the expense of ordinary people.

http://www.nomiprins.com/thoug...est-1.html

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Tripple Dott
written by .., February 01, 2011

Es ist selten, dass ich jemanden mit Ihrem Verstand und Sinn für Humor zu begegnen.


Darf ich sagen das gleiche über dich?
usa colapse like the soviet union ?
written by asp, February 01, 2011
i dont think you get it , ricardo, the soviet union was a colapse where its entire inner political guts got turned inside out and a failed ideaology revealsed itself for the impotent reality it was.my god, to think we all had to fight the cold war , listening to kruschov bang his shoe on the table at the un saying "we will bury you...", go through nuclear blast "just hide under your desks , kiddies..." school training exercises, watching them fincance fidel and che to start revolutions in africa as well as the inspriration for the communist revolutionaries in south america etc, when this flawed ideaology would totaly self destruct itself. all that f**king bulls**t for nothing

capatalism hasnt failed yet, hyper capatalism has failed....and now, if a duck farts in antartica, ripples are sent though the entire financial world system

and , so what if america isnt the biggest super power any more ? so what if they go through a shrinking period , militarily and financialy ?

the writing has been on the wall a long time....just look at the dollar, its the biggest themometer to indicate weakness that is easily , daily visible.

so what if america looses its hegeomoy in the world, that could only been posible a short period of time anyway.

for the gung ho "we are number one" americans, they are going to have to take it in the gut and eat a lot of s**t...

but total colapse ? like the soviet union ?

even then...so f**king what? germany and japan got totaly defeated and were able to bounce back to be some of the top economic forces going now. i mean great china can pay its people s**t to grow into the biggest growth right now,but, they will eventualy have to deal with that. and it wont be pretty...

the states could go way down, but, thinking that it couldnt also bounce back up is the stuff fools are made of

seriously , its going to take one hell of a lot for its internal political guts to resemble anything at all with what happened in the soviet union .....but then again, i wouldnt totaly one hundred percent rule out a civil war...that is something i could actualy imagine happening...
Joao and Saddam Hussein
written by Ederson, February 01, 2011
Joao, I've always wondered if attacking Saddam made any sense. It hardly appears so in retrospect. People forget that before America freed the Iraqis they had no unemployment, little crime, a growing business and scholar driven community, and an increasingly developed infrastructure.

And now?

Of course, the average mind will decry Saddam's lack of understanding when it comes to Western-style democracy, but those same people fail to realize it was an Islamic/Arabic country and possessed little understanding of democracy in the Western style. However, in the Islamic sense, it was a wonder of government. Imagine, a secular Sunni leading a largely Shiite population infected with Kurds. I mean, the guy deserved some kind of award!smilies/cheesy.gif
In addition, The Western world's attack on Saddam displayed a great deal of ignorance and a lack of pragmatism. Who really cared if Iran and Iraq enjoyed blowing up each other's cities with scuds and so on? Everyone profited from the Islamic blood sports and did little to end the war, despite their supposed horror at the human wave assaults and slaughter of conscripted armies.

It reminds me of the old Swedish say, "Let's you and they have a nice little war, and we will help by selling you everything you need to win." The West was certainly two-faced toward Saddam.

Does the world think Saddam wasn't pressured into a conflict with Kuwait? Some evidence clearly points out that there was external pressure but his reaction disastrously exceeded American expectations.

The Yanks and the rest of the world need to rid themselves of their college and university Arabists and start all over again. In addition, the Yanks and the Western world need a dose of commonsense and to rid themselves of suicidal tendencies. Leave the Arabs alone; leave the Jews alone; be evenhanded toward all countries and quit trying to understand Islamic and Arab logic. Think about it. Is there anything the Yanks can't screw up? I hope they are proud of the disaster they created in Iraq and everywhere else they set their hand. And with the current bunch of idiots in power, it appears hopeless. Have the Yanks no shame?smilies/grin.gif
José Sarney é reeleito presidente do Senado
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 01, 2011

Ricardo: Congratulations to my friend former Brazilian president Jose Sarney for his re-election as the president of the senate in Brazil.


***


José Sarney é reeleito presidente do Senado
GABRIELA GUERREIRO
DE BRASÍLIA
Folha de Sao Paulo – 1 Fevereiro de 2011

O senador José Sarney (PMDB-AP) foi reeleito nesta terça-feira para a presidência do Senado, cargo que vai ocupar pela quarta vez.

Na presença dos 81 senadores, o peemedebista foi eleito por 70 votos contra 8 recebidos pelo senador Randolfe Rodrigues (PSOL-AP), único adversário de Sarney na disputa. Um senador votou nulo e dois senadores em branco.

Apesar de Sarney ter o apoio de todos os partidos, inclusive os de oposição, o PSOL decidiu lançar candidato próprio como forma de protesto ao nome do peemedebista --pivô do escândalo dos "atos secretos" que levou a Casa a entrar numa crise ética em 2009.

A bancada do PSOL tem apenas dois senadores, mas Randolfe conquistou o apoio de oito parlamentares.

A votação foi secreta, em cédulas de papel, como previsto pelo regimento do Senado quando há mais de um candidato na disputa. Randolfe discursou com a promessa de implementar uma "limpeza ética" no Senado caso eleito. Sarney optou pelo silêncio, sem discursar aos colegas. Mas cumprimentou o adversário ao final do seu pronunciamento.

A escolha de Sarney pelo PMDB foi uma estratégia para garantir a permanência da sigla no comando do Senado, uma vez que o nome do peemedebista é considerado como de "consenso" entre os senadores, inclusive os da oposição.

Pela tradição da Casa, a maior bancada eleita indica o presidente --prerrogativa que este ano cabia ao PMDB.

O Senado volta a se reunir mais tarde para eleger os demais cargos da Mesa Diretora.

O PT decidiu indicar a senadora Marta Suplicy (PT-SP) para a primeira vice-presidência da Casa. A petista venceu a disputa interna do partido com José Pimentel (PT-CE) para ficar por um ano no cargo. Em 2013, Pimentel assume suas funções.

ATOS SECRETOS

Em 2009, Sarney enfrentou uma avalanche de denúncias no Senado. Ao lado dos ex-diretores da Casa Agaciel Maia e João Carlos Zoghbi, o peemedebista foi acusado de nomear parentes por meio de atos não publicados pela instituição.

O Senado registrou mais de 300 atos secretos, o que resultou em 11 pedidos de cassação do mandato de Sarney --todos arquivados pelo Conselho de Ética. Ele respondeu às denúncias na presidência, sem se afastar do cargo. Sarney ocupa a presidência do Senado pela quarta vez-- as anteriores foram em 1995, 2003 e 2009.

Ex-presidente da República e ex-governador do Maranhão, Sarney nasceu no Maranhão em abril de 1930. Foi senador, deputado e o primeiro presidente a assumir o governo federal depois da ditadura militar (embora não tenha sido eleito pelo voto direto).

É atualmente o político mais antigo ainda em atividade no Congresso Nacional. O peemedebista é membro da Academia Brasileira de Letras e pai da governadora do Maranhão, Roseana Sarney (PMDB), do deputado federal Sarney Filho (PV-MA) e do empresário Fernando Sarney.

http://www1.folha.uol.com.br/p...nado.shtml

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Reply to ASP - The USA will collapse just like the Soviet Union
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 01, 2011

Ricardo: I just found this video on the web that support what I have been saying for a while regarding this subject.

'America will collapse' – in the near future just like the Soviet Union
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...re=related

.
oh my god, i think that linc was as amazingly relavant as this one :
written by asp, February 01, 2011
ricardo a....
written by asp, February 01, 2011
my man, i see now how you work

you surf the net for the most dramatic crazy predictions of usa colapse

now let me see, you were extremly sure that obama was going to lose,as i remember , you were certain the usa would invade south america, you went on and on and i mean on about how north korrea could drop 6 nukes on tokyo and destroy the usa economy...didnt even come close

i mean , you didnt just have one or two posts about this, you went balistic about it, maybe hoping and praying to god that some one over there in china , or god forbid maybe even north korrea might see what you wrote and act on it...so you could say "look, they are reading what i said on brazzildot com, just like the chinese did...."

cat, you are coming up short and it shows....

ya get da bums rush back to joisey and get to hang wit da bums out dere , man, dose idiots say craziah s**t dan you evah have.....ya belongs wit dem
asp is right!
written by Ederson, February 01, 2011
I wouldn't count the Yanks out just yet. Collapse? I hope not! The Yanks are too damned deserving to be counted out of the picture just yet. Ain't no country perfect; those cowboys will climb out of this hole and probably sooner than later. I got faith in them, and they'll be smarter for the effort. Collapse? I wouldn't compare them to the Russians just yet.smilies/wink.gif This experiment with socialism is going to open a lot of eyes.
History Channel - Prophets Of Doom – January 6, 2011
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 01, 2011

Ricardo: ASP, I came to my conclusions by myself, and I have been writing about it for a long time.

But some people post videos, just like you did here about US splitting into six countries.

By the way, that theory regarding the United States splitting into various countries it has been around for a while, and I read articles a few years ago explaining what would trigger such a break-up of the United States.

The articles were discussing the break-up of Canada, between their English and French parts - an event that almost became a reality a few years ago. The articles explained how such break-up of Canada it would trigger the break-up of the United States - the entire thing had to do with the break-up of the federal debt in Canada and the impact that it would have in the French and English pieces of Canada.

And the new economic structure in Canada it would have had a major impact on the US states that border Canada - and these states would not have another choice other than to separate from the rest of the United States and become a separate independent country.

The entire system it would be forced to make these adjustments to continue as viable economic systems.

The governor of Texas has been saying for years that Texas should get its independence from the United States and become an independent nation.

.





History Channel - Prophets Of Doom – January 6, 2011
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 01, 2011

Ricardo: I forgot to post the link, but this is a new program that they are showing right now on the History Channel.

I saw it last Friday night, but they started showing it on the History Channel on January 6, 2011

History Channel - Prophets Of Doom – January 6, 2011
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nSpLUpiMkj0

ASP, do you think we are all wrong about our forecast of the demise of the United States?

.
Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, February 01, 2011

By the way, I hope the members of president Dilma Rousseff cabinet would have the chance to watch this video about innovation.


I too sincerely hope the members of Madame.Rousseff´s cabinet will watch this video, so that they wont repeat the errors committed by the U.S.!!!!!!

But unfortunately, as our vanished fellow blogger Baen Brodie commented some months ago, the two largest nations in the Americas have similar problems, thanks to the politicians they elected ( I may be misquoting him, but the message was clear).

Gee, Ricardo, if our politicians are confident of the innovative and improvising skills of our engineers and technicians, they wouldn't be so anxious to buy the toy planes from Sarko just to help him to create jobs in his "second home".smilies/angry.gif

The similarity between Comrade Academician Roberto Atkinson and our Comrade Academicians is striking. They always find fault with the errors committed in the past by others. They never strive to prevent the repetition of them. If ours are, they certainly would be campaigning against the Belo Monte dam. I haven't heard any of them doing so.

É atualmente o político mais antigo ainda em atividade no Congresso Nacional. O peemedebista é membro da Academia Brasileira de Letras e pai da governadora do Maranhão, Roseana Sarney (PMDB), do deputado federal Sarney Filho (PV-MA) e do empresário Fernando Sarney.


What´s the difference between this family and that of Hosni Mubarak, Ricardo? Or for that matter, that of Bush?

Sorry to be blunt. Our country allows people all sorts of opinion, even from the peasant stock and guess what, even during the military regime!!!!!!!!

P.S: BTW, our good senator Buarque should be pleased to see his simple article receiving so many comments.smilies/cheesy.gif
Tripple, I understand why are on this delusional state, and you think Emmanuel Todd's credibility will go out of the window after the world realize that the Soviet Union still around – at least on you
written by Tripple Dott, February 01, 2011
I never stated that the Soviet Union was still around. I responded to "one" of your "most recent" ridiculous statements:
There are no more Nazis and Communists.
smilies/cheesy.gif

Look your eminence smilies/cheesy.gif , I do not know why you have such a disdain for the Americans and tout the lunacy of hacks like Ken O'Keefe and the like. smilies/cheesy.gif It is very amusing though. smilies/cheesy.gif

It has, above all, become a weak one. The US no longer has the might to control the large strategic players, primarily Germany and Japan.

But it is alright for the Yanks to bail out financial institutions in Germany and Japan. (See above post you never addressed) smilies/cheesy.gif

now let me see, you were extremly sure that obama was going to lose,as i remember , you were certain the usa would invade south america, you went on and on and i mean on about how north korrea could drop 6 nukes on tokyo and destroy the usa economy...didnt even come close

Great chap this ASP. I f**king completely agree with you. With the f**king staccato of these f**king bull**t predictions, who the f**k needs cesspools? smilies/cheesy.gif

Cheers mates! smilies/cheesy.gif
Darf ich sagen das gleiche über dich?
written by Tripple Dott, February 01, 2011
Sie sind zu gütig Sir.
asp
written by João da Silva, February 01, 2011

Great chap this ASP. I f**king completely agree with you.


Holy s**t. Your already inflated ego must be reaching the stratosphere. smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gif

Reply to Tripple Dott and ASP
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 01, 2011

Ricardo: I have been stating that North Korea has the capability of dropping 6 nukes on Tokyo and indirectly destroy the US dollar, and US economy.

That's a fact - it's just a matter of North Korea being cornered and being forced to go for the final Hail Mary pass.

What can I do if I am stating a possibility that is available for North Korea as a last resort - and you guys make the interpretation that I am predicting that this is going to happen.

On another forum which included the discussion with a few South Koreans
I brought to their attention that South Korea is making a major mistake in trying to disarm North Korea of their nuclear weapons capability.

I told them a number of times South Korea should look at North Korea's nuclear weapons capability as an asset that North Korea can bring to the table regarding the merge of both Koreas.

A newly merged Korea would have a higher status in global affairs if the new Korea is armed with nuclear weapons to be able to protect their territory.

It's beneficial and the self-interest of a newly merged Korea to be armed with nuclear weapons - that it would place the newly merged Korea in the exclusive club of elite countries that are armed with nukes.

.
Reply to Joao da silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 01, 2011

Joao da Silva: What´s the difference between this family and that of Hosni Mubarak, Ricardo? Or for that matter, that of Bush?

*****

Ricardo: I don't think it's a fair comparison between former president Sarney and Hosni Mubarak or the Bush Clan.

As far as I know former president Sarney is not responsible for the death or imprisonment of anyone as Hosni Mubarak. Or started a major war like Bush Junior did that killed hundreds of thousands of people.

.
Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 01, 2011

If Bush Junior had been the leader of many countries around the world instead of being president of the United States - then the global community would have demanded that Bush Junior and Dickhead Cheney stand in trial at the Hague for crimes against humanity.

.

Reply to Tripple Dott
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 01, 2011

Ken O'Keefe was in that Turkish boat that was trying to reach the Gaza strip when the Israeli commandos attacked their boat in the middle of the night.

.
...
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 01, 2011

ASP:...you were certain the usa would invade south america


*****

Ricardo: The US government it will be forced to make massive cuts to its annual budget in the near future.

The days of playing cowboy around the world is reaching the end of the line – and never mind the US keeping 7 military bases in Colombia – the party is over and very soon the United States it will not be able to afford even to attack Grenada.
.
Ken O'Keefe was in that Turkish boat that was trying to reach the Gaza strip when the Israeli commandos attacked their boat in the middle of the night.
written by Tripple Dott, February 01, 2011
Yes, I am very familiar with the Egyptian/Israeli Blockade of Gaza. Cairo did not allow goods to pass into Gaza through Rafah because it does not want to recognize the authority of Hamas....and they shouldn't.

Here, read this. I am sure you will enjoy: smilies/cheesy.gif
http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/Muslim-Brotherhood-war-Israel/2011/02/01/id/384603

dont worry, joao, my inflated ego isnt going anywhere....
written by asp, February 02, 2011
all i represnt here is "average f**king joe god damned common sence..."

ricardo, i never said you predicted north korrea would drop the nukes, i just said you said "they could drop the nukes and destroy the usa economy" and you drilled the subject into the ground

so now the south american invasion has been called off ?

yeah , i brought in the video about the russion who said the usa would split into 6 parts ........IN 2010 !!!!! about as acurate as many other predictions i see coming in here....

at least you now say the usa is going down in 2011 or 2012...thank god i now have a time table to get my s**t together and cut all my fincancial ties and business dealings with that amarol aproved prediction of impending total colapse for the usa

whew, i am so goddamned f**king lucky to be privy to this unbeleivable treasure trove of truth for the future of the united states of america
Ederson
written by João da Silva, February 02, 2011

Joao and Saddam Hussein


I liked the title as well as the comments underneath that, Ederson.smilies/cheesy.gif

I wasn't paying too much attention to the Gulf war 1, though I was told it was supposedly for a "just cause". However, during the war to "change the regime" in Iraq, I made it a point to follow the news. Wasn't too Impressed by the "awe and shock" strategy used by the Americans, as the final outcome was clear right from the start. But never ever understood the real reasons, though many said it was for the oil and some said to set up a Military base in Iraq thus becoming less dependent on their Saudi "allies". But I and many of my friends who knew the history of that region predicted one thing. It was going to destabilize the region. We really didn't foresee what is happening in Egypt right now. However, after reading about Yemeni civil war and the Saudi involvement, I tend to believe that unless Egypt quickly solves its internal problems without any external mediation (I don't think that they require such assistance), the world is in big trouble.

However, I read that the Yanks are scrambling to send their "experienced" Arabists to Cairo to help the Egyptians for a "smooth" transition. I am not sure if it is not going to worsen the situation.smilies/sad.gif

El Baradei? He might have a chance provided he is not elbowed out by the Yanks. They didn't listen to him in 2002 (on WMDs in Iraq) and there is no reason to do so now. Unfortunately for the Egyptians, he is a foreigner.

I wonder how things are going to work out. But it seems that Hosni Mubarak may step down, but is not going to go into exile like Saddam Hussein didn't. Lets hope he doesn't meet the same fate of Mr.Hussein. smilies/sad.gif

BTW, I am glad the Brasilan government is not interfering and our press is reporting the events without any bias.smilies/smiley.gif
Reply to ASP
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 02, 2011

ASP:...at least you now say the usa is going down in 2011 or 2012

*****

Ricardo: The years 2011, and 2012 are the years that the states here in the USA are going to cut their local budgets to the bone.

And also the years that the Republicans, plus the bond vigilantes are going to put a lot of pressure on Washington for them to cut the US federal budget.

When the states and the federal government cut their budgets in a significant way they are also going to affect the local budgets of communities from around the country.

They are estimating that these government budget cutting is going to eliminate more than one million jobs across the USA in 2011 alone.

All these factors add fuel to the fire of an imploding US economic system.

ASP you sound like my sister, she thinks that things are written in stone, just like you. Here we are talking about some the biggest events on our life time which are on schedule in the pipeline, and can be postponed a little longer by massive US government intervention of all kinds - in the other hand you want to know the exact hour, minute and second of when the s**t is going to hit the fan.

I wish the world was that simple to predict.

We don't even know what will be the final trigger that it will cause the final collapse of the US dollar. But this is a very dynamic world that we live on, and things happen very fast these days.

I hope you understand that the collapse of the Soviet Union did not happen in one or two days. It is a process that took years to develop until it arrived to the point of its final conclusion.

ASP, you want things to be black and white for you to be able to grasp what is happening, but the world does not work like this. You don't wake up one day and say the new Great depression started yesterday at noon. A great depression is a long grinding process that develop over a period of time in a slow imploding motion month after month, year after year in a downward spiral.

I hope I am teaching you something here for your benefit.

.








Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 02, 2011

Joao da Silva: ...However, I read that the Yanks are scrambling to send their "experienced" Arabists to Cairo to help the Egyptians for a "smooth" transition.


*****


Ricardo: The translation of that language is: Get someone in power in Egypt that the US government can manipulate and bribe with foreign aid. (foreign aid being all kinds of military armament, and not food to feed the staving people.)

.
The Yanks next disaster
written by Ederson, February 02, 2011

Firstly, the Yanks have to stop seeing the Arab world from the Western prospective. Such viewpoints are too hurried and blind them from the truth.

Number two, the Yanks must be consistent. You cannot proclaim to the world that you will not get involved because you respect another nation's sovereignty, as in the Iranian people's revolution, while happily interfering in Egypt's unease. Again, it proves the Yanks are hypocrites in the least, and that, generally, Obama, as well as being incompetent, can generally be looked upon as a liar. When I think of Obama, I think of his politically astute predecessor, Jimmy Carter, who believed the Ayatollahs when they told him that no clerics will serve in the new Iranian government replacing that of the Shah.smilies/grin.gif The new Yanks have got to stop their reliance on pseudo-intellectualism, for if they do, they will continue to elct leaders such as they have. It is unthinkable that Obama was ever considered a constitutional scholar. What an idiot.smilies/grin.gif
Joao and Egypt.
written by Ederson, February 02, 2011
I , too, agree that Egypt is capable of determining its destiny without Yankee intervention. The truth is that long after Yankeeland has turned to dust, Egypt will still exist. All Obama is doing is opening the door for external militant forces, financed by Iran and allied with Hammas to further infiltrate Egypt. Egypt's prisons have been opened and a fresh supply of evil genies let upon the land.smilies/cheesy.gif

If I could give the Yanks any advice, I would caution them to never interfere or initiate another war unless the end result would benefit someone. I am having a hard time rationalizing their Middle-east policy with anything that benefits anyone, even themselves! Do they enjoy tiring the world of their presence? Do they enjoy war for the sake of war? Do they enjoy bringing their country to near bankruptcy for goals that are both ill-defined and, eventually, unobtainable? Don't the lives of their soldiers mean anything?

El Baradei, at first glance, appears to me to be a stooge. I hope time proves me wrong. Sorry, Joao.smilies/cheesy.gif This isn't the beginning of America or Brasil's future problems. It takes time, but central Africa is successfully being infiltrated and Nigeria, among others, is a powder keg. It doesn't matter who or where you are; the show is coming your way, and everyone will be given the opportunity to participate, some earlier than others.smilies/wink.gif
Ricardo
written by Ederson, February 02, 2011
I, amongst many others, always enjoy your opinions and never fail to read them. It's always the easiest path to blame the messenger. Take care.
Ederson
written by João da Silva, February 02, 2011

Firstly, the Yanks have to stop seeing the Arab world from the Western prospective. Such viewpoints are too hurried and blind them from the truth.


Not only the Yanks,Old Chap, but also we the Brasilians have to stop classifying all the Mohammedans as "Turcos". Fortunately, the lack of knowledge of the general population about the "Arab World" is offset by our career diplomats from Itamaraty, provided our rulers listen to them.

The new Yanks have got to stop their reliance on pseudo-intellectualism, for if they do, they will continue to elct leaders such as they have.


I am afraid the "new" Brasilians are not much different either.smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gif
Ederson
written by João da Silva, February 02, 2011

El Baradei, at first glance, appears to me to be a stooge. I hope time proves me wrong. Sorry, Joao.


I was just trying to dig your mouth and that of Ricardo.smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif

I think Dr.Baradei is an Euro Man.smilies/wink.gif
am i learning something ?
written by asp, February 02, 2011
im leaning on every word you say, im taking huge amounts of money out goldmansachs , im cutting ties with every american business i am involved with ,i am cashing in all my stocks and bonds in the usa...

and you are telling me that this is nebulous and could take more time ???? (pulling chunks of hair out and throwing them at the computor screen )

GOD f**kING DAMNIT .IM GOING BACK TO CH C'S ADVICE AND BUY LOW AND SELL HIGH....

ederson

from a class guy like you, those are some cheap shots you are throwing at obama...i think he is doing everything he can to advise mubarak to step down....as a matter of fact , mubarak did say they could have elections in september....but, some people want to take this to a blood level...they arent just content with having elections in september, they want total submision...they arnt interested in peace...

and, the usa cant hold onto afghanistan forever, as well as, its really up to the people what they really want...but, if you ask me, not having to see women forced into burkas,not see women whipped publicly on the streets ,not seeing public beheadings , not allowing music and education for women, are great reasons to keep the taliban out of power...

you know, i beleive deeply in every individual having the right to practice their religion in the privacy of their own home. but, fundamental islam , fundamental chritianity or fundimental jewish faith as a nation state can kiss my ass....the real question is ,is the world going to allow any religion to take it hostage and push us back to medevil stone age ? f**k that

now , you want the real deal on iraq and the yanks ? in the early nineties, there was a deep concervative republican private club, or something like that, with people like dick chenny , wolfowitz, donald rumsfeld and others, who signed a pact that they wanted to invade iraq and make it a democracy, with, im sure, all the business advantages they would get as underlying rewards and other self interests to be satisfied. when bush took office and 9/11 happened, it opened the door for them to push their agenda to the fullest. that is politics at its worst.

but , what ever is going on now in the middle east, it is complicated.i dont think it can be just cut and dryly criticised and set in stone. people should sit back and see what is going to happen.

who ever comes to power in these places will have to deal with the west no matter what , so any notion that they will just stick it up the west's ass is frought with lack of understanding of the consiquences that will certainly affect the economic well being of these countries.

joao, really sorry to hear about your health....
Tripple Dott
written by .., February 02, 2011

Sie sind zu gütig Sir.


Sie haben es verdient. Wie ist das Wetter in SA im Mai?
asp
written by João da Silva, February 02, 2011

joao, really sorry to hear about your health....


Thanks for your concern, ASP. I am getting better now. BTW, I don't think it was the real ch.c. smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gif
asp
written by João da Silva, February 02, 2011

now , you want the real deal on iraq and the yanks ? in the early nineties, there was a deep concervative republican private club, or something like that, with people like dick chenny , wolfowitz, donald rumsfeld and others, who signed a pact that they wanted to invade iraq and make it a democracy, with, im sure, all the business advantages they would get as underlying rewards and other self interests to be satisfied. when bush took office and 9/11 happened, it opened the door for them to push their agenda to the fullest. that is politics at its worst.


If your "nemesis" Dr.L.C. reads your latest post, he should be beaming with pride for having been your "mentor".smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gifsmilies/grin.gif
Thanks asp
written by Ederson, February 02, 2011
Asp, let me be the first to reveal the fact I'm not a classy guy. Most of the time, I have dirt under my fingernails. A dog, a big dog, sleeps on my bed. The airplanes I fly are often covered with millions of smashed bugs! I laugh too often and too much.smilies/cheesy.gif I adore athletic women of great beauty and extreme talents. I know vulgarities from several different languages. I have served in the armed forces of distant countries and have fathered three children, each of whom will still claim me as their father.

Yet your simple act of calling me classy has endeared me to you, to the point I will overlook, at least for tonight, all of Obama;s long list of unbelievable faults. Indeed, tonight, I feel myself willing to share almost any ordeal to enhance the growing bond between us. In fact, before going to bed tonight, I will douse a crumpet with peanut butter and call out your name before eating it.smilies/grin.gif

Cheers, buddy! Long live peanut butter! Long live Yankeeland's President Obama!
ederson....
written by asp, February 02, 2011
" I adore athletic women of great beauty and extreme talents ..."

thats all i need to know when a guy has class.....

but, im guessing from what you have said, you are brazilian ? who writes english better than i do, like another class act, joao (yeah ricardo has some class too, but , i bet he speaks with a joisey accent)
and , you fly planes ? that is pretty high level, and, i gathered you frequented varios high level aviation facilities of the airforces in these various countries....?

actualy , i bet you have a lot of deep stories to share , and ,you are always worth listening to , even if we disagree about some things

even if you arnt brazilian (which i think you are), eating tea and crumpets is a dead give away of class

joao, loyld cata never influenced me to hate the republicans.....glad you are getting better
Sie haben es verdient. Wie ist das Wetter in SA im Mai?
written by Tripple Dott, February 02, 2011
Sie sind zu gütig. Da ich weiß, wer du wirklich bist, kann ich mich an euch durch dein richtiger name? Oder soll ich weiterhin, dass eine geheim zu halten?
...
written by João da Silva, February 03, 2011

Good day, gentlemen of breed! Looks like the trouble is brewing in Yemen too. 20,000 folks demanding the ouster of Ederson´s good buddy Mr.Abdullah Saleh. Disappointed to read that Mr.Mubarak is counter attacking in spite of the motherly advice he is receiving from HC. May be she should send Bill to Cairo and Sanaa to bring the situation under control.

...
written by .., February 03, 2011

Sie sind zu gütig. Da ich weiß, wer du wirklich bist, kann ich mich an euch durch dein richtiger name? Oder soll ich weiterhin, dass eine geheim zu halten?


hou dit net 'n geheim. My vrou en ek is van plan om haar vakansie in SA te spandeer.smilies/wink.gif
Reply to Joao da Silva
written by Ricardo C. Amaral, February 04, 2011

Ricardo: Joao, since before Dilma was elected president of Brazil, I have been saying to a lot of people let's give her a chance to show what she can do.

I believe she will be OK, and she will try to do her best, and have an excellent administration.


***


“Rousseff makes her mark on Brazil”
By Joe Leahy in São Paulo
Published: February 4, 2011
Financial Times (UK)

Brazilians got an early glimpse of the governing style of their new president, Dilma Rousseff, when she faced her first crisis after floods and mudslides ravaged the hills near Rio de Janeiro.

Reaching the area within 24 hours, Ms Rousseff was spare but to the point in her comments to the media after touring the ruins – Brazil needed to provide better housing for the poor in flood-prone regions to avoid a repeat of the tragedy, Brazil’s worst natural disaster with more than 800 killed. She quickly followed up with plans to build new homes for the displaced and earmarked funds for a national flood alert system.

After a month in the job, Ms Rousseff’s sober, business-like style contrasts sharply with that of her effusive predecessor and former boss, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, a former unionist who was equally at home shooting the breeze with metal workers as he was rubbing shoulders with global business leaders in Davos.

Yet while many Brazilians liked Mr Lula da Silva’s personal touch, Ms Rousseff’s quieter, more systematic approach may be just what the Latin America’s biggest economy needs to consolidate the rapid growth of the past few years, analysts say.

“Dilma is not Brazil’s new president but Brazil’s new chief executive officer,” said a fund manager with a large US investor in Brazil. “She has all the personal characteristics to be Brazil’s best president, one who gets the priorities right and is strong enough to move forward with them.”

An experienced administrator – she was Mr Lula da Silva’s chief of staff until she stepped down in March last year – Ms Rousseff is a trained economist and skilled technocrat. By comparison, Mr Lula da Silva had little formal education.

Cabinet ministers have been the first to notice the difference in styles between the pair. Meetings now start punctually and she frightened some by holding her first cabinet session on a Friday, when many ministers would normally already have joined the weekend exodus.

“She likes to read everything, she’s very detailed. If a high official comes to her for a meeting, he or she should know everything about the subject, otherwise they are in big trouble,” said a government insider. “She likes to establish goals and deadlines as well, which is quite new in Brasília. She’s a very demanding person.”

On policy, while Mr Lula da Silva embarked on a spending spree at the end of his presidency, Ms Dilma is promising budget cutbacks. There is speculation she will shave as much as $40bn-$50bn from the budget, to help reduce a fiscal deficit that reached 2.7 per cent of gross domestic product last year and is being blamed for rising inflation.

The new president has also managed to cap an increase in the minimum wage despite threatened opposition from coalition partners. And she has introduced greater coherence on monetary and exchange rate policy, particularly the government’s efforts to prevent further appreciation of Brazil’s currency, the real, against the dollar – a struggle known locally as the “currency war”.

“The ‘currency war’ comes with her blessing,” said David Fleischer, a political analyst at the University of Brasília. “She’s okayed how this is being played out.”

This emphasis on performance is being driven by political necessity, analysts say. Ms Rousseff lacks Mr Lula da Silva’s popularity. If she wants to stay in power, she must deliver stable growth of 3-5 per cent.

She also has her share of sceptics in the markets. With inflation hitting its highest level since 2008 last year, many economists believe the government and central bank need to act more urgently.

“They do not sound as hawkish as seriously deteriorating market inflation expectations would justify,” said Marcelo Carvalho at Banco BNP Paribas Brasil in a note to clients about the central bank.

Yet those expecting to see splashy headline initiatives from Ms Rousseff will be disappointed, says the US investor. Her strength is on execution, pushing through micro-reforms in areas such as taxes, pensions and labour law that will have a big difference in the long run.

“Brazilians want to see more bang for their buck; taxes are very high and government services very poor. She’s going to take over and improve that,” said the US fund manager.

.
Ricardo Amaral
written by João da Silva, February 04, 2011

Ricardo: Joao, since before Dilma was elected president of Brazil, I have been saying to a lot of people let's give her a chance to show what she can do.

I believe she will be OK, and she will try to do her best, and have an excellent administration.


I wholeheartedly agree with you. I have been following her actions in the national press and one impression she gives is that she is not a push over. Made good choices to preside BC, Itamaraty and retained Lula´s ex Minister for education. I think she is going to pleasantly surprise as well as unpleasantly disappoint many.

Believe it or not, she reminds me of the last two Presidents of the military regime!

BTW, "Estadão" is coming out with a series of article titled "De Deodoro a Dilma". I enjoy reading them and in case you are interested, here is the link:

http://www.estadao.com.br/espe...128452.htm

The article today is on Getúlio Vargas.
asp
written by João da Silva, February 07, 2011

now , you want the real deal on iraq and the yanks ? in the early nineties, there was a deep concervative republican private club, or something like that, with people like dick chenny , wolfowitz, donald rumsfeld and others, who signed a pact that they wanted to invade iraq and make it a democracy, with, im sure, all the business advantages they would get as underlying rewards and other self interests to be satisfied. when bush took office and 9/11 happened, it opened the door for them to push their agenda to the fullest. that is politics at its worst.


ASP, read the following link and give us your opinion!

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/41...tn_africa/

You think Saddam Hussein asked Mubarak to store all his WMDs in Egypt???smilies/wink.gifsmilies/cheesy.gif
ha, interesting article , joao
written by asp, February 07, 2011
i dont know if sadam asked mubarak to take the stuff....

things are very complex in the middle east . i hate to make snap judgements or opinions on what will happen or what did happen .

i do know that both sides in egypt are expressing hate for the usa ... so ,i dont think anything is going to come out rosey for the usa , they are just going to have to see the out come of what is happening and take it from there.

the middle east is just going to have to do its thing and find out where everyone stands when the dust is cleared.

we are just going to have to find out which people act on impulse and emotion and who is going to act on thinking things through and hope for peace and prosperity for the people....

the people who tried to change things in iran were brutaly crushed and some executed
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written by Renata Ferreira Ramalho , February 07, 2012
A Vsª senhoria Dilma,
Venho por meio deste Email a comunicar-lhe que onde morei em uma casa nao escriturada pela prefeitura do bairro há um grande corrêgo à ser canalizado, porem è um desejo e sonho meu, voltar a morar no lugar porém
gostaria que fosse cumprido o desejo do meu coraçâo de maneira que este fosse canalizado ate em frente a minha casa pois fui muito hulmilhada no lugar e gostaria que minha exaltaçaõ fosse essa de forma que desejo também terminar a construção da minha casa pois preciso de um serviço resistrado para poder realizar esse sonho e agora as portas estão todas fechadas já fui fazer varios testes para balcão de padaria mais as senhoras so ficam mandando ligar e guando ligo mais que duas vezes me falam que já pegou outra no lugar tenho necessidades de realizar os meus sonhos desta forma pesso que entre em contato comigo se possivél no Telefone 3921-4896 falar com Dona Antónia moro na casa dela, meu pai paga R$ 400.00 para eles em uma casa e para mim em outra mais R$ 350.00 desejo ser indepentente. Essa casa que são dos meus paes são duas em um só terreno dá uma bela casa após a reforma, gostaria que alguém de alto nível presidencial podesse nos dar essa chance de vida , sou uma pessoa já com 30 anos, com os sonhos frustados e gostaria de que como qualquer outro ser humano conseguir realizar meus sonhos peço encarecidamente entre em contato comigo ou mande-me uma carta no Endereço R: Alípio Batista Pinto nº 30 CEP:02856-060 Vila Terezinha São Paulo.


Sem mais,
RENATA FERREIRA RAMALHO.
Obrigada desde de já pelo retorno se possivél.
seseccs
written by seseccs, August 14, 2014
seseccs
written by seseccs, August 14, 2014

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