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Rain, Rain Go Away PDF Print E-mail
2000 - January 2000
Tuesday, 01 January 2002 08:54

Rain, Rain
Go Away

Year after year it is the same thing, the annual summer routine of floods, a phenomenon well-known to Brazilians. But this year as in the past, along with the certainty that it will rain, the other certainties are that floods will follow, and there will be excuses.
By Adhemar Altieri

Brazil's three most populous and economically prominent states were hit hard by floods in early January. At least 34 people were killed, hundreds injured, and more than 80-thousand became homeless in the southeastern states of São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro and Minas Gerais. Heavy rain offers only a partial explanation for what happened. Decades of mismanagement, open disregard for the law, and omission by local administrations have a lot more to do with this than Mother Nature.

It rains hard in Brazil every year in January, so there's nothing unpredictable about what went on last week. For the most part, they're typical tropical storms: clouds move in quickly, there's a heavy downpour that lasts anywhere from a few minutes to an hour or so, often followed by clear skies as the front moves on. Very hot, humid days, usually indicate there will be a storm by late afternoon. Normal stuff for anyone who's been in the tropics.

This annual summer routine, well-known to Brazilians, apparently isn't obvious enough to convince officials to produce anything resembling an adequate level of readiness. On the contrary, along with the certainty that it will rain, the other certainties are that floods will follow, and there will be excuses.

The routine includes government officials insisting they've spent millions on flood control projects, which didn't work because it just rained too hard. At that point, a weather expert is summoned, to provide data showing that a week's worth of rain came down within an hour or two. The conclusion, then, is that nothing could have prevented what happened...

Trouble is, occasional very heavy downpours are also not unusual year after year, so the fact one happens should certainly not come as a surprise, nor be used as an explanation. If chances are good that heavy rains will come, that's what administrators must prepare for. Instead, successive governments at all levels deal with the consequences and not the causes. Or work to accommodate the status quo, but seldom to change it.

How hard it rains matters less than other elements that are key to explain flooding somewhere in southern Brazil just about every year. It doesn't require an urban development degree to notice, for example, that there are serious problems with the way urban areas in Brazil are put together. And this country's largest metropolitan area and one of the world's largest cities—São Paulo—is a perfect example.

Three major rivers fed by smaller streams and creeks cut the city, and all have construction or roads right up to their margins. In other words, their flood plains are fully and densely occupied, which is tantamount to asking to be under water. Sure enough, the same neighborhoods and stretches of riverside freeway are affected every year when the rainy season arrives. Why are these areas occupied, in an obvious defiance of common sense? Because as recent municipal corruption episodes in São Paulo have made abundantly clear, developers and individuals have done just about anything they wanted in this city over the years, provided there was a big enough payoff to a city official.

Decades of this have even contributed to the city's appearance and social layout: better neighborhoods higher up and out of flood water range, low income down a bit lower, and slums often alongside rivers and creeks. Naturally, when there's a flood, the poorest are first to be hit. And it's easy to spot areas where floods happen every year. There are homes built with doors higher than ground level—the height flood waters usually reach—,properties with walls around them and stairways to get over the wall—again, to keep the inside dry—, and homes with rubber seals around gates, doors and windows.

In extreme cases, there are homes with special "flood rooms", put together every year during the rainy season, with all furniture either suspended from the ceiling or supported on ladders and scaffolding so the flood water can come in and out and not damage the contents. There are also properties where owners have installed pumps to remove the flood water.

Moving people elsewhere is pretty well out of the question—improper land occupation is now far too big a problem in the city. There are no estimates of how many people live in flood-prone areas, but here's an indication: state government figures show that over a million people in greater São Paulo occupy lands that, by law, should be free of any urban development because there are fresh water springs underground. Building on those lands compromises the city's fresh water supply. In 1998, faced with the prospect of moving these people, or amending the law to make their homes legal, the government chose the latter—a move that many environmentalists saw as encouragement for further illegal land occupations in the future.

Faced with a situation that can hardly be changed, city administrations can only look for ways to minimize the problem. One creative solution being implemented in São Paulo involves building huge underground water reservoirs to catch the runoff before it reaches the rivers. However these reservoirs, called piscinões—translates into big pools—are expensive propositions, and it will be years before enough of them can be built. The other problem with piscinões, according to some politicians, is that they're underground: people don't see them, so they don't work as well to earn recognition and votes as, say, a new bridge or expressway...

What goes on in São Paulo can be multiplied by however many cities there are in Brazil. The trends are similar, erratic urban development and poor planning equally obvious, and corrupt practices vary little from place to place. This combination, more than any predictable summer rainfall, goes much further to explain why chaos results when just about any city, large or small, is hit by a typical January tropical storm.

What happened in one city badly affected by the rain—the upscale mountain resort town of Campos do Jordão—is most telling. A posh getaway that earns most of its revenue from tourism, the city has been suffering, on a smaller scale, from many of the problems that make São Paulo so susceptible to flooding, with one important addition: extensive illegal construction on hillsides, by both the poor with shanty towns and the upper class with luxury residences. This type of construction eliminates the vegetation that holds the soil in place, resulting in deadly mudslides. In Campos do Jordão, at least eight people died, and close to 500 homes were destroyed.

It's raining hard as I conclude this article, and it will surely continue to rain throughout January. It is, after all, the rainy season. Surely the rains will come again next year. And unless some serious plans are made to face the problem, southern Brazilian cities will remain stuck in this annual routine of unnecessary destruction and personal loss, including the loss of lives as was the case this year. The annual excuses have become as predictable as the rain itself. Accepting them to explain away what happens is downright criminal. If Brazilians are lucky—or, if they scream for it loud enough, some of the candidates in next September's nationwide municipal elections might actually sit down and put together serious, long-term proposals to end this useless suffering.

Adhemar Altieri is a veteran with major news outlets in Brazil, Canada and the United States. He holds a Master's Degree in Journalism from Northwestern University in Evanston, Illinois, and spent ten years with CBS News reporting from Canada and Brazil. Altieri is a member of the Virtual Intelligence Community, formed by The Greenfield Consulting Group to identify future trends for Latin America. He is also the editor of InfoBrazil (http://www.infobrazil.com), an English-language weekly e-zine with analysis and opinions on Brazilian politics and economy. You can reach the author at editors@infobrazil.com  

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