Brazil’s Budget Deficit Worst in 8 Years: US$ 23 Billion

Real Brazil Brazil's nominal budget deficit for the first half of 2009 widened to 43.7 billion reais (US$ 23 billion), the largest since 2001, according to the latest release from the Brazilian Central Bank (BC).

The June deficit of 10.1 billion reais comes after an 11.5 billion reais nominal deficit in May.

Higher government spending to stimulate the economy and less revenue from the slowdown in activity has impacted in Brazil's estimates for this year but officials are confident of a rebound in the second half. The nominal budget includes federal and local governments and state companies.

Finance Minister Guido Mantega said there was "no risk" Brazil would lapse on its fiscal targets this year.

"Our fiscal situation will be more comfortable in the second half of the year" as tax collection rises, Mantega told reporters in Brasí­lia. "We will do whatever it takes to meet our targets".

Net debt-to-GDP rose to 43.1% in June compared with 42.5% in May. And the primary surplus (before interest payment) rose to 3.38 billion reais from 1.12 billion reais in May. The result pushed net debt to 2.04% of GDP, the lowest since August 1999 and below the government's year-end target of 2.5%.

The Brazilian government cut its primary budget surplus goal in April to 2.5% of GDP, from an initial 3.8% amid a decline in tax collection and to give government managed Petrobras leeway to make investments in offshore oil deposits.

Altamir Lopes, head of Economic Research at the Central bank, said net debt-to-GDP ratios are set to reverse as Latinamerica's largest economy resumes growth in the second half of the year.

IMF expects Brazil's economy to shrink 1.3% in 2009 before rebounding 2.5% in 2010. Analysts are forecasting a 0.34% contraction this year and growth of 3.5% in 2010, according to a July 24 Central bank survey. IMF also forecasted that the country's nominal deficit as percentage of GDP will be in the range of 1.9% at the end of the year.

However this hasn't stopped the Brazilian real from rallying 23% against the US dollar since April. Furthermore demand for Brazil's debt also remains strong.

The Treasury announced plans to reopen its 2037 dollar bonds in international markets for the first time since March, 2006. The average spread on Brazil's dollar bonds compared with US Treasuries has narrowed 1.69 percentage points so far this year to 2.59 percentage points.

Mercopress

Tags:

You May Also Like

Brazil’s Countdown to Copenhagen

Brazil has followed a long and winding road to reach the Fifteenth Conference of ...

Defiant Brazil’s House Speaker Says He Won’t Step Down

Brazil’s House Speaker, Severino Cavalcanti (from the PP party of the northeastern Brazilian state ...

Making Capitalism Work: The Brazilian Model

At the height of the crisis of 2008, Brazilian entrepreneur Roberto Medina published an ...

Agreeing on Non-Proliferation Agenda Is Tiny Step, Says Brazil

Nearly halfway through a four-week conference reviewing the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), delegations meeting ...

Brazil Gets New Cardinal. He Will Be Choosing Next Pope

São Paulo's (Brazil) Archbishop Odilo Pedro Scherer was named cardinal on Wednesday, October 17, ...

Despite Record Beef Exports Brazilian Cattle Ranchers Can’t Make a Profit

For the third consecutive year, Brazilian cattle ranchers had a loss of revenue, in ...

São Paulo, Brazil, Finds Out It’s Not Easy to Be Green

Brazilian merchant Lizete Araújo da Silva, 51, has worked for approximately ten years in ...

Short Takes

A poll by Berlin-based Transparency International with international businessmen from around the world has ...

Oversea Prices Lead Brazil’s Usiminas to Top US$ 1 Bi in Net Income

Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais S/A announced February 25 its fourth quarter 2004  and ...

Brazil Wants a Cultural Mercosur

Brazil’s President in Office, José Alencar, said that the Mercosur integration should also contemplate ...