New Presidential Poll Shows Marina Silva Ahead Where It Counts: The Second Round

Brazilian president Dilma Rousseff A new survey released by the Brazilian Institute of Public Opinion and Statistics (Ibope) on Tuesday, September, 16, shows presidential candidate Dilma Rousseff (of the Workers’ Party, PT) again ahead of her rivals, with 36% of voter support. Marina Silva (Brazilian Socialist Party, PSB), is seen with 30% of voting intentions, and Aécio Neves (Brazilian Social Democracy Party, PSDB) 19%. 

Each of the eight other competitors running for president did not have more than 1% of support. Blank or spoiled ballots total 7%, and undecided electors sum 6%.

If the two most supported female candidates were to face each other in a runoff, Silva is predicted to win with 43%, and Rousseff 40%, which is classified as a statistic tie due to the margin of error in the projections: plus or minus two percentage points.

Blank and spoiled votes would amount to 11%, and 6% did not know for whom they would vote or did not answer.

In a runoff with Rousseff and Neves, the former would win with 44% against 37%. Blank and spoiled votes stand at 12%, and undecided voters 6%.

In a scenario with Marina Silva and Neves, she would become the country’s next president, receiving 48% of the votes, against her opponent’s 30%. Blank or spoiled ballots would total 15%, and those who have not made a choice yet or refused to answer 8%.

The study further reveals that Dilma Rousseff is the candidate with the highest rejection rate, 32%. Aécio Neves is shown with 19%, and Silva with 14%.

In order to carry out this poll, Ibope heard 3,010 voters in 204 municipalities throughout the country from September 13 to 15. The study was commissioned by TV Globo and newspaper O Estado de S. Paulo.

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