1, 2, 3, 4 Polls See Lula Winning Reelection in Brazil by Landslide

Four surveys in a row have given Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva enough votes to win reelection by a large margin, large enough to avoid the need of a second round: Sensus, DataFolha, Ibope, Vox Populi

The last poll guaranteeing Lula’s reelection in the first round  comes courtesy of Ibope, Brazil’s most traditional polling institute. It confirms data revealed earlier this week by two other survey companies: Sensus and Data Folha.

Ibope’s results were announced Thursday night, August 10, by Globo TV’s Jornal Nacional, Brazil’s main prime-time TV news show. In that poll, Lula appears with 46% of intentions of vote while his closest opponent, Geraldo Alckmin, from the PSDB party, manages to get a mere 21%.

Senator Heloí­sa Helena comes in third with 12% of the votes. Two other candidates, Cristovam Buarque and Rui Pimenta get 1% each.

While 10% of Brazilian voters are still undecided on who to choose, 9% intend to leave their ballots blank or to void them as a way of protest. Not voting is not an option since the vote in Brazil is mandatory and non compliance can mean fines and other sanctions like not getting a passport.

Ibope’s poll showed a pronounced bigger gap between Lula and former São Paulo governor Alckmin, The difference between the two frontrunners went from 19 to 25 percentage points. Lula gets 44% of the votes, while Alckmin gets 25%.

Curiously, the growth in popularity by Lula didn’t rub on his administration, which was considered regular or bad by 62% of the voters. Ibope listened to 2002 voters between August 7 and 9. The study has a 2% margin of error.

In the Vox Populi survey the difference between Lula and Alckmin jumped 10 percentage points going from 11% to 21%. The poll, prepared for magazine Carta Capital, was divulged yesterday by Bandeirantes TV.

Lula’s growth was once again dramatic when compared to the previous poll held in July. Lula has today 45% of the votes (he had 42%) against Alckmin’s 24% (he had 32% one month ago). Vox Populi heard 2.004 voters in 121 cities between the August 5 and 7.

Alckmin did not make fun of the last two surveys, as he had done when the two previous polls were released earlier this week. While he called the first two surveys a joke, he has accepted with resignation the new results:

"We are still in a good position," he said, adding: "It’s a good thing to start the campaign putting on the humbleness sandals."  He promises that things will start to change for the better next week, when his free electoral programs start to be aired on radio and TV.

Tags:

Ads

You May Also Like

Brazil Hires Google and YouTube to Help Promote Brazilian Tourism

Brazilian tourism agency Embratur and Google have just launched a tool to promote Brazil ...

To Bear Arms? Now, It’s Illegal in Brazil.

Whether issued by the Federal Police or state police, all licenses to bear firearms ...

Brazil Getting Ready to Go to Space in 2006

In an interview with Russian news agency RIA Novosti, the President of the Brazilian ...

Brazilian senator Heloísa Helena running for president of Brazil

Heloísa: The Leftist Maverick Senator Vying to Be Brazil’s First Woman President

Heloísa Helena, a leftist senator from the impoverished northeast state of Alagoas, Brazil, has ...

Brazil’s Auto Show Opens with Futuristic and Thoroughbred Cars

The 24th International Automobile Trade Fair begins today, October 19, in the city of ...

Brazil-USA: Bumpy Road Ahead

I foresee a deterioration of relations between the Bush administration and Lula’s PT version ...

Hotel in Ceará, Brazil

The Lowdown on Getting Permanent Residency in Brazil

Since October of last year, a new law has passed in Brazil whereby the ...

Brazil Sets New Import Record

Brazil imported the equivalent to US$ 6.082 billion in November. The value is a ...

Brazil: Dirty Bomb Explodes in Workers Party’s Hands

With less than two weeks for the presidential election Brazil was again rocked by ...

Brazil: Ecologists Mad at Lula

Brazilian environmental groups are not happy with the measures taken by a government that ...