Interest Rate Cuts Energize Brazilian Market

Latin American markets hit record levels, with the Brazilian index leading the charge, as an interest rate cut enthused investors. Robust GDP data in Argentina and excitement over an IPO in Mexico also helped.

Brazil’s benchmark Bovespa Index leapt 316.25 points, or 1.09%, while Mexico’s benchmark Bolsa Index climbed 207.39 points, or 1.36%. Argentina’s Merval Index added 10.13 points, or 0.63%.

Brazilian shares surged a day after the central bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 19.5%, a move that analysts interpreted as the start of a long period of monetary loosening. In economic data, August retail sales advanced 0.31% from the prior month, or 4.50% compared with a year ago.

In M&A news, shares of mining giant CVRD jumped after the company made an offer for Canada’s nickel miner Canico Resources in a bid to diversify its mining portfolio.

Also of note, brewing company Cervejarias Kaiser stated it was unaware of any ongoing negotiations by parent Molson Coors to sell the Kaiser and Bavaria brands.

Elsewhere, Petrobras reported that its average daily domestic oil production fell 2.9% in August due to operating problems at several offshore platforms.

In research, an investment bank raised Net Serviços to "overweight" from "underweight," citing solid fundamentals, growth and sensitivity to macro economic improvement.

Mexican issues, meanwhile, hit another record high, thanks to a hot IPO, and despite flat to lower trading for U.S. counterparts. U.S. economic reports continued to be mixed, although inflation trends there appeared to be contained before Hurricane Katrina hit and sent oil prices to the stratosphere.

In August, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.5%, while the core index inched up 0.1%. Both figures were flat from the prior month. Analysts had expected the CPI and the core to gain 0.6% and 0.2%, respectively.

Still north of the border, the Philly Fed index tanked to 2.2 in September from 17.5 in August, well below targets for 13.0, and suggesting little or no growth in the manufacturing sector in the Philly region.

Separately, business inventories dropped 0.5% in July, after being unchanged the previous month. A 0.2% increase had been projected. Finally, weekly initial jobless claims soared by 71,000 to 398,000, illustrating Katrina’s impact on the U.S. job market.

In domestic data, Mexico’s second-quarter aggregate demand jumped 4.8% year-on year, with private consumption rising 4.4%.

On the corporate front, infrastructure company Ideal, spun off by financial group Inbursa, and rallied 15% in its first day of trading in Mexico. Shares were priced at 5.80 pesos a unit.

In labor news, a strike of over a month was settled at Mexico’s largest steel plant, the Sicartsa plant, which is operated by Grupo Villacero, as a deal was finally reached with the unions.

Argentine stocks advanced on technical factors, as investors continued to cheer the Merval’s record close yesterday, which was surpassed today. In today’s data, second-quarter gross domestic product swelled 10.1% from a year ago, a 2.4% increase over the first quarter.

In the first quarter, GDP had climbed 8.0% from the year prior. Analysts had predicted a smaller gain of 9.1%. Separately, unemployment dropped to 12.1% in the second quarter from 13% in the first quarter. Also of note, the government’s 2006 budget proposal was submitted to Congress today and confirms a gross domestic product forecast of 4% for that year.

Banks shares rallied today, with Banco Frances getting a lift from speculation that its Spanish majority shareholder, Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, will make a tender offer for the remainder of its shares.

Thomson Financial Corporate Group – www.thomsonfinancial.com

Tags:

You May Also Like

Brazil Shrimp Exports to US Tumble 54%

After rising steadily for the six consecutive years, Brazilian exports of shrimp to the ...

Traveling with a Purpose

Travelers will soon be able to work the ground at a farming settlement in ...

Graffiti against Bush in São Paulo, Brazil

Bush Visit to Brazil and LatAm Will Fail. Expect More Covert Operations

Bush's trip to Latin America is a calculated effort to counter Hugo Chavez's growing ...

Brazil’s Human Milk Banks for Latin America and Africa

Brazil is once again exporting technology for the creation of human milk banks. In ...

Coffee, Oyster, Chicken and Jelly: Brazil Is Turning Organic

Over US$ 930,000 in business should be closed in the next six months. This ...

Fast Times in Lula’s Brazil

The sudden resurgence of the real has scared some people, including President Lula. In ...

Brazil Betting Biodiesel Will Free It from Foreign Oil

Although Brazil is a big petroleum producer, it still has to import diesel for ...

Brazilian Federal Highways Kill 6,000 and Injure 66,000

The Brazilian Institute of Applied Economic Research (IPEA) is beginning to analyze the social ...

After 10 Years and With a Hand from Brazil EU and LatAm May Reach Agreement

The European Commission president José Manuel Durão Barroso and Spanish president José Luis Rodríguez ...

Lula Urges Americans to Start Spending to Prevent a Global Collapse

Brazilian president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva joined the leaders of Mexico and Argentina ...