Brazil: Lula/Alckmin Gap Falls to 10 Points. Second Round Likely.

The certainty that Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will win reelection this coming October has vanished. For the first time a poll shows that Lula may not win hands down without a second round.

The new survey, by Vox Populi, reveals a narrower margin between the president and his closest opponent, Geraldo Alckmin, from the PSDB, the same party of former president Fernando Henrique Cardoso.

Since June when Vox Populi held its latest poll the percentage of those who intend to vote for Lula has fallen from 45% to 42%, while Alckmin stayed the course with 32% of the votes.

Senator Heloí­sa Helena (from the leftist PSOL party), another candidate, grew from 5% to 7% and Cristovam Buarque (PDT), another senator, also kept his humble 1%. The 10 point difference between the frontrunners is the smallest since the campaign for the October election started in earnest a few weeks ago.

The survey, paid for by monthly magazine Carta Capital, which will deliver the details of the inquiry in its pages, was done from July 8 to 10 and interviewed 2003 people in 121 municipalities all across Brazil.

The poll’s margin of error is 2.2% in either direction. 7% said they would void their votes while another 11% haven’t decided yet what to do.

Alckmin, the former governor of São Paulo state was delighted to hear the news. "The campaign hasn’t started yet and we already have the promise of a second round. This is happening because I am only known to 51% of the population." The candidate says that there’s still a lot of room for him to grow.

There was more good news for the PSDB candidate. The TSE (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral – National Election Board) announced that Alckmin will have more time than Lula in the free TV and radio time that all candidates are granted by the electoral justice. 

While Lula will have 7 minutes and 21 seconds in the 25-minute free programs, the ex-governor will get 10 minutes and 22 seconds in which to explain his platform to voters.

The programs start on August 15 and will be shown at 1 pm and prime time (8:30 pm), Tuesdays, Thursdays and Saturdays. Buarque will be able to talk for 2 minutes and 23 seconds and Helena will have a mere 1 minute and 11 seconds. 

Tags:

  • Show Comments (0)

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

comment *

  • name *

  • email *

  • website *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Ads

You May Also Like

For the First Time European Outnumber Latin American Tourists in Brazil

The number of European tourists who came to Brazil in 2004 was greater than ...

Public-Private Partnerships Priority in Brazilian Congress

Negotiations in Brazil over the bill instituting Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) will be reopened during ...

Brazil’s Lula: Advising the World

In his three-day visit to London, Brazil’s Lula criticized the US and the way ...

WHO Blames Neglect for Malaria Increase in Brazil

The World Malaria Report 2005, issued this week by the World Health Organization (WHO), ...

Trying to Create a Travel Culture in Northeastern Brazil Before Olympics

Brazil’s Ministry of Tourism has plans to expand the regional air grid and improve ...

West of Nothing

But who was is talking about exterminating, Father? Who? Who talked about this? You ...

French Carmakers Grow Above Average in the Brazilian Market

Carmaker Renault Brazil has just announced that it sold 79,273 vehicles between January and ...

Brazil’s New Definition of Foreign Aggression Bullies Neighbor Countries

The Brazilian government has sent a strong message to those (restless) neighbors that could ...

Drug patent

Group Asks US Congress to Punish Brazil and Thai Drug Piracy

An American group called USA For Innovation released an open letter to Members of ...

Brazil’s Carmakers Intent on Taking on the World

Following the example of other sectors in industry, Brazilian carmakers have started diversifying their ...